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Monday, January 4, 2016
Day – 5 of Garbottam year 2015-16 - disappointing for Chennai but good for SW Monsoon.
The 5th day of Garbottam started a little
after 5 PM on 2nd January 2016 and ended after 5 PM on 3rd
The 195th day effect in my place of
observation will be on 12th
The corresponding fortnight is from 16th August to 30th
The 5th day of Garbottam looked like a continuation
of the 4th day with very less symptoms of ‘pregnancy’ of clouds or
rainfall. The air very still and day was quite hot. No clouds were seen
anywhere in the sky right from the morning. The night also was cloudless as
stars were clearly visible. Around noon there was hot breeze.
For a good Garbottam at least one feature must be
there : there must be clouds, winds or some ‘activity’ in the atmosphere either
as a drizzle or a rumbling thunder or a lightening or glossy clouds or a
reddish sun rise or sunset. The only feature noticed was cool nights and no
snowfall or mist.
For the month of Margazhi chillness must be there.
It indicates normal rains next year. If snowfall or mists are noticed, the
rainfall season will be deficient. Snowfall and mist are reserved for Thai
month. On the 5th day of Garbottam, one feature that was observed
was cooler night. Let us see how far this helps in rainfall on 12th
July or in the 2nd half of August.
Today’s Garbottam is important on one account as its
corresponding fortnight falls in the early part of the month of Aavani when a
phenomenon called “AavaNi muzhakkam” (ஆவணி
முழக்கம்) must happen for good rainfall
later. This is applicable to Tamilnadu. One can find this mentioned in Tamil
Panchangam. This happens on the 6th
day of AavaNi. The calendar date is 22nd
August 2016. On that day thunderbolts must be heard. Rainfall is not
expected on this day, but the roar of thunderbolts must be heard. That roar is
signified as Muzhakkam of AavaNi. It indicates good rainfall in the rest of the
Going by today’s (5th day) Garbottam,
rains are not expected in the 2nd half of August (16th to
30 August 2016). But it is enough thunderbolts are heard. The hot wind at noon
and coolness at night are the features that were present on this day. It must
be seen if they have an impact on thunder- cloud formation on that fortnight.
The rationale of Garbottam is that it indicates opposites.
The observation of the 5
factors for day- 5 are as follows:
(1) Wind:- Not gentle but hot winds around
noon. The night time air was still.
Result:- This is not a good factor for rainfall.
(2) Rain:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.
(3) Lightening:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said
(4) Thunder:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.
(5) Clouds:- Cloudless.
Horizon looked dim as if clouds were there. But as day was coming to an end, it
appeared that there were no clouds near the horizon.
(1) Terrestrial :- Behaviour
of birds satisfactory but appeared restricted due to hot and dry conditions. .
(2) Atmospheric :- Of
the 12 features noted in my blog onGarbottam,
nothing could be made out. Clouds scorched by the sun are a feature of
Garbottam. At times it appeared that clouds were vaporised by sunlight. Region
around the horizon looked deceptive. The weather on the corresponding period
would give some clarity on what this appearance was in reality.
(3) Planetary:- (1)
Stars appeared whitish and as faint discs. (2) Except Jupiter all the
other planets were in Southern declinations. Planets in northern declinations
are desirable for good rainfall. (3) Conjunction of Moon with Mars in Chitra
star on this day can be termed as malefic.
(1) The period between 16th August
and 30th August 2016 is going to be dry in my place of
observation. Two factors (1) the hot air at day and coolness at night and (2)
conjunction of Moon with malefic Mars in the windy sign are likely to cause
strong winds and thunderbolts and rain clouds getting shattered by winds.
(2) The 195th day, namely 12th
July 2016 is likely to be dry in my place of observation.
(3) But the SW Monsoon would be doing well as
August 16th 2016 marks a special combination of planets. On that day
Sun enters Leo, 4 planets (Venus, Rahu, Mercury and Jupiter) will be within 30
degrees of the Sun. In fact all the planets will be behind the sun. This line-up
even started as early as the 1st week of July 2016. If all the planets are behind the Sun or in front of the
Sun, and if this happens in the rainy season, there will be plentiful rains and
floods caused by heavy rains.
SW Monsoon of
2010 started on 30th June when all the planets
came behind the Sun.
The monsoon season of 2011 also started with all planets in front of
the Sun. 2011 was a year of floods. In 2016,
all planets are going to be behind the Sun right from the first
week of July when an additional feature of good rains namely Budha- Shukra
sameepyam is also going to happen.
A feature of the floods of 2011 (and also of Chennai
Nov- Dec 2015) is that the ground was already saturated due to rains. The Budha
– Shukra closeness for some time saturates the ground with good rains. When the
additional feature of rain fall yoga (all planets behind or in front of the
Sun) occurs, it triggers floods. In Chennai floods, it was yet another feature
which I will discuss through 9th to 13th days of
One more important feature is the conjunction of
Mercury or Venus with Rahu or Ketu. Mercury was conjunct with Ketu (opposite to
Rahu) on 30th June 2010 putting an end to the hiatus caused by
cyclone Laila. SW Monsoon was revived on that day.
Earlier in that year (2010) conjunction of Venus and
Ketu on 31st May 2010 coincided with the start of SW Monsoon.
2011 was a year of floods during SW Monsoon season. When
floods were ravaging Orissa and Bihar, Venus and Ketu were in conjunction.
For the current Garbottam- impact period, the close
line up of planets behind the Sun from 16th August 2016 coincides
with the conjunction of Venus and Rahu in the fixed sign Leo. The line-up
behind the Sun that started from July 7th is going to last till
September 12th 2016. A repeat of 2010 and 2011 rains (and floods)
can be expected in the regions where SW monsoon is due.
Any period of hiatus in the first half of August
will be ended by 16th August when Venus conjuncts with Rahu.
(Because this conjunction indicates a trigger factor).
It must be seen whether the pattern of 2010 and 2011
is repeated in 2016 for the period between July and September 12th.