Showing posts with label Garbottam. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Garbottam. Show all posts

Monday, May 1, 2017

Rainfall check -3 (May 2017)

Update on 11th May added at the end of the article.


 Previous articles:-

The month of May starts with 2 opposing combinations of planets that had already started giving mixed results of extreme heat and wetness with instances of hail storms and thunder storms happening since 20th April 2017.

These are (1) Mercury – Venus closeness and (2) Sun- Mars closeness.  

Mercury – Venus closeness is a first rate rainfall causing yoga whereas Sun- Mars closeness is first rate heat causing yoga.

Mercury – Venus closeness started from 20th April and continues in May also.  But this date also marks the time of beginning of closeness between Sun and Mars.






 From August 25, 2016 onwards, Mars is moving ahead of all planets. Since then the rainfall scenario is very much affected and irregular in India as a whole. This is going to last till July 29, 2017 when Sun will overtake Mars.

Whenever Mars is ahead of all planets it causes hot and dry conditions.

  


This May, Sun and Mars, the two planets known as fiery planets are moving one behind the other and in front of all the planets. This is indicative of excess heat, dry and drought like conditions in May.

 




 






In May, yet another combination exists - between Venus and Jupiter. When they are together they induce rainfall. When they are apart –that is, in opposite signs, they reduce rainfall.  From Jan 27 to May 31 Venus and Jupiter are in opposing signs.

However this opposition comes with a rainfall feature too. Opposition means one planet will be rising while another will be setting almost simultaneously.  When that happens that supports rainfall. Thus a mixed trend exists within Venus- Jupiter opposition. All these major combinations present in the month of May can be shown as follows:


Sun- Mars conjunction is happening ahead of rainfall causing Venus- Mercury conjunction. This means both conditions prevail simultaneously which could result in hot day time followed with thunder showers. Venus- Jupiter opposition gives a no win- no loss situation which can be interpreted to mean that though there may be rains, the ultimate realisation in terms of water availability and rejuvenating water sources would be nil or not sufficient.

In this context it must also be borne in mind that the just started year of Hevilambi is the year of Kaalamegha (formation of sudden dark clouds giving rainfall accompanied with strong winds) and the Meghadhipathi is Mercury which gives rainfall accompanied with windiness. The planetary combinations for May indicate just this.


Rainfall support yogas in May 2017.

(1) Mercury – Venus closeness lasts from April 20 to June 21, 2017.

From April 20, Mercury has been moving backwards towards Venus which helps in reducing the gap between them. However on May 3, Mercury stops retrogression. It starts forward motion after that. From then onwards, Venus and Mercury would be moving forward one behind the other and this does not help in getting them any closer.

Their closeness happening in signs that denote west (Venus in Pisces) and east (Mercury in Aries) shows isolated rainfall in eastern and western parts of India. In the past when these two directions were involved it resulted in rainfall in interior Peninsular India with more areas in the western section of Peninsular India, as Venus, the rain-giver is in the sign of west.

The distance between them in the month of May is tabulated below to show how far the reduction in gap can help.

Date
Distance between Venus and Mercury
Remarks
May 1
23 degrees

May 5
21*

May 9 to
May 17
19*
Closest in this season
May 20
20*

May 25
22*

May 30
24*


The closest distance between them is 19 degrees happening for 9 days.

Though this distance is insufficient to ensure widespread and heavy rainfall, it can support rainfall to some extent. The stars transited by Mercury and Venus at this time shows that North and NE India would get isolated thunder storms.

(2) Sun in Vayu Nadi.

When Sun moves through the star Rohini, it is said to be in Vayu nadi. Though it is not categorised as rainfall yoga, it can give rainfall accompanied with gales and winds. This period is in between May 25 and June 8, 2017. Sun in Rohini indicates central parts of India and interior Peninsular India.

(3) Venus enters the next sign, Aries on May 31

Usually when Venus enters the next sign in the rainy season, it triggers rainfall. With this entry into Aries, Venus and Mercury come to occupy Aries with no planet in between them. The closeness between them continues.


Rainfall spoiling yogas in May 2017.

(1) Mars ahead of all the planets.

(2) Sun- Mars conjunction happening ahead of all the planets.

(3) Mars in Dahana Nadi while it is moving in the star Mrigasheersha between May 16 and June 5.

(4) Mars enters Gemini on May 27, thereby coming to the opposite of Saturn. When Mars and Saturn are in opposite signs, it does spoil or retard rainfall.


Remarks:

One can notice that the combined reading of rainfall causing and spoiling yogas do not show a trigger feature for onset of SW monsoon.

Venus- Mercury closeness at 19 degrees is not enough, as they used to be in exact conjunction in the past that had triggered a meteorological event such as onset or formation of a system. The only redeeming feature is the entry of Venus in Aries by which it comes to be in the same sign with Mercury. This date (May 31) might perhaps indicate a weak onset of SWM.


List of important dates of rainfall for May 2017.


Date
Astrological feature

Event
Place
Spoilers, if any
1
May 3
Mercury ends retrogression

Thunder storms
NE India
Mars in forefront.
2
May 9 to May 17
Mercury- Venus closer at 19*
Thunder storms
Northern Himalayan countries,

NE India,

Interior Peninsular India.

     ”
3
May 15
Sun enters Taurus.
Spurt in heat conditions
South India
(1) Sun and Mars in same sign.

(2) Sun – Mars closer to each other

(3) Sun – Mars ahead of all the other planets.

4
May 16
Mars enters Mrigasheerisha

Spurt in hot conditions.
Peninsular India.

Central India.
 
    ”
5
May 17
Gap between Venus and Mercury starts increasing.
Reduction in rainfall
Peninsular India.

     ”
6
May 25
Sun enters Rohini
Scattered rainfall with gales.
South interior Tamilnadu.

Central India and west India.


     ”
7
May 27
Mars enters Gemini
Reduction in rainfall
West India
     ”
Saturn in opposition to Mars.
8
May 31
Venus enters Aries.
(1) Venus joins Mercury in the same sign.

(2) Venus comes out of Jupiter- opposition.

(3) Simultaneous rising of Mars and setting of Saturn.



Weak onset of SWM
(1) Mars in forefront

(2) Sun, Mercury and Venus line-up behind Mars.

(3) Mars- Saturn opposition.

Rainfall for Chennai.

The above planetary combinations do not indicate rainfall in eastern coastal regions of south India.
The daily Garbottam charts were not maintained for this month. However we can derive some inputs from the rainfall data of Nov- Dec 2016.

May 2017 corresponds to waning Aippasi and waxing Karthigai of last year. This corresponds to the period between mid- November to mid- December 2016.

November 2016 was totally dry and cloudless in Chennai. But there was Vardah cyclone crossing Chennai on Dec 11, 2016. It occurred in waxing phase of Karthigai. Assuming a few days prior to that had cloudy conditions, it corresponds to dates around May 20. In the absence of daily Garbottam chart, this cannot be confirmed.


UPDATE on 11th May 2017.

The rainfall yoga caused by closeness between Mercury and Venus is having an upper hand over the deficient yoga caused by Mars moving in the forefront.

Ever since Mercury- Venus closeness began on 20th April, it had been raining in those parts indicated in the chart above.

Particularly from 9th May onwards, the rainfall has been fairly widespread in interior South India. On 9th these two planets came closest to each other and this distance continues to be the same till 17th May. Therefore  we can expect the current trend of widespread rainfall until then. 

Even after that, the closeness continues until 21st June thereby indicating continuing scope for rainfall. The closeness season indicating rainfall for 2017, written in my blog 27th December 2016 is shown below. 



The huge gap between June 21 and August 27 is a cause for concern and will be written in detail in the upcomimg monthly articles.

For the time being, the following factors (already written in the above article) are of importance.

15th May - Sun enters next sign (Taurus) to join with Mars - Spurt in heat conditions.
However the same combination leaves back Mercury and Venus to be close and together. This helps in rainfall activity.

25th May - Sun enters Rohini - Spurt in rainfall accompanied with thunder and winds.
31st May - Venus enters Aries to join with Mercury - They are going to be together in the same sign till 19th June without any adverse aspect from any planet - Rainfall activity.

These two dates - 25th May and 31st May - might be associated with onset of SWM.

Rainfall for Chennai:

Parts of Chennai received drizzles on the night of 9th May and in the morning of 11th (today).

My place received mild drizzle
at 9 PM on 9th May
and at 11 AM on 11th May for a few minutes.

These two are good Garbottam features and relate to the day before and after Deepavali this year. (Chathurdashi before Amavasya and Prathamai after Amavasya in Aippasi)

The dates are 18th and 20th October 2017. This means that many parts of Chennai would receive rainfall on the days before and after Deepavali this year.

Looking backwards before 6 and a half months, to see the link to drizzles today and on 9th May, we get interesting connections.

The corresponding dates are 29th and 31st October 2016.
On 29th October 2016, cyclone Kyant was expected to have hit Chennai. But it went away from Chennai. Perhaps the presence of rain clouds off Chennai brought drizzles and mild rains to Chennai today and on 9th.

Cloud formation in my location at 10 AM on 11th May 2017.

Saturday, April 1, 2017

Rainfall check -2 (April 2017)

(Update added on 18th April 12017 at the end of the article)

Previous articles:-

The month of April marks the start of the New Year in ancient Indian context that primarily coincides with the beginning of the rainfall season for the country as a whole. Though the date of New Year differs from region to region in India, what remains common is the planetary transit that indicates rainfall but it must be supported by local Garbottam.

For example the day of New Year for Tamilnadu and Kerala marks the entry of the Sun in the star Aswini in Aries. When sun moves across Aswini, it is said to be in Vayu nadi. This is supposed to bring rains accompanied with winds. This lasts till the Sun crosses Aswini which normally takes 13 to 14 days. This means that in normal course, the fortnight following the start of New Year must see pre-monsoon showers in the form of thunder storms. This New Year being applicable to Kerala and Tamilnadu, these showers must in normal course benefit these two States.

This year the month of April 2017 comes with both rainfall yoga and deficient yoga in each category with fairly good strength. In other words there is going to be a tug of war between these two. In between these two extremities, there are two moderate yogas and a couple of transits that help in sudden rains. Before detailing them, let me show in the form of horoscopic diagram the current nature of planetary transits as we enter April.

·       Jupiter in opposition to Sun is a strong deterrent for rainfall. Even since Sun entered Pisces (on 14th March) this opposition started.

·       Another deterrent is the opposition between Venus and Jupiter throughout March and April too.

·       As we begin April, yet another dry and heat related feature is dominant in the sky. It is the presence of Mars ahead of all the planets.  Right from 25th August in 2016, Mars had been moving ahead of all the planets and this comes to an end only on 29th July in 2017. This forward motion of Mars discourages rainfall and scorches the land. Presently its transit across Bharani causes excess heat.

·       The current heat wave is attributed to Mars in forward position followed by Mercury in Fiery sign of Aries. Mercury is connected with winds and Mars with heat in astrology. When they join in fiery sign and are ahead of other planets they cause unprecedented heat waves on the land.  

·       However on 13th  April 2017, Mars moves over to the next sign. So until then unprecedented heat wave will be felt. Mercury still continues to be in Aries but on 10th  April it enters into combustion with Sun. This marks the arrival of first rainfall of the pre-monsoon season. The entry of Sun into Aries (and in Aswini) closely after that on 14th April is supportive of pre-monsoon showers.

Rainfall support yoga in April 2017.

Earlier in an article written on 27th Dec 2016, I showed the dates of rainfall yoga supported by Venus- Mercury closeness.  As per that, it rained in March. The next period starts in April.

On 10th April, Mercury starts retrogression and enters combustion with Sun. On 20th April, Mercury conjuncts with Sun which is a trigger feature for some meteorological event. From then onwards, Mercury and Venus are moving towards each other with no planet in between. Effectively from 20th April onwards, rainfall yoga begins. This is a major rainfall yoga in April. This lasts till 21st June.


Rainfall spoiling yoga in April 2017.

The major rainfall spoiling yoga is Mars in front of all the planets. Particularly at a time the above mentioned rainfall yoga begins, Mars also begins its sojourn through star Rohini. Mars in Rohini and Arudra would scorch the land. Infact Mars in Rohini is the most feared transit which has seen unrest, wars and terror activities.

In between these two extreme yogas, there are some transits that favour rainfall. Finally it all boils down to the local Garbottam in a place. The list of dates of importance to rainfall activity in April 2017 is given in the table below.


Date
Astrological
feature
Event
Place
Spoilers, if any
1
April 10
Mercury starts retrogression.

Enters combustion.
Sudden rainfall, hail storms  and flash floods.
North and NE India.
Kashmir.
Mars in forefront.
2
April 14 to 26
Sun in Aswini (Vayu nadi)
Thunder storms
East and NE India
Mars as above.

Sun in between Venus and Mercury.

Venus in Purva Bhadrapada brings clouds but less rains.
3
April 20
Mercury in deep conjunction with Sun.

Moon in Amirtha Nadi.

Mercury – Venus closeness begins.
Trigger to rainfall.
NW and West India.

Some places in interior south India.
As above
4
April 23
Venus comes out of Nirjala Nadi (Purva Bhadrapada).

Moon joins Venus in Jala Rasi (Pisces)

Moon joins Jupiter in its own Navamsa.
Trigger to rainfall
Western parts of India.
Mars in forefront
5
April 21 onwards
Sun behind Mars with Mars in forefront of all planets
Increase in temperature,
Heat wave conditions.

Rainfall affected
East and South India.

6
April 27
Mars enters Rohini
Rainfall affected.

Dry and hot conditions.
Central and South India

7
April 29
Mercury comes out of combustion.

Re-enters Pisces to join Venus.
Sudden rains and flash floods.
North and NE India.
Mars in forefront and in Rohini.


Rainfall for Chennai.

April coincides with waxing phase in Panguni and waning phase in Chithirai.

Only after 21st April, there is support from planetary combinations (Mercury- Venus closeness ). And we have to check local Garbottam also.

The corresponding Garbottam period for April 2017 is waning phase in Purattasi and waxing phase in Aippasi.

The corresponding dates / months for this are
2nd half of September 2016 and first half of November 2016.

The interesting feature is October 2016 is completely out of picture in determining rainfall in April this year. It must be recalled that October 2016 was almost dry and cyclone Kyant also failed. But it did bring some overhead clouds which can be counted on as Garbottam. But October is out of reckoning for gauging rainfall this April!

Looking at the cloudiness or rainfall data during the corresponding months, Chennai did receive rains on 15th and 26th September 2016. But I didn’t keep record of the cloudiness of the dates during that period. (Garbottam theory requires us to keep record throughout the year and not just for 6 months prior to monsoon season. Previous year’s monsoon season gives clues on rainfall scenario during pre-monsoon season of the next year)

If it is assumed that cloudy weather was present around 26th September 2016, it is possible to see some isolated rainfall after 7th April in Chennai.

November 2016 had remained more or less dry, Only on 13th November 2016, it had rained in my place of observation.  Some cloud patches around that date could give isolated rainfall to Chennai in the last week of April.



UPDATE on 18th April 2017.

(1) The first rainfall of this month was experienced in J & K on 6th and 7th April. Though rains were expected in Kashmir on 10th, as per the above table, in reality it occurred on 6th and 7th.

The probable explanation is that Moon was in cancer (its own sign which also happens to be watery sign). All the other planets were in unfavourable positions, thereby reducing the quantum and area of rainfall.

(2) Rainfall was fairly widespread and also in isolated pockets in NE India on 10th April But such rainfall was experienced in days prior to 10th also.

(3) On 15th April, cyclone Maarutha formed as a tropical Depression in the Bay. It moved NE and made landfall in Myanmar on the night of 17th April.

(4) Ever since Sun entered Aries, the temperature had risen high in many places in India. Between 16th to 19th, heat wave alerts have been given. The main cause must be to do with forward march of Mars ahead of all planets and Sun in fiery sign. Initially I thought that heat wave will come down once Mars moves out of Bharani. But reality check shows that it is not so.

On 20th Mercury crosses Sun backwards which results in Sun and Mars to be one behind the other, and ahead of all the other planets. In normal circumstances we interpret it to cause severe heat wave. But then from 20th onwards, the gap between Mercury and Venus is going to reduce thereby causing a rainfall yoga. It remains to be seen how this fructifies or balances with the simultaneous closeness of Mars and Sun ahead of others. Thunder storms due to "veppa chalanam" or dry aandhi winds might result from this diametrically opposite combinations.