Thursday, December 31, 2015

Day - 2 of Garbottam, year 2015-16.


The 2nd day of the Garbottam of 2015-16 (Manmatha year) started at around 5 PM of 30th December 2015 and ended at 5 PM (approximately) on 31st December 2015. 

It will have an impact on the rainfall from 5th July 2016 to 19th July 2016. 

On the basis of 195 days gap, the 2nd day of Garbottam will have a bearing on rainfall on 9th July from any place of observation. The rationale is this. This 2nd day of Garbottam happens on Panchami of the waning period of Margazhi. It will have an impact on the day of Panchami in the waxing period of Aani. That date is 9th July 2016.

Compared to day 1 of Garbottam in my place of observation, the 2nd day was a little better. On the 1st day, clouds were almost absent, but soon after the 2nd day started, long streaks of clouds could be noticed at night. I didn’t stay awake to watch the night time conditions, but farmers of olden days used to watch the night time conditions too.

But by day break on 31st December, bunches of sponge like clouds could be seen moving from the Northern direction. I could even spot swan like clouds and a crocodile like clouds with mouth wide open.

One can make out the figure from the shape of the clouds. Sometimes clouds would appear like castles. Sometimes clouds appear like birds and animals. Sometimes clouds appear like aquatic animals. During Garbottam days, clouds appearing like aquatic animals are one of the good signs for rainfall in the corresponding period later.

There is nothing unscientific or ridiculous about the shapes of clouds. The shapes of clouds indicate the kind of wind movement from different directions and their interaction. For aquatic animal shapes, say for swans, the huge body with a head and a long beak can be formed by a specific pattern of wind movement at that layer of atmosphere. For crocodile formation which is identifiable by the long open mouth and a long body, similar kind of cross wind patterns are to be there to distinguish between body and head and mouth or beak.

In the case of castle formations, such crossing wind patterns are largely absent. The wind currents chisel the outer shapes of the clouds. For animals and bird, the crossing wind patterns are different. If we watch the shapes of clouds in different seasons and figure out the shapes, we will be able to appreciate the invisible movement of winds in causing such shapes.

During Garbottam days, the clouds forming shapes of aquatic animals are ideal for the kind of the wind patterns that must be there to have an impact on good rainfall at a later date.

On the 2nd day of Garbottam (31st Dec), I was excited to see a huge swan shaped cloud moving swiftly from north to south at around 8 AM. Fish like formations were also seen but they quickly changed shapes. At around noon, I noticed swan shaped clouds with distinct beak and neck. There were stork like formations too which were half bodied. By 4 PM, I noticed many tortoise shaped clouds. Though I could not watch the sky continuously, I was checking every now and then.

Right from morning till the end of day -2, the region around the horizon all around was covered with clouds. A completely overcast sky is a good sign of pregnancy of rainfall. But the sky was not overcast, though it was so only for about 30 degrees above the horizon on all sides. At other places, bunches of clouds, some of them in aquatic animal shapes were seen moving from the North which is a good sign.

Apart from the clouds, the mild breeze in the morning and evening (sea breeze?) and red sun at sun set were the features noticed on the 2nd day of Garbottam.  

The observation of the 5 factors for day-2 are as follows:

(1) Wind:- Cool breeze was felt in the morning. Mild wind in general.
Result:- A moderate factor of 20% strength for rainfall from 5th July to 19th July in my place of observation. However the cool breeze in the morning shows scattered rain or drizzles at night in that period.

(2) Rain:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.  I read that some parts of South Tamilnadu experienced rains today (2nd day of Garbottam). Rains are not good signs of rainfall later in the corresponding period in the rainy season. Drizzles are ideal for good pregnancy of rainfall.   

(3) Lightening:- Nil.
Result:-  Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(4) Thunder:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(5) Clouds:- Long  clouds noticed at night. Day time clouds were whitish and at times tinged with halo. Aquatic shaped clouds noticed at time during the day. Sky not completely overcast.
Result:- This factor is satisfactory but not completely ideal.

3-some features:-

(1) Terrestrial :- Behaviour of birds and cows satisfactory.

(2) Atmospheric :- Of the 12 features noted in my blog onGarbottam, (1) gentle breeze was there in the morning. (2) Sun was encircled with bright halo, but could not watch the moon. (3) Aquatic shaped clouds were seen, more around noon. (4) Wind direction was from the North. (5) Mildly reddish sky at sunset. From these, I deduce the atmospheric features were little above average.

(3) Planetary:- (1) Planets and stars appeared as whitish and faint discs. (2) Sun was red at sun set. (3) Except Jupiter all the other planets were in Southern declinations. Planets in northern declinations are desirable.

Interpretation:-

Only the cloud and atmospheric condition was present at an average level. This was noticed at day time and around noon. It must be observed whether this gives moderate rainfall on 9th July in my place of observation at night time.

For the Garbottam strength, the overall scenario has 2 out of 5 features  (wind and cloud) in good condition. This must give 30% rainfall of the season expected in my place of observation for the period between 5th July and 19th July.

Now coming to the planetary position at that time in July 2016, they are pretty good.

Those features (ativrishti yoga) are listed below:

(1) On 7th July, the closeness of Mercury and Venus (Budha- Shukra saameepyam) starts.

(2) Until then Sun, Mercury and Venus are together in Gemini with Venus in front of the other two. Mercury crosses Sun by the 7th of July. Usually under this circumstance it will rain in the rainy season.

(3) Both Mercury and Venus were combust until then.

(4) Venus re-emerges from combustion by 7th July, but it re-emerges in Punarpoosam which reduces the rainfall.

(5) Both Mercury and Venus are in the West.

(6) On 9th July which is the 195th corresponding day for today (2nd day for Garbottam), Venus – Mercury closeness continues with Venus in the front and in watery sign and both of them in the same Navamsa. This is a good sign of rainfall.

(7) On the night of  9th July, Moon enters Uttram (Uttra Phalguni), the watery star which adds strength to the Venus – Mercury position.

Therefore, by the principle of 195th day rainfall, there is a likelihood of rains at night time on 9th July in my place of observation though it would not be heavy.

However, the planetary positions being good at that time (5th July to 19th July), the SW monsoon would have advanced by then to its usual locations in India.


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2 comments:

Sheela said...

Dear Mam,

can u highlight activities human beings should do for good Garbottam?
ofcourse there is actvities in temples during Margazhi other than
that those who could not participate in temples what should they do
for their share?

Regds
sheela

jayasree said...

Putting Kolam (rangoli) at pre-dawn in the month of Margazhi is an important human activity that flutters the cold air of that time. The pre-dawn activities in all temples to celebrate Andal's Thiruppavai is another activity. Nowadays, the Iyappa devotees are fulfilling the requirement of pre-dawn activity by waking up early and taking bath in cold water as it was done in ancient Tamil lands for Paavai nonbu. Their austerity period largely happening in Margazhi makes me think whether the sages had deliberately planned such austerities coinciding with Margazhi.

From my article on Pavai nonbu http://www.tamilhindu.com/2010/01/paavai-nonbu-and-thai-neeraadal/
மூவகையில் கவனிக்கப்படும் இயற்கைச் சூழ்நிலையில், முதல் வகை மேலே கூறப்பட்ட வைகறைப் பொழுதின் சலசலப்புகள். நீர் சம்பந்தப்படும்படி, விடியலுக்கு முன்னரே வாசல் தெளித்துக் கோலமிடுவதும் இதில் அடக்கம். மக்கள் கூட்டத்தையும் சேர்த்து உயிரினங்கள் பலவும் வைகறைக் குளிரை வெப்பப்படுத்த வேண்டும். நடமாடுவதன் மூலமும் நீரை அளைப்பதன் மூலமும் ஓசையின் மூலமும் இது செய்யப்படுகிறது. மக்கள் தொகுதியைப் பொருத்த மட்டில், காவலும் கண்டிப்பும் இல்லாத நிலையில் கூவித் திரிந்து விளையாடும் இளம் சிறுமியரின் பொம்மை விளையாட்டும், மணல் விளையாட்டும், ஆற்று நீராட்டமும் இந்த இயற்கைச் சூழலுக்கு ஒத்துப் போகின்றன. இதனால்தான், பெண் குழந்தைகளை ஈடுபடுத்தும் வண்ணம் விளையாட்டாக இந்த நோன்பினை முனிவர்கள்அமைத்துள்ளனரோ என்று எண்ணத் தோன்றுகிறது.