Why MMS could not give a fraction of what Chetan Bhagat could on Demonetisation?

As I was planning to write on Manmohan Singh’s admonition of the Demonetisation process (Full text here ) in the Rajya Sabha, I happened to come across a brilliant piece by Chetan Bhagat which is reproduced at the end of the article.

Though at the outset MMS seemed to be critical of the demonetisation drive of the Modi Government, he actually did not find fault with the motive of this drive. He did say that “Prime Minister has been arguing that this is the way to curb black money, to prevent growth of forfeiture currency notes and also to help in control of terrorist finance activities. I do not disagree with these objectives.” What he found faulty was the execution plan which he characterised as ‘monumental mismanagement’. It is unfortunate he did not and could not come up with any one suggestion of how to make the execution process better. As an economist and a banker, he must have given some better suggestions in the nature of corrective steps which however were found in the simple ‘take’ of Chetan Bhagat! After reading his, it looks obvious that it does not need an economist’s brain to give those suggestions. It is all common sense and some clarity in thinking that tells what is lacking in the execution process and where. It is a pity that MMS could not demonstrate that clarity or was not allowed to display it.  

Perhaps the party he belongs to must be held responsible for it. For, there is on record a quotable quote of his party under the leadership of the mother in law of his leader forfeiting the responsibility of wiping out black money in the country for narrow political reasons. In a brilliant article titled “Demonetisation Demythified” the economist Bibek Debroy recalls the conversation Y.B.Chavan, the then Finance Minister had with Prime Minister Indira Gandhi.

So, political considerations came in the way of economic reforms for the so-called Iron lady of India. While everyone knew that something must be done to check black money and that something is going to be more painful for the politician in terms of risks and political costs, isn’t it laudable that we have at least in our times a iron- willed politician who thinks above politics?

Looking at the hue and cry made only by the political parties – for obvious reasons of having lost their unaccounted wealth at one stroke – which is what MMS perhaps referred to when he said that demonetisation is a “case of organised loot, legalised plunder” (of politician’s wealth), we need intellectuals come forward – with Manmohan Singh on the lead - with ideas to better the process and reduce the inconvenience to the honest people.

I make a specific reference to honest people because going by the figures quoted it seems that a vast majority of those coming under non-salaried class are not honest by having unaccounted money that forms a substantial part of the black money. They have to fall in line and become law abiding. They are the losers in this demonetisation drive and they are the ones who are actually affected by the so-called ‘inconvenience’ and ‘sufferings’. This reform is meant to reform them.

But it appears the desired results have started setting in. The following tweets by Rahul Kanwal say a lot about them.

This drive followed by a series of measures in sequences make it difficult for people to make shady dealings. This is not a medium or long term effect but an immediate effect which is set to continue as long as vigilant and control systems are in place and working. In that sense Economics of Modi which I wish to call as Modinomics is a new revolutionary theory of economics of modern times aimed at curbing black money and cleaning the economy and people’s mind as well.

There was a time when economy was totally free of State control. But State interference was advocated – particularly by Keynes (who was quoted by MMS “in the long run all of us are dead”) to uplift the sagging economy from Depression. Since then all the countries are doing what he had said (Keynesian Economics). But times are such that social behaviour also plays a part in economics. 

Greed, cheating, currency terrorism (floating fake currencies done by Pakistan), aiding terrorism by fake and unaccounted money and even winning polls by unaccounted money have become the order of the day. Preaching and teaching good behaviour are obsolete in this situation. Some master strokes with a volley of measures and counter measures to check the newly coming up challenges to derail the process have to be innovated to tackle the situation. This is what Modinomics is doing in the current Demonetisation drive. To put it more exactly, a concept of Modinomics is evolving now which would be written as a theory in about a decade or two’s time.

The whole world is watching as this is the problem in many countries. The success or otherwise of this drive would tell the theorists how well this can be codified as a solution to the socio-economic ill-behaviour of the present and future world.

In this context the quote by MMS from Keynes that “in the long run all of us are dead” looks like a mis-quote. The actual context of this statement by Keynes is to dismiss the criticism of his detractors on the long term implication of his theories. His take was that none of them would live that long to see the expected negative implications of his theories. But in the case of Modinomics, we had started seeing the so-called long term effects in the immediate short term which is what is revealed in Rahul’s tweet above.

With digitalisation getting ushered in and continuous monitoring-cum- corrective steps being taken to check black transactions and the proposed Benami transaction reforms as a follow-up of the current drive on demonetisation, a new situation is arising where Long term is short term and Future is not far away!

- Jayasree

Related article:-
Demonetisation drive is Swachh Bharat in the economic front.

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From

https://www.facebook.com/chetanbhagat.fanpage/posts/10154748742431602

Chetan Bhagat

15 November at 05:07 · 

My Take on Demonetization
========================

Many have asked me to give my views on demonetization, suggest any positive ideas and explain the benefits and issues in simple terms. Since it is not possible to do it all in a few tweets. Here is my take on it., both the MOVE itself as well as the EXECUTION of it.

THE MOVE:

Benefits:
1) It shows government’s seriousness to tackle black money. This signaling effect alone is a huge benefit to the nation where many evade taxes.
2) It will ensure a significant part of the black money gets back to the government. It's not true that nobody gains from the money burnt/thrown away. (See next point)
3) The old money not swapped in banks is effectively the government's Profit. Say 17 lakh crs of total money existed in old notes, and only 13 lakh crores comes back. For remaining 4 lakh crores, the government can print new notes, and keep it themselves. Hence, the government does stand to make a lot of money in this (which can be then used for people)
4) It's nice to see a PM who works, has innovative ideas and wants to make a change. We have had leaders who sat quietly and did little. It is good to see a man of action.

At the same time, like any policy, there are some issues.

Issues:

1) Execution of such an exercise in India is no joke. We just aren't technically ready to do this in a smooth manner. (That is why we are facing some execution issues, which I get into later.)

2) There are some tricks still people can use to swap black money into new money. It will reduce the amount of black money recovered.

3) There is a huge cash economy in India. It isn't 'black'. It's just cash. To suck up so much liquidity will lead to a slowdown and losses for a lot of people, for no fault of their own. The slowdown in economic activity will cause lower profits, and in turn lower taxes for the government.

4) A potential crash in real estate prices. While some want property prices to fall, a huge drop can cause an economic shock, reduction in bank collateral values etc., again leading to a recession.

5) The exercise by definition involves everyone swapping their money after showing their 

credentials. In effect, everyone has to prove they are innocent and have clean money. This is somewhat invasive to citizens, and while there is no other way, it remains an issue.

6) The exercise would be expensive, and that cost needs to be taken into account.

7) It's a jolt to our stable monetary system. Doing it again and again will cause people to lose confidence in our currency. It's really a one-off, and even that destabliizes things.

8) The tax department may use it as an excuse to harass people later, with endless questioning about the extra bank entries.

Net Effect:

Overall, demonetization is a good move. Given the extent of black money in the country, and the tiny taxpayer base, something had to be done. It had to be drastic. It has been done now. We should now do what it takes to make it succeed.

THE EXECUTION:

As important as an idea is it's execution. There clearly have been execution issues, causing pain to a lot of Indians who have wasted a lot of productive time in queues. While doing things for the nation is good, one need not have to suffer because of bad planning or someone not thinking things through. The good and bad of the execution are:

Good:

1. It's happening, and still the country is chugging along. Banks across the country are slow, but doing their bit. There is no mass hunger, or calamity so far. Thank God.

2. Government is taking steps to ease the pain. The change in limits helps. The banks are also devising ways to manage the crowds.

3. People in India are on the whole, taking it well.

Bad:

1. Someone didn't plan the logistics well - it is one thing to make an excel spreadsheet of number of bank branches and the people involved. It is quite another to when you deal with India's reality on the ground. There are bottlenecks galore in this exercise - whether printing of notes, uncaliberated ATMs, or limits to the number of cash vans. One can say whatever about the secrecy required, but it seems that while finance professionals sat and spoke up in the meetings, industrial engineers and operations research experts probably did not to the extent required. We are seeing the fallout now.

2. Citizens do not have to take so much pain. Inconvenience is one thing, suffering quite another. To say bear it in the name of patriotism is not listening to the issue - the execution is not efficient. It is the same as how people say - "Oh, the temple is dirty, bear it in the name of God." Sorry, God had nothing to do with it. The temple management didn't keep the temple clean. Same ways, patriotism has nothing to do with the fact that someone didn't plan the ATMs better or didn't make the new 500-Rs note available early.

FINAL CONCLUSION AND IDEAS FOR SMOOTH EXECUTION:

In final analysis, we should support demonetization, but keep reminding the government to iron out the execution issues. Some ideas:

1. Online appointment booking for banks.
2. Easy forms, which can be pre-filled. Faster check-outs at banks.
3. Hiring interns at banks for short term, supervised by existing employees.
4. Opening banks 24 X 7 after new hires come in.
5. Supplying enough notes to banks as fast as possible.
6. Fixing the ATMs
7. Declaring one or two holidays (not for banks!) for people to get their finances in order
8. Removing withdrawal limits as fast as possible.
9. Having empathy for people in lines, from the highest levels of government.
10. Giving an incentive to people to come to the bank. A meal coupon would go a long way too.

I hope the above helps you understand demonetization better. I also hope you focus on the making the exercise work, which means supporting the idea and yet demanding better execution. It also means not to get sucked into any propaganda or political drama.

Do share with others if you think this will help people get some clarity on what is going on and what needs to be done.

God bless.

Thanks, love and Jai Hind,
Chetan Bhagat

What do you call a person who embraced Hinduism- - a Hindu?

Posted below is an article by Jeffery D Long, an American who has embraced Hinduism. He raises a pertinent question as to what would you call one who is not born a Hindu but follows Hinduism. Applying the yardstick of other religions which owe their growth to conversions, it can be said that one who follows Hinduism is Hindu only. But the difference is that the allegiance to Hinduism is voluntary and to put it more precisely such allegiance must come from within. One is supposed to develop thinking on the Para Brahman in order to attain Him. This is the simplest way of telling what Hinduism expects from one.

For this to happen, the beginnings are made in various ways and simple and basic ways – the most basic way being belief in a devatha. So this makes it known that mere birth into a Hindu family does not make one a Hindu. There are many Hindus – a popular example being Karunanidhi – who are born in Hindu families but never attempted to contemplate on the Almighty and never thought of the need to do so. Such being the case when someone from some remote part of the world develops interest in Hindu thought and follows it earnestly, nothing prevents him / her to be identified as a Hindu. Though this name is recent, in the world of different paths, it is necessary to stick to this easily identifiable name, Hindu.

The basic feature expected of a Hindu (a term that is best recognised as applying to one who follows Veda matham) is to connect his brain (knowledge) with heart (Thought). The knowledge is that of the Brahman which is the cause and effect of this creation and also the substratum that supports this creation and the sustenance giver as well for the created worlds. That knowledge has been captured by the Rishis in their meditation and given as means (upaya) for mankind to get benefited. All of us are drawing on those means given variously by various sages and down the ages. We get hold of it and think of it by heart. Puja, prayers, singing and chanting are all done by heart. From heart one should travel to the brain – gyana / knowledge.

This can be best explained through how a mantra is invoked.  In invoking any mantra, one touches the head while mentioning the name of the Rishi who gave that mantra, touches the nose while mentioning the metre / form of the mantra and touches the heart while mentioning the devatha (deity) meditated upon / invoked through that mantra. At the simplest level of following, this is done by taking the ideas given by the sages and praying or meditating on it at heart. The connection between brain and heart is done by the Prana that is signified by the nose.

Prana gives living or existence. Having born or birth itself is a boon that must be utilised well. Using this birth, connect the brain and heart – the knowledge of the Brahman to be meditated upon so that one attains the level of Brahman. Whoever works towards this end is a Hindu.

The difference between those who are born Hindu and those who become Hindu is that the latter do it with awareness invariably whereas not all in the former category can be said to be aware of what they have to do. Using this as the yardstick, we can say that those who embrace by choice have far better understanding of Hinduism and therefore definitely deserve to be called as Hindus.

Related articles:-

Paramacharya of Kanchi on 'Hindu' religion.

Origin of the word “Hindu”

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From

https://www.myind.net/my-journey-hindu-dharma-part-one-setting-scene

My Journey to Hindu Dharma (Part One): Setting the Scene

by

Jeffery D Long

       Who Cares? No matter how many times I present it in various venues, either in talks or in articles in books or on the internet, I find that there is an ongoing fascination with the story of how I came to identify myself as Hindu, and to be an active, participating member of the Hindu community in North America.  I suspect this is because my story, while it is certainly not unique, is unusual.  I also suspect it is because American culture is often perceived to be diametrically opposed to Hindu values–a perception that is both true and false, depending on which part of American culture and which part of Hindu Dharma one is comparing.  There is also an assumption that most Americans are either Christian and antagonistic to all other faiths or paths, or materialist and antagonistic or indifferent to all spirituality.  In reality, though, the situation is far more complex.

My Story in Context

A recent Pew research poll on the ethnic make-up of American religious communities[1] revealed that, while the vast majority of Hindus in America are of Asian heritage–mostly of Indian origin–a small but not insignificant number of those who identify as Hindu are from other ethnic backgrounds.  Among the roughly 2.23 million Hindus in America, the study found that 91 percent are of Asian heritage.  Of the remaining 9 percent, 2 percent self-identified as being of “mixed” heritage.  4 percent identified themselves as white, 2 percent as African American, and 1 percent as Hispanic.  This means there are roughly 89,200 white American Hindus, 44,600 African American Hindus, and 22,300 Hispanic American Hindus.

These numbers are not insignificant.  They suggest that non-Indian Hindus, while yet a small minority in the Hindu American community–and an absolutely tiny minority in the global Hindu community of almost one billion–are nevertheless a real, definite presence.  Non-Indian Hindus are now, as many of my students would say, “a thing.”  Indeed, our first Hindu representative to the US Congress, Tulsi Gabbard, is a Hindu; but she is not of Indian descent.

There have, of course, been non-Indian Hindus for many centuries.  The Hindus of Bali, a remnant of what was once a much wider Hindu presence across Southeast Asia, have been around for a very long time.  I am speaking here of Hindus in the West, and in the United States in particular, who are not part of the Indian Diaspora: Western Hindus.

Another poll, famously cited by Lisa Miller in her 2009 Newsweek essay, ‘We Are All Hindus Now,’[2] suggests that the influence of Hindu thought upon American attitudes and beliefs goes far beyond those who self-identify as Hindu.  According to this information, a majority of Americans–65 percent–believe that “many religions can lead to eternal life.” This number includes a surprising 37 percent of white evangelical Christians. This survey also indicates that 24 percent of Americans believe in reincarnation, and that 30 percent–almost a third–self-identify as “spiritual but not religious.”  And of course there are the vast numbers who practice some form or other of yoga, either as a type of exercise or as a total way of life.

It is in the context just described that my journey is best understood.  Beginning with the coming of Swami Vivekananda to the US in 1893–or even before that, if one takes into account the Transcendentalists and Theosophists of the nineteenth century, and their deep fascination with both Hindu and Buddhist thought–the spiritual seeker who turns to India for inspiration has been a feature of American society.  For some, this turning is a casual flirtation, an appropriation of a few ideas, and maybe even some practices, into a lifestyle that does not change in any fundamental way.  It may even take the form of assimilating Hindu ideas or practices into a Christian spirituality–a phenomenon that some have called ‘digestion.’  For others, the experience is more profound and life changing, leading one to orient one’s whole existence around the wisdom that one has discovered, perhaps even to the point of identifying oneself religiously as Hindu.  Finally, for a few, the experience is so profound that one goes, as it were, ‘all the way,’ and joins a monastic order, becoming a swami or a pravrajika and giving one’s life completely to the spiritual path.

I would locate myself in the middle group which I have just described: as one who has found Hindu thought and practice so compelling that it has defined the orientation of my life.  I did not go to the point of joining a monastic order, though this is certainly a path I contemplated at one point.  I did, however, marry into the tradition, though this is not how I first came to Hindu Dharma.  I was already deeply immersed in Hindu thought and practice when my wife and I first met, now more than twenty years ago.  My choice of a career was shaped by my spiritual journey, though.  I became a professional scholar and teacher of Indian traditions–or Dharma traditions–precisely because I wanted to immerse myself in knowledge of all these paths. 

The perspectives taken by scholars in an academic setting are, as is well known, not the same as those taken in a traditional setting.  There is often tension–and sometimes even hostility–between the two.  I believe, though, that one can learn from all perspectives, and that both the tradition and the academy can benefit from thoughtful and respectful mutual engagement.  I have tried, in my own small way, to be a bridge between the two.  But that is a story for another day.

Who Is a Hindu?

Some may argue that only one born into Hindu Dharma can rightfully claim to be Hindu.  If that is the case, then we, the 156,000 or so non-Indian Hindus in the US, are deceiving ourselves.  While I do not agree with this perspective, I want to conclude this particular essay by saying that I respect it.  Indeed, I know others who have been deeply influenced by Hindu traditions–who even have a guru and practice their sadhana faithfully–but who do not identify themselves as Hindu precisely because they respect the tradition and are concerned not to give offense.  Perhaps we should call ourselves something else: people inspired by Hinduism, or people who follow a Hindu philosophy or way of life.  We can also identify, as many do, with the specific Hindu tradition to which we are affiliated: with ISKCON, or with Transcendental Meditation, or with Siddha Yoga, or with the Self-Realization Fellowship, or, in my case, with the Ramakrishna Mission (known in the US as the Vedanta Society).  But when explaining our beliefs to our fellow Americans who are unfamiliar with these traditions, we inevitably end up using the word ‘Hindu.’  It is on this pragmatic basis that I so identify myself with this tradition that, for me, has changed everything.

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[1] http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/07/27/the-most-and-least-racially-diverse-u-s-religious-groups/ft_15-07-23_religiondiversityindex-1/

[2] Miller, Lisa. “We All Hindus Now” (Newsweek, August 31, 2009)

Demonetisation drive is Swachh Bharat in the economic front.

What is now happening after Modiji made that announcement on the demonetisation of 500 and 1000 rupee notes is a movement. It is a kind of Swachh Bharat in the economic front. All of us are part of this movement to clean the country of the unaccounted cash. In any movement, some amount of labour and sacrifice would be there. Let people consider so while waiting at the ATM or curbing their expenses for now. Everyone waiting at the ATM can hold his head high that he has nothing hide but is standing there as an honest citizen to exchange his hard earned money. Only the likes of Mamata, Kejriwal and separatists are the shocked lot. The fact that there is no ceasefire violation by Pakistan at Kashmir border and no stone pelting in Kashmir since then is proof of what the Government has been saying on counterfeit notes sent by Pakistan. There is of course news on how hoarders are trying to hoodwink but it also appears the Government is well prepared to handle them stage by stage.

44 lakh worth banned 500 & 1000 rupee notes offered at Jalagandeshwarar temple in Vellore dist of Tamilnadu by an anonymous donor.

Already the readers would have read a whole lot of implications of this move through many sources of communication. I have nothing new to add except making a blog on this topic to express my support for Modiji that I am / we are with him in this drive to cleanse the economy.

In this context I am posting below an article that I found good enough to drive home the point that the media, particularly the TV channels are making an unnecessary fuss over the inconveniences that we as part of this movement have to put up with. They have to be ignored or exposed but never given importance. Also all such stuff appearing in print media should be ignored and not circulated to create a negative opinion on this drive. Instead the everyday news on how currency notes have been discarded or pushed into banking system by luring poor people do so for a commission must be publicised to create awareness on how these should be condemned. We have to do a thorough job of cleaning the system of the dirty money in whatever way possible.

- Jayasree

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From

http://www.dailyo.in/politics/demonetisation-atm-money-shortage-rs-500-2000-black-money/story/1/14009.html

Most Indians are happy with Modi's demonetisation drive, don't trust TV news

By

ABHIJIT MAJUMDER

The Berlin Wall fell on November 9, 1989, in an ocean of flashlights and confetti.

But behind the joy and hope of unification lurked the pain of actually merging the two Germanys.

When the process began in 1990, East Germany had a per capita GDP of around $11,800 while West Germany's was $27,000.

To bridge that chasm, chancellor Helmut Kohl privatised some East Germany's state-owned enterprises, which wiped out four million jobs over five years.

Over the next 25 years, the former West Germany reportedly bled out two trillion euros to the East in transfer payments.

It took deep reserves of that famous German grit and about painful 20 years for the country to not just recover, but emerge as the world's fourth largest economy and a shaky Europe's chief economic engine.

Defining changes do not come without some pain. When Manmohan Singh took up the computerisation of banks as RBI governor in 1982, the powerful bank unions and lakhs of ban employees feared huge job losses.

Slowly over time, and not without pain, the sector got computerised and revolutionised.

Exactly 27 years after the fall of the Berlin wall came PM Narendra Modi's strike on fake currency and black money - unparalleled in its scale and scope - from November 9.

It may make us stand for hours in queue or hold on to the small notes till the chaos in banks and ATMs settle down, but given what it has already achieved and promises to do, the nation must bear a couple of weeks of inconvenience patiently.

And although TV cameras will only show the queues and angry people, my sense is that a majority of honest Indians are happy, a bit vicariously, that billions worth black money has been wiped out in one swing of the wand.

Watchmen, cooks in little restaurants, carpenters, maids, shopkeepers, sweepers… almost all the people I have spoken to in the last three days have a calm, mature understanding of the effect this will have on the corrupt.

But these voices don't make good television. Countries like Zimbabwe, Singapore, Fiji and Philippines have demonetised for different reasons.

India had a very compelling reason too. Enough for Modi to take the massive political risk of angering the BJP's traditionally core constituency - the Banias, or the trading class.

Also, his rivals have been quick to fuel and magnify public annoyance over the teething problems.

The government could not have reconfigured ATMs without the corrupt getting wind of the announcement and overnight getting much of their illicit wealth converted to white.

But if the government does not invest all its energies into replenishing and recalibrating ATMs, festering inconvenience can undo some of the good work.

It will also give the caught-off-guard Opposition a stronger foothold to launch attacks.

But, right now, the BJP looks very confident. Party chief Amit Shah has dared rivals to take it up as an election issue in UP, Punjab and other states going to polls in a few months.

In one stroke, the PM has killed several thousand crores of illicit cash and fake currency, jolted rival parties' election spending, made funding of terror and insurgency extremely difficult, and pushed more Indians into the banking system and transparent financial transactions.

While a limited number of Rs 2,000 notes have been floated, there will always be great fear of hoarding cash now. Who guarantees that those notes too won't be barred in the future?

Demonetisation is not a foolproof measure against black money. But it attacks the problem with unprecedented force and at multiple layers.

It will be even more effective if the government follows this up with electoral reforms and a strike on dubious land and asset holdings.

With better planning and intense, follow-up awareness campaigns, the government can have people on its side even during the initial hardship.

(Courtesy of Mail Today.)

Trump does have an edge over Hillary – horoscopically.

The events happening in the electoral arena of the USA looks shocking, disturbing and saddening to say the least. Saddening because we have been thinking that the US voters are better informed and the system works on democratic values with all the pillars of democracy working in tandem to uphold the best principles of democracy and ethics. What we see in reality is two sets of media each catering to their respective political leanings and doing lot of mudslinging on each other. It looks that USA is much like India in this regard. There was even a report that Hillary offered money to voters. The recent one on #spirit cooking makes sickening reading.

With all that what made me write this article is the announcement by the FBI Director of reopening the Clinton email investigation and the subsequent fall in the support for Hillary with Trump gaining an edge over her in the poll predictions. The announcement and the subsequent change in the rating for Trump came at a time when Mars was entering to the next sign (Capricorn) which I thought is a trigger to Trump’s victory. 

In my article on Trump written in the first week of September 2016 and published under my pen name in the Astrological Magazine in October 2016 edition, I have outlined this transit as an important trigger that would turn the tables to favour Donald Trump. This trigger position of Mars along with 2 other planets namely Saturn and Jupiter means that the opponents’ woes would become gains for Trump!

A special feature of his horoscope is that the 6^th house receives the aspect of Saturn- Venus combine from one side and also the 5^th aspect of the 5^th lord Jupiter. 6^th house stands for adversaries. By getting aspected by these planets related to his profession and money, it has become the norm for Trump to gain from adversities and enemies. On the Election Day too  this combination exists (beginning from 31^st October)as shown in  the above piece. Exactly when Mars entered the 6^th house from his lagna and aspected by transit Saturn and transit Jupiter his adversary received the severest beating which turned the tables in favour of Trump. Now Trump is perceived to be honest and a good guy compared to Hillary who seems to have lied a lot.

Trump’s horoscope has the rare and an important yoga for ruling a country called ‘Akand Samrajya yoga’.  From my article:-

His horoscope also shows that he is a business man to the core. Whatever bad mouthing he did are so-called only, because he is one who would do anything to get success. The explanations can be read in my article.  Due to copyright issues, I am not reproducing the entire article here. However it can be bought online here.

His life’s journey as seen from his horoscope shows him to be flexible and not as one flexing his muscle.

Let me explain it by means of the following diagram.

The directional position of the planets in his horoscope can be rewritten as above.

The above chart gets Mercury (2^nd 11^th lord + business acumen) in mutual aspect with Mars, the yoga karaka and is reinforced with nodes that shift backwards. Jupiter the 5^th lord also joins them. The success in business is ascertained from this.

Saturn and Venus in North joining Moon and attracting Sun in the South indicate his karma in Rajneeti too! The association of 10^th house planets lend support to Sun as a professional politician.

Taking the life’s journey from Saturn, the karma planet the line-up is as follows.

Saturn => Venus (10L) => Mars (real estate) => (<= Jupiter + Rahu) => Sun => Mercury (<= Ketu) => Moon.

This can be deciphered as follows:

The karmic mission of Saturn went after the 10^th lord Venus which indicated customer or end user related goods and arts (in TV, Hollywood, Ms USA pageants that he promoted) and Mars related projects in land and construction.

Dhana karaka Jupiter and Rahu in the star of Mars proceeded towards this karmic mission of Trump.

Once after getting satisfied in these ventures, his mission turned towards Sun –i.e.,  politics.

There again his business mindedness of Mercury dominated his mind and carried this goal forward.

Upto this we have witnessed Trump’s life.

What comes next is Ketu, the gyana karaka towards him. Sometime soon this would dominate him, meaning to say that wisdom would overtake him and he would mellow down his belligerence.

Till this all the planets were within Rahu- Ketu nodes. Now the last planet is Moon that has escaped the nodal axis. His entire journey that would gain wisdom from Ketu would end up with Moon factor.

 Moon stands for change and thought and in his horoscope it is the Amatya karaka. If voted to power, Trump would dump his crazy talks and thoughts and would settle down for wiser ideas. The Moon which made him think in controversial ways due to its conjunction with nodal axis, would behave well as he moves further in his life. A transformation of a ruthless and self-centred business man into a thinking person is what his entire life is going to be about.

This is good news for everyone within and outside the USA for that means Trump as President is not a liability for the Americans and not a threat for outside world.

Having written so about Trump, I have to take a look at Hillary’s horoscope too. But it turns out that no one knows the exact birth details of Hillary! It is strange that she has not let out her original birth details. However with Trump’s horoscope being available, and showing the start of the powerful Raja yoga giving Jupiter dasa, Trump seems to have a definite edge over Hillary.

UPDATE on 9th November 2016.

Trump has made a resounding win over Hillary Clinton. Now comes the question whether Hillary would be tried / arrested as told by Trump in one of the debates. While I was apprehensive about analysing Hillary's horoscope during the present time as I was given different sets of time of birth, I remembered having analysed her horoscope in August 2010 issue of The Astrological eMagazine in an article on Kemadruma Yoga. It was analysed in the context of Moon's effect in her personal life. She is having Kemadruma Yoga of Moon - which is capable of stripping her of her position. Kemadruma yoga would make a king a pauper! I wrote in that article that she would not become President of the USA. Reproduced below is that part of the article. The entire article can be read here

I checked her horoscope for the time 8-02 am that I used in that article (DOB - Oct 26, 1947) and found her Bhava positions fulfilling the conditions for Bhandana Yoga (imprisonment) and Rajabhrasta yoga (fall from high position).

Bhandana yoga says that if the lagna lord and 6th lord joins a kendra or trikona with Saturn, Rahu or Ketu, this yoga arises leading to imprisonment. This is fulfilled in her bhava chart where the lagna lord Jupiter and 6th lord Venus join Rahu in kendra to Saturn. This conjunction happens in the 12th house of incarceration whose lord Mars apsects it and is in conjunction with Saturn.

Another yoga (Raja yoga bhanga) is Rajabhrata yoga which is formed when lords of the  Aroodha lagna (AL) and Aroodha Dwadasa (A12) are in conjunction. As per Rasi position, AL is Libra and AL lord is Venus. A12 is Pisces as per Rasi position and its lord is Jupiter. They (Venus and Jupiter) are not conjunct in Rasi. But they are conjunct in Bhava.

In the Bhava AL is Libra and its lord is Venus. A12 is Taurus and its lord is the same Venus. This makes the Rajabhrasta yoga operational. But as per one school of thought if the Aroodha falls in the 10th house (from the lord under consideration), the 7th house from that lord must be taken as Aroodha. This makes it Aquarius as A12 and its lord is Saturn. In this case AL Venus and A12 saturn are not conjunct. So this yoga is not manifest.

She is presently running Sun dasa - Saturn Bhukthi and Rahu antara till November 29th. Her Moon (Kemadruma) dasa starts in March 2019. It looks this time / horoscope spells trouble for her besides having denied Presidency.

However a silver lining is the presence of Jupiter in the combination of Bhandana and Rajabhrasta yoga, though it happens to be part of these malefic yogas. And the Bhandana yoga happens in Bhava and not in Rasi. This might reduce her woes to some extent. 

DNA tells how many kids you have - DNA linked to horoscope?

A research paper published in the journal Nature Genetics claims that it is now possible to tell the age at which the first child will be borne and also the number of children that one can get from a set of 24 genes that are connected with 12 locations of the DNA sequence. This sounds almost like working through a horoscope that has a specific house and specific planet to indicate the number of children that one is likely to get and also the timing of births. The horoscope also says whether one would remain childless for ever or get children very late in life. These prospects must be there present in their body system if it has to be represented in the horoscope.  The present research concedes that these indicators are really present in the DNA.

A reading of the news of this study from various online magazines however show that they have just touched the tip of the iceberg, in that they have now found only a less than 1%  probability of links in the DNA to the issues such as the timing of the first child and the number of children. These links are already found to have definite connection to reproductive features such as menstruation and menopause. These features are more recognisable but timing the first child is something really a giant’s leap as that infuses an element of determinism and destiny in one of life’s most important features / events.

The research gives credence to the horoscopic issues of timing (Dasa- Bhukthi) in getting children. Even if the couple are found to be fertile enough to beget children, they would not have got, which is attributed to unfavourable dasa- bhukthi in the horoscope. The research raises the possibility to state that this is due to DNA links not being in place or being switched off. I have noticed such timings coincide well with clinical observation in the case of cancer disease and the relapse of the same. In the case of diseases and particularly in cancer disease, it is possible to establish the link to DNA / gene behaviour, but such a link being detected in timing the conception of children is indeed an exciting revelation.

Children play an important role in one’s life. Sanatan Dharma considers getting children as a gift and wealth which cannot be compared with any other wealth. Begetting a good child (well behaved) is what one enjoys as a fruit of one’s good actions done in a previous birth. That is why in Tamil, parents are known as “PetRROr”. The root word is ‘PERu” which means gift. Those who have kids enjoy “PERu” and that is why they are known as “PetRROr”

The kind of Prarabdha karma that one is bound to experience includes not only the birth of kids but also how healthy, brainy they are etc, and also whether they become a source of burden or misery to the parents or give happiness to them. All these are discernible from the horoscope (of the parent).  The PERu /gift component in recognition of kids have these elements too.  This makes it necessary that the genes / DNA that are inherited by the kids from both the parents and have its own mixing combination must contain the defects or bright spots for its own make-up. The current research also throws up possibilities to find out such features too. If that is really found out, it would be an unmistakable indicator of Determinism and role of past karma in our lives.

When I use the term determinism, I don’t want to mean fatalism. Life is a mix of Prarabdha karma and Kriyamana karma by which we ‘act’ to overcome the effect Prarabdha. This is enshrined in the principle of propitiation and repentance to overcome a bad Prarabdha karma. The changing dasa- bhuthis do indicate scope for this. This pre-supposes that the DNA too is flexible for modifications. There do exist many scientific researches on how the DNA can be altered by meditation and physical activity (methylation).  

One intriguing feature in the whole study is whether the finding (of timing the first child) applies to men as well. In horoscopy it is possible, but how is it found present in the DNA of the male?

Related articles:-

Astrological tips for conceiving healthy child.

Astrological analysis of twin births

Santhana Thithi for determining progeny.

Do parents have rights over the children?   

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From

http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/dna-may-influence-when-you-have-kids-and-how-many-study-says/news-story/87594fe8060794e823b355ea0bc83a88

DNA may influence when you have kids, and how many, study says

by

Brad Crouch, Medical Reporter, The Advertiser

October 31, 2016 4:00pm

RESEARCHERS have found a link between DNA and how many children a person is likely to have – and even when they are likely to have their first child.

The work casts a biological hook into what is usually seen as a decision based on choice, environment and social factors, including income.

The study, published in Nature Genetics today, is co-authored by more than 250 sociologists, biologists, and geneticists from institutions worldwide, including the University of South Australia and the South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute.

While the authors emphasise that the DNA link cannot predict the exact timing of a first child or the exact number of children people will have, they note it is “significantly associated”.

The scientists looked at 238,064 men and women for age at first birth, and almost 330,000 for the number of children. They identified 12 areas of DNA linked to both.

For the first time, scientists now know where to find the DNA areas linked to reproductive behaviour.

Lead author Professor Melinda Mills, from the University of Oxford, said that for the first time, scientists now know where to find the DNA areas linked to reproductive behaviour.

“For example, we found that women with DNA variants for postponing parenthood also have bits of DNA code associated with later onset of menstruation and later menopause,” she said.

“One day it may be possible to use this information so doctors can answer the important question: ‘How late can you wait?’ based on the DNA variants.

“It is important to put this into perspective, however, as having a child still strongly depends on many social and environmental factors that will always play a bigger role in whether or when we have babies.”

The study shows the DNA variants are associated with sexual development milestones such as the age girls have their first period, when the voice breaks in boys and at what stage women experience menopause.

Senior collaborator Professor Elina Hypponen, who is the director of the UniSA Centre for Population Health Research at SAHMRI, said the goal was to find insights into biological mechanisms which affect fertility. Further work may lead to treatments for age-related declines in fertility and sperm quality.

Bec Waddingham with Joel, 2 and his sister Ashlyn, 5. Picture: Matt Loxton

“This research does not at all suggest that age at first birth or number of children would be determined primarily by genetic factors; as we all know, these are complex, multifactorial traits which are mostly determined by individual choices and circumstances,” she said.

“What this work does show is that genetic factors do play a role in determining fertility, and with these genetic analyses, we were able to identify biological influences which affect individual differences in fertility.”

Prof Hypponen noted that in the long-term, the work could lead to insights into how postponing reproduction could be more detrimental to some people compared to others.

The researchers concede the numbers confirming the link may seem “extremely small” but are enough to be used to predict the probability of women remaining childless.

Mother of Ashlyn, 5 and Joel 2, Bec Waddingham of Sheidow Park said factors including buying a house influenced her and partner Adam’s timing for having a family.

“I was 27 and we wanted to make sure we were quite ready,” she said.

“It is interesting work - what if one person’s DNA is telling them one thing and the partner’s is telling them something else?”

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http://www.medicaldaily.com/your-dna-plays-role-how-many-children-youll-have-and-when-12-genetic-areas-402926

Your DNA Plays A Role In How Many Children You'll Have, And When: 12 Genetic Areas Associated With Reproduction

Oct 31, 2016 05:29 PM 

By Dana Dovey

You may think that age, marriage status, and unprotected sex are factors that determine when a couple has their first child, but a new study suggests there may be a small genetic factor as well. The research from Oxford University found 12 specific areas of the DNA sequence which they believe are related to the age at which we have our first child, and the total number of children we eventually have.

This is the first study to identify specific areas of our DNA linked to reproductive behavior, authors said. Among the findings: women with DNA variants for postponing parenthood also have bits of DNA code associated with later onset of menstruation and later menopause. In addition, the team found that DNA variants linked with childbearing age are associated with other reproduction and sexual development factors, such as the age when the voice breaks in boys, and the stage women experience their menopause. Genes may also predict the probability that a woman will remain child-free. 

According to the study authors in a recent statement: “An improved understanding of the function of these genes may provide new insights for infertility treatments.”

In order to identify these reproductive genes, the researchers analyzed 62 datasets with information from 238,064 men and women for age at first birth, and almost 330,000 men and women for the number of children they had.

The researchers emphasized that the time that a couple has their first child and the number of children they eventually have is still largely influenced by societal and environmental factors. For example, the researchers calculated that variants in the 12 areas of the DNA together predict less than 1 percent of the timing at which men and women have their first child and their total number of kids. Still, insights into the genetics involved could help answer questions such as how long a couple can wait before attempting to build a family.

Source: Barban N, Jansen R, de Vlaming R. Genome-wide analysis identifies 12 loci influencing human reproductive behavior. Nature Genetics . 2016