Day - 2 of Garbottam, year 2015-16.

The 2^nd day of the Garbottam of 2015-16 (Manmatha year) started at around 5 PM of 30^th December 2015 and ended at 5 PM (approximately) on 31^st December 2015. 

It will have an impact on the rainfall from 5^th July 2016 to 19^th July 2016. 

On the basis of 195 days gap, the 2^nd day of Garbottam will have a bearing on rainfall on 9^th July from any place of observation. The rationale is this. This 2^nd day of Garbottam happens on Panchami of the waning period of Margazhi. It will have an impact on the day of Panchami in the waxing period of Aani. That date is 9^th July 2016.

Compared to day 1 of Garbottam in my place of observation, the 2^nd day was a little better. On the 1^st day, clouds were almost absent, but soon after the 2^nd day started, long streaks of clouds could be noticed at night. I didn’t stay awake to watch the night time conditions, but farmers of olden days used to watch the night time conditions too.

But by day break on 31^st December, bunches of sponge like clouds could be seen moving from the Northern direction. I could even spot swan like clouds and a crocodile like clouds with mouth wide open.

One can make out the figure from the shape of the clouds. Sometimes clouds would appear like castles. Sometimes clouds appear like birds and animals. Sometimes clouds appear like aquatic animals. During Garbottam days, clouds appearing like aquatic animals are one of the good signs for rainfall in the corresponding period later.

There is nothing unscientific or ridiculous about the shapes of clouds. The shapes of clouds indicate the kind of wind movement from different directions and their interaction. For aquatic animal shapes, say for swans, the huge body with a head and a long beak can be formed by a specific pattern of wind movement at that layer of atmosphere. For crocodile formation which is identifiable by the long open mouth and a long body, similar kind of cross wind patterns are to be there to distinguish between body and head and mouth or beak.

In the case of castle formations, such crossing wind patterns are largely absent. The wind currents chisel the outer shapes of the clouds. For animals and bird, the crossing wind patterns are different. If we watch the shapes of clouds in different seasons and figure out the shapes, we will be able to appreciate the invisible movement of winds in causing such shapes.

During Garbottam days, the clouds forming shapes of aquatic animals are ideal for the kind of the wind patterns that must be there to have an impact on good rainfall at a later date.

On the 2^nd day of Garbottam (31^st Dec), I was excited to see a huge swan shaped cloud moving swiftly from north to south at around 8 AM. Fish like formations were also seen but they quickly changed shapes. At around noon, I noticed swan shaped clouds with distinct beak and neck. There were stork like formations too which were half bodied. By 4 PM, I noticed many tortoise shaped clouds. Though I could not watch the sky continuously, I was checking every now and then.

Right from morning till the end of day -2, the region around the horizon all around was covered with clouds. A completely overcast sky is a good sign of pregnancy of rainfall. But the sky was not overcast, though it was so only for about 30 degrees above the horizon on all sides. At other places, bunches of clouds, some of them in aquatic animal shapes were seen moving from the North which is a good sign.

Apart from the clouds, the mild breeze in the morning and evening (sea breeze?) and red sun at sun set were the features noticed on the 2^nd day of Garbottam.  

The observation of the 5 factors for day-2 are as follows:

(1) Wind:- Cool breeze was felt in the morning. Mild wind in general.

Result:- A moderate factor of 20% strength for rainfall from 5^th July to 19^th July in my place of observation. However the cool breeze in the morning shows scattered rain or drizzles at night in that period.

(2) Rain:- Nil.

Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.  I read that some parts of South Tamilnadu experienced rains today (2^nd day of Garbottam). Rains are not good signs of rainfall later in the corresponding period in the rainy season. Drizzles are ideal for good pregnancy of rainfall.   

(3) Lightening:- Nil.

Result:-  Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(4) Thunder:- Nil.

Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(5) Clouds:- Long  clouds noticed at night. Day time clouds were whitish and at times tinged with halo. Aquatic shaped clouds noticed at time during the day. Sky not completely overcast.

Result:- This factor is satisfactory but not completely ideal.

3-some features:-

(1) Terrestrial :- Behaviour of birds and cows satisfactory.

(2) Atmospheric :- Of the 12 features noted in my blog onGarbottam, (1) gentle breeze was there in the morning. (2) Sun was encircled with bright halo, but could not watch the moon. (3) Aquatic shaped clouds were seen, more around noon. (4) Wind direction was from the North. (5) Mildly reddish sky at sunset. From these, I deduce the atmospheric features were little above average.

(3) Planetary:- (1) Planets and stars appeared as whitish and faint discs. (2) Sun was red at sun set. (3) Except Jupiter all the other planets were in Southern declinations. Planets in northern declinations are desirable.

Interpretation:-

Only the cloud and atmospheric condition was present at an average level. This was noticed at day time and around noon. It must be observed whether this gives moderate rainfall on 9^th July in my place of observation at night time.

For the Garbottam strength, the overall scenario has 2 out of 5 features  (wind and cloud) in good condition. This must give 30% rainfall of the season expected in my place of observation for the period between 5^th July and 19^th July.

Now coming to the planetary position at that time in July 2016, they are pretty good.

Those features (ativrishti yoga) are listed below:

(1) On 7^th July, the closeness of Mercury and Venus (Budha- Shukra saameepyam) starts.

(2) Until then Sun, Mercury and Venus are together in Gemini with Venus in front of the other two. Mercury crosses Sun by the 7^th of July. Usually under this circumstance it will rain in the rainy season.

(3) Both Mercury and Venus were combust until then.

(4) Venus re-emerges from combustion by 7^th July, but it re-emerges in Punarpoosam which reduces the rainfall.

(5) Both Mercury and Venus are in the West.

(6) On 9^th July which is the 195^th corresponding day for today (2^nd day for Garbottam), Venus – Mercury closeness continues with Venus in the front and in watery sign and both of them in the same Navamsa. This is a good sign of rainfall.

(7) On the night of  9^th July, Moon enters Uttram (Uttra Phalguni), the watery star which adds strength to the Venus – Mercury position.

Therefore, by the principle of 195^th day rainfall, there is a likelihood of rains at night time on 9^th July in my place of observation though it would not be heavy.

However, the planetary positions being good at that time (5^th July to 19^th July), the SW monsoon would have advanced by then to its usual locations in India.

Related articles:

Garbottam begins at 5 PM on 29th December 2015.

Day -1 of Garbottam and Arudra Pravesham.