The major purpose of rainfall prediction is to plan
beforehand the agricultural production. Though there are various hints on
agricultural production through Navanayakas derived from the time of entry of
the Sun in Aries (The Jagat lagna), there exists an exclusive method for this
purpose in astrology authored by Veda Vyasa of
Mahabharata fame. Vyasa’s authorship shows how old this science of astrology is
along with its application to agriculture and rainfall! This particular topic
is found in Brihad samhita authored by
Varahamihira in 40th chapter.
The basis of this prediction is the entry of the Sun
in Scorpio to predict the summer / grIshma crops of the next year and the entry
of the Sun in Taurus to predict the autumnal / sharad crops of the next season.
{This part of astrology as given by Vyasa is a strong testimony to the
knowledge of signs to ancient Indians – something the western scholars like
Dieter Koch and Koenraad Elst have been refusing to accept}.
The Summer / GrIshma crop may be equated with Rabi crops, and the autumnal / sharad crop may refer
to Kharif crops. Based on this we can say that
the sun’s entry into Scorpio indicates the sustainability and success of crops
sown in post Monsoon period and reaped in next Summer. The Sun’s entry into
Taurus shows the sustainability and success of crops sown in the beginning of
monsoon and reaped at the end of Monsoon period before winter sets in.
Bountiful production of summer
/ Rabi crops / GrIshma crops.
This is judged on the day Sun enters Scorpio (Tamil
month of Karthikai) 6 months prior to the start of GrIshma season. The
following are the combinations shown by means horoscopy diagram for easy
understanding and assimilation.
When Sun enters Scorpio, there must be benefics on
the 4th, 7th and 10th houses from Scorpio. If
so, the upcoming summer crop season will be good. (Fig 1)
Venus, Mercury, Jupiter and Moon are the benefics.
As Venus and Mercury would always be close to the Sun either in front or back
of it, we must assume that benefics here refer to Jupiter or Moon.
Fig 1
When Jupiter or Moon occupies Aquarius or Leo at the
time of Sun’s entry into Scorpio, the next season of summer crops will be good.
(Fig 2)
Fig 2
At the time of Sun’s entry into Scorpio, if it is
accompanied with Mercury and Venus on both sides or in the two adjacent signs,
the summer crops of the upcoming season will be abundant. (Fig 3)
Fig 3
If at the time of Sun’s entry into Scorpio, Jupiter
happens to be in those signs from where it casts its aspects (5th, 7th
and 9th aspects) on Scorpio or Libra, then the summer crops will
thrive well (Fig 4). In the diagram
below the possible locations of Jupiter with such aspects are given. One can
see that it coincides with Jupiter’s northern movement after it crosses its
debility sign and reaches exaltation sign. This means when Jupiter is moving
from Aquarius to Cancer, the summer crops will thrive in general. Adding up the
rule given in Fig 2, Jupiter’s transit from Aquarius to Leo also is good for
summer crops.
Fig 4
For very good yield of summer crops 6 months later, Venus
and Mercury must be accompanying the Sun before and after it when it enters
Scorpio while Moon must be joining Jupiter in Taurus. (Fig 5)
Fig 5
If at that time, Jupiter is transiting the 2nd
house from the Sun, that is, Sagittarius, the Summer crop would be half of what is realised under Fig 5 conditions. This
means Jupiter in opposition to Sun is more beneficial than being next to it. This
is shown in Fig 6.
Fig 6
One of the ideal combinations for good summer crop
production is given in Fig 7 below.
Fig 7
Malefics namely Saturn and Mars might be
accompanying the Sun or be in front or back of it when it enters Scorpio. Or
they may be transiting the opposite sign, Taurus. In all these cases, the
production of summer crops will be less. The crops won’t thrive. But if
benefics aspect them at the time of entry, crops would grow here and there. Fig
8 shows such combinations.
Fig 8.
However if the malefics occupy 6th and 7th
signs from Scorpio at the time of Sun’s entry into Scorpio, summer crops will
thrive and price level will come down (Fig 9). Though Varahamihira does not
elaborate, it looks plausible that only if benefics aspect them, crop
production would be good. The assumption is that Venus and Mercury must be
there in Libra or Scorpio to cast their aspect on these malefics.
Fig 9
When the two malefics occupy Capricorn at the time
of Sun’s entry into Scorpio, if Jupiter is in Aquarius and Moon in Taurus,
there will be abundance of Summer crops, but there will be diseases in the land
and fear of invasion. (Fig 10)
Fig 10
Now another scenario not connected with entry into
Scorpio is given in Fig 11. When Sun is moving through Sagittarius, Capricorn
and Aquarius accompanied with only benefics (Mer, Ve and /Jupiter), the ensuing
season of Summer crops will be bountiful (Fig 11)
Fig 11
Failure of Summer / Rabi / GrIshma
crops.
At the time of Sun’s entry into Scorpio, if malefics
occupy the 7th house (Taurus) with no aspect from benefics, the
summer crops will fail. Fig 12 shows Saturn and Mars in Taurus with Ven /
Mercury in the signs before and after the Sun. Though Venus and Mercury
(benefics) always accompany the Sun, if they happen to be in the signs other
than that of Scorpio at the time of sun’s entry, their aspect would not fall on
Taurus. This combination cannot ensure good crop production in the ensuing
Summer season.
Fig 12.
If Saturn and Mars or one of them is in the 2nd
house to Scorpio when Sun is entering Scorpio and if benefics are not
associated with Saturn and Mars in the 2nd, the summer crops will
fail. (Fig 13)
Fig 13
The basic idea is that at the time of Sun’s entry
into Scorpio, presence of malefics in Scorpio or Sagittarius or Taurus would
cause crop failure.
Bountiful production of autumnal
/ Kharif crops / Sharad crops.
This is ascertained from the position of planets
when the Sun enters Taurus. The prediction is
for the ensuing autumnal crop that is harvested 6 months later. This is a
reversal of what we saw for entry into Scorpio. The combinations are given
below.
Fig 14
Fig 15
Fig 16
Fig 17
Fig 18
Fig 19
Fig 20
Failure of Autumnal / Kharif /
Sharad crops
Fig 21
Fig 22
PART 2.
To test these astrological features, I searched the
internet to get the data on crops and got some
data on drought years in India. Since drought is connected with failure of
crop production, I checked those years for the above combinations of failure of
crops. One of them is given below.
Case study 1
Year
2000
– places affected were Rajasthan, Gujarat, Orissa, Andhra Pradesh, and Madhya
Pradesh – more than 100 million people were affected.
The affected places indicate the failure of SWM. There
were three break spells
during the SWM season that vastly contributed to low rainfall. Therefore the Sharad crop sown in summer /
rainy months would have yielded less. The entry of Sun in Taurus is checked to
assess this.
The above combination shows failure of Sharad crops
and also failure of SWM.
Crop failure is indicated:-
· Mars
was in Taurus at 13 degrees and Mercury was at 6 degrees when Sun entered
Taurus.
· Saturn
was in 12th house (Aries) ahead of Jupiter and Venus. Moon was in
the 5th house to Taurus.
· Though
Jupiter conjuncts Saturn in Aries, what is desired for good crop production is
aspect by Jupiter. Check Fig 19. The best Sharad crop production happens when
Jupiter in the opposite signs of Sun in Taurus.
· The
transit of two malefics Saturn and Mars in Aries and Taurus at the time of Sun’s
entry into Taurus indicates failure of crops that had to be sown in the Monsoon
season.
The failure of SWM is indicated:-
· Saturn
was in Krittika star at the time of beginning of SWM season in the year 2000
and continued to be in the same star throughout that year. This is Vayu nadi
which denies rainfall.
Similar transit of Saturn in Vayu nadi happened in
the Monsoon season of current year, 2016. From 8th
July to 17th September this year (2016) Saturn was in Vayu nadi in
Anusha star. Whenever
Saturn transits the signs Aries / Taurus and Scorpio during the SWM or NEM
season, failure of respective monsoon can be expected. The stars involved
are Bharani, Kritthiaki and Vishaka and Anusham.
· In
the above combination of planets Mars is in the lead of all planets. Soon after
the SWM started, Mars entered Mrigasheerisha star which ensured dry weather
along with Saturn in Kritthika.
· Forward
march of Mercury and Venus coming far behind it were the other major features
for lack of rainfall.
The NEM season of 2000
saw nearly half of the maximum rainfall experienced so far (35.28 cm). The
planetary combination at the time of Sun’s entry into Scorpio is shown below.
This is comparable with Fig 12 whereby Saturn in the
7th house with Mercury and Venus in the front and back sign of Sun
would ensure crop failure (Kharif).
But Jupiter had joined Saturn and is moving towards
Saturn in retrogression. And by the rule of Fig 4, Jupiter is in Taurus. These two
features gave rise to some hope for crops.
Looking at the rainfall features, Venus and Mercury
were far apart by 59 degrees which is a big gap. But Venus was in the forefront
and was soon to cross Ketu. These features helped in getting most of NEM rains
in November 2000 (41.6 % of the total NEM rainfall of that year).
Based on this we can say that success of summer crops of 2001 was just average while the autumnal crops of 2000 was an utter failure.
Case study 2.
Year 2015
– This IMD
report says that 2015 was a deficient Monsoon year with SWM being 86% of
its Long Period Average. But the NEM was good with 67.3 cm rainfall that saw a
record breaking heaviest rainfall of the Century in Chennai. Let us take a look
at the planetary combinations as per vegetable horoscopy.
Two malefics associated with Sun, one joining Sun in
Taurus and another in opposition to Sun.
Major feature of dryness is contributed by Saturn in
Anusham star.
But Jupiter was aspecting Saturn. Though its
location in Cancer is not a positive feature to help Sharad crops of 2015, its
location in watery sign and aspect over Saturn gives average
results for crop production of Kharif season 2015.
On November 17, 2015 Sun entered Scorpio. The
combinations are shown below.
This is a good rainfall combination with Saturn, Sun
and Mars transiting alternate signs and Jupiter in Jala Nadi by its location in
Purva Phalguni star. More than 56.76% of NEM rainfall of 2015 occurred in
November followed by floods in Chennai in December.
On crop production, this is comparable with Fig 7
whereby Venus is in the 11th sign, Jupiter in the 10th
sign. Mercury would soon move to the 2nd sign. The location of Venus
and Jupiter ensures more than average crop production
that was sown post-monsoon period and reaped in Summer
2016.
Case study 3
Year 2016
– The SWM was a subdued one. When SWM fails, the sharad crop also fails. Look
at the following figure. It is rule book combination, though of a mixed trend.
Jupiter – Moon conjunction in Leo (4th
house from Sun) is good for crops. Venus- Mercury conjunction in the 12th
house (Aries) is also good. But Conjunction of Saturn and Mars in the 7th
house to Sun badly mars crop production. The end result is a mixed trend of some places growing crops successfully
(Jup- Moon combination), while some others struggling to raise bountiful sharad crops in 2016.
Trends
in 2017.
The following shows the nature of Summer crops of
2017.
This is a combination of Fig 8 and Fig 10.
Moon is in the 7th house to Sun and Venus
in the 2nd house. Mars in Capricorn is aspected by Jupiter. But
Saturn in Scorpio is a spoiler though Moon’s aspect on it reduced the spoiling
effect. Basically the 2 malefics are aspected by benefics. Therefore the crop production of Summer 2017 (Rabi) would be a mixed one
with some crops and some places doing well and others struggling to sustain.
The following diagram pertains to autumnal (sharad /
Kharif) crop of 2017.
Both Venus and Mercury are behind Sun. Of them Venus
in 11th house is a good sign. Jupiter in the opposite side is also a
good sign. But Mars in Taurus is not a good sign and Moon in the 8th
is a wasted opportunity. However Mars receives the 9th aspect of
Jupiter. This is once again indicative of a mixed trend
for autumnal / Kharif crops 2017 and not overall
bountiful production.
This means that the SWM 2017
would not be uniform or above average but lopsided in its occurrence.
The overall crop production for 2017 can be said to
average Summer crops and below average autumnal crops.
Conclusion:
This is an attempt to predict crop production and
integrate it with rainfall prediction. This requires to be fine-tuned with crop
data of the past years. Looking at the upcoming year, by the middle of January
2017, it is possible to get an overall picture of rainfall nature of 2017 as
Solar Garbottam would have been over by then. A re-look at crop production of
2017 would be done then by integrating the rainfall prediction gained through
Solar Garbottam.
PS:
Starting from tomorrow, Rainfall Prediction for year 2017 will be posted on a daily basis till Solar Garbottam gets over. Interested readers may follow the posts and do the Garbottam observation in their respective locations.
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