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The month of July 2017 begins with 2 positive features and one negative feature, all of
whom have long term and long range applications.
The foremost positive feature or rather redeeming feature
is that the forward march of the fiery planet, Mars, was
put under check for the first time after nearly 10 months (since 25th
August 2016) by a meekly Mercury just a
couple of days ago, on 28th June, 2017. For these 10 months a dry
and dragging force was associated with Mars in upsetting the rainfall expectation
and realisation. That is now removed, though the final easing of conditions
would begin from 29th July when Sun overtakes Mars.
The 2nd positive feature is that Sun, Mars and Saturn are going to be in watery signs
during the 2nd half of the month when Sun enters Cancer on 16th
July. This position keeps them in alternate and odd signs to each other. This positional
relationship between these 3 planets was the same as how it was during Chennai
floods in Nov- Dec 2015. This time the location of rainfall is North India as
Cancer and Scorpio occupied by them indicate North.
In addition to this, from 4th July
onwards Saturn and Jupiter are going to be in watery Navamsa throughout the
month of July and frequently joined with other planets such as Sun, Mars and
Mercury. All through that time, Venus and Rahu are
going to be in fixed signs. This combo package is supposed to bring in
copious rainfall in Northern parts of India as watery signs stand for Northern
direction.
The only depreesing feature throughout this month is
that Venus and Mercury are moving away from each other
throughout this month. The distance between them ranges from 55 degrees
on 1st July to 66 degrees on 31st July.
Whenever these two planets are nearer to each other,
there will be copious and continuous rainfall. When they are conjunct, the
rainfall will be heavy and mostly triggered by cyclones. But this widening gap
between them is a worrisome feature. This gap keeps increasing till 27th
August.
So we can expect the rainfall
for July to be pulled by two extreme features. This being the 2nd
year of my personal observation of weather on a daily basis, the continued
presence of Saturn and Jupiter in watery Navamsa and the presence of Saturn,
Mars, Sun and Mercury in watery signs is something I am observing for the first
time in the
background of absence of Mercury- Venus closeness.
In the past, Mercury- Venus closeness was present in
most of the instances of rainfall. Now
in the absence of this feature, I am not able to rule out rainfall with so many
planets getting associated with watery signs. Any success of rainfall in this
month must be attributed to the planets in watery signs, and particularly to
Sun, Mars and Saturn in watery signs that are in odd numbers to each other. Lack of rainfall would mean that Mercury- Venus closeness is
a must for good rainfall.
The following table reveals the dominance of the
planets in watery signs.
Date
|
Astrological features
|
Event
|
Location
|
Spoilers, if any
|
|
1
|
July
1
|
Mercury
continues in combustion
|
Rainfall
|
West
India
(Gemini)
|
Mars
in the lead.
Ven-
Sat opposition
|
2
|
July
1
|
Saturn
in watery sign in Rasi and Navamsa
|
Rainfall
|
North
India.
(Scorpio,
Pisces)
|
Mars
in the lead.
Ven-
Sat opposition
|
3
|
July
4
|
Mercury
comes out of combustion.
+
Mercury
rises in the west.
+
Mer,
Jup, Sat and Sun in watery Navamsa.
|
Spurt
in Rainfall
|
West
and North India
|
Same
as above.
|
4
|
July
6
|
Mer,
Sat, Moon in watery signs +
Ven
and Rahu in fixed signs.
+
Jup,
Sat and Ven in watery Navamsa
|
Rainfall
|
North
India (Mer in cancer & Sat in Scorpio),
Parts
of East India (Rahu in Leo)
Parts
of South India (Ven in Taurus)
|
Same
as above
|
5
|
July
11
|
Mars
enters cancer (watery sign).
Mer,
Mars & Sat in watery signs,
+
Moon
in Amirtha Nadi (Sravana)
+
Mer,
Mars, Sat, Jup and Moon in watery Navamsas.
|
Rainfall
|
North
India in the Gangetic plain
|
Same
as above.
|
6
|
July
13, 14, 15
|
Sat,
Mer, Mars in watery signs.
+
Moon
conjunct with Ketu. Then enters watery sign.
+
Ven,
Rahu in fixed signs.
+
Sat,
Mars, Jup in watery Navamsas
|
Rainfall
|
North
and North west India.
Gangetic
plains.
|
Same
as above.
|
7
|
July
16
|
Sun
enters cancer.
Sun,
Mars and Saturn in watery signs and in odd signs to each other with Moon in
watery sign, in 5th and 9th signs from them.
+
Sun,
Mars, Sat and Jup in watery Navamsa
|
Heavy
rainfall.
|
North
and east India.
|
Same
as above
|
8
|
July
21
|
Mercury
enters Leo to join with Rahu.
Ven,
Mer, Rah in fixed signs while Sat, Mars and Sun are in watery and odd signs
to each other
|
Rainfall
|
North
and East India
|
Same
as above.
|
9
|
July
23, 24, 25
|
Sat,
Sun and Mars in watery signs and in odd signs to each other. Moon joins them.
+
Sat
and Jup in watery Navamsas.
|
Rainfall
|
North
India
|
Same
as above.
|
10
|
July
26, 27 and 28
|
Sun
in deep conjunction with Mars
Sun,
Mars and sat in alternating and watery signs.
+
Moon
joins Rahu
|
Rainfall
|
North
India
|
Same
as above
|
11
|
July
26
|
Venus
enters next sign, Gemini.
+
Comes
out of opposition to Saturn
|
Rainfall
|
West,
North West India
|
Same
as above
|
12
|
July
29
|
Sun
overtakes Mars for the first time after11months
|
Reduction
in heat conditions in general
|
North
India
|
Outlook for
Chennai.
The Chennai scenario is depressing. The local
Garbottam hinting at rains on 29th and 30th June did not
materialise, though there were drizzles in some parts of Chennai on 30th
June. One reason could be the lack of support from planetary combinations. Presently the planetary combinations at Gemini
are active in giving rainfall. Gemini signifies west and is occupied by Mercury
which was in combustion right from 9th June. When Mercury entered
Sowmya Nadi (Arudra star) on 21st June, rainfall picked up in the
western section of India. This combustion ends on 4th July. Other
features are given in the above table.
When a local Garbottam fails to give expected rainfall
in a place due to some reason, it would anyway give rainfall that is due in the
next Garbottam date but accompanied with gusty winds or hails. This was noticed on 27th June when
parts of Chennai experienced rainfall accompanied with heavy winds. The
previous day was supposed to have experienced some rainfall but that rainfall did
not materialise. The very next day also was in the Garbottam radar. It rained
then but accompanied with gusty winds. By 27th June, planetary
support for rainfall ended for Chennai.
The last 3 days of June (28th, 29th
and 30th) also were supported by local Garbottam. I have added an
update on the reality check at the end of the article on June Rainfall (Read here).
The next rainfall date is likely to be gusty. July 1st happens to be
such a date as it is supported by local Garbottam. The corresponding Garbottam
dates were 20th and 21st January 2017.
One can see the rain bands at the present times (on
30th June) in North and west India corresponding to the cloud
movement on 20th and 21st January (satellite pictures
below). The only disappointment is Chennai. A plausible explanation for this is
the lack of support from planetary combinations. Only Western section is in the
planetary line of rainfall. Added to this is the dragging effect by the absence
of Mercury- Venus closeness.
The rainfall realisation time for these two dates comes
at night / evening / sun set on 1st July.
The next probable date is July 6th which corresponds
to 26th January (satellite picture below). On that date it rained in
many places in Chennai but not in may place. We have to wait and see if it
rains on that date.
One can see the cloud cover on 26th
January in North and North West India. It coincides with current position of
planets in watery signs that signify North.
Now let’s take a look at the Garbottam chart for
Chennai for July.
July is not at all promising for the parched Chennai!
Updated on 6th August 2017:-
Final Rainfall tally for July 2017
First 2 columns pertain to Garbottam observation.
In the last column marked 7, the actual rainfall realization is marked in blue.
The red one is failure of expected rainfall.
Important observations and learnings are:-
# The first rain expected on July 1st came on July 3rd. Upon checking, the thithi is split at the time of garbottam. So pinpointing the date becomes messy. For example assume that there was garbottam between 8 AM and Noon on a day. During garbottam a thithi may end and another may begin. Assume that Navami ends and Dasami begins. So it must rain at the night of both Navami and Dasami. On the rainfall realization time, this would be split into two days as the night time of Dasami would come nearly 24 hours after night time of Navami.
# Another problem in the ascertaining the thithi, particularly during Garbottam, is the variations between Panchangs on duration of a thithi. Thithi at Garbottam is very important and must be accurate to decide on the rainfall thithi. So this kind of errors can be seen.
# Based on this when rainfall realization occurs a day after the garbottam thithi, it might be due to this error in thithi duration.
# When it occurs 2 days after the garbottam, division of a thithi at the time of garbottam can be noticed/ The failure of rainfall on 1st July and its arrival on 3rd July come under this category.
# Rainfall between 6th to 9th come under this category. The rainfall on 12th also come under this category.
# The drizzles on 18th and 19th are associated with garbottam that was noticed a month later.
The is due to the jumping of months - like in adhik masa.
Normally two lunar phases come one after the other in a solar month (the counting of dates for rainfall is done on the basis of solar months)
At times, one lunar phase comes almost exactly in the middle of the solar month and the other comes in two halves in the beginning and end of the month.
For example assume that 2nd half of waxing phase comes in the first week of a solar month. This is followed by a full waning phase. This is followed by the 1st half of the next waxing phase in the last week of the solar month. The dates based on thithis of the lunar phase gets jumbled in Gregorian calendar .
This happened in July rainfall period. Take a look at July 19th.
The corresponding Garbottam was on Feb 8th which was
a dry day. So I didn't expect any rainfall on 19th July. But it drizzled in my
location and reasonably well in some parts of Chennai on 18th and 19th
July.
While preparing August chart, I noticed., the date March 8th tallies with previous phase, that is in the previous part of the month. This shows that we have to check the next month's garbottam dates also for the previous month's rainfall.
July 19th got rains on that basis. The thithi conjunction resulted in the rainfall splitting into 2 days.
The next date of rainfall was July 29th.
Rainfall of July 29th in my place has no garbottam
to back up.
But it was an important date as Sun crossed Mars on that date.
Mars was in the forefront for nearly a year.
When Sun was nearing Mars there was a sudden spurt in temperature.
But at the time of Sun taking over Mars it rained.
But it was an important date as Sun crossed Mars on that date.
Mars was in the forefront for nearly a year.
When Sun was nearing Mars there was a sudden spurt in temperature.
But at the time of Sun taking over Mars it rained.
But on that day, the "Kaappu-kattal" ceremony in a Mariamman temple in my locality was performed to initiate a Utsav for Amman. The local belief is that it will rain on the day of Kappu-kattal. Homas, chantings and unknown causes are also responsible for unexpected rains (July 29th rain was unexpected as there was no support by garbottam, but Moon - Jupiter conjunction was there at the time of rainfall).
The general belief in our country is that "nallaar oruvar uLarEl, avar poruttu, ellaarkkum peyyum mazhai"
Auvaiyar has said:-
நல்லார் ஒருவர் உளரேல் அவர் பொருட்டு
எல்லார்க்கும் பெய்யும் மழை
Perhaps this also must be borne in mind........
