UPDATE added on 13th March 2017 at the end of the article.
Previous articles:-
Rainfall Check for March 2017 may look too early or
out of place, but this year (2017) it is necessary as 2 important rainfall
yogas are happening in March.
They are
(1) Mercury- Venus closeness happens between 7th
March and 25th March 2017. This happens in the western sky which is
supposed to be an additional positive feature for rainfall.
(2) The three planets namely Sun, Mars and Saturn
are going to be in alternating signs from 2nd March to 13th
/ 14th March 2017. This is an important rainfall yoga that was found
to give flood causing rains in the past or rainfall of over 20 cm in a day. But
this year this happens for a very short period of 11 days.
Even within this period, Moon’s position is
important to give rainfall from this yoga. When Moon is in trines with these
planets there would be rain on those days. This can be shown as follows for
this year’s dates in March.
So the probable dates of rainfall from this yoga are
2nd and 3rd and few hours on 4th, night time
of 10th, 11th and 12th March and a few hours
on 13th. This is subject to rainfall spoiling yogas on these dates.
The following are the rainfall spoiling yogas found in
the month of March and during the period of the above rainfall yoga in
particular.
(1) Mars ahead of all planets and particularly Venus
scorches the earth.
(2) Venus and Jupiter in opposite signs reduce any
precipitation.
Apart from these the general outlook of all the
planets is such that none of them are in rainfall spoiling starts in the Sapta
Nadi Chakra (Sapta Nadi chakra can be seen here
)
Overall scenario
based on planetary combinations for March 2017 was earlier given in my article
written on 27th December 2016. It is reproduced below.
Detailed scenario for March 2017.
There is a contradictory yoga present during the
month of March. It is that Venus and Jupiter are in opposition which is a
severe rainfall spoiling yoga and mentioned in the last column in the table given
below. However the same opposition would also mean that when one of them is
rising, the other is setting in the sky. This is a rainfall supportive yoga.
The resultant of this tug of war can be known from the ground reality of
whether it rains or not on the specified dates. If it rains it must be
ascertained that the presence of other rainfall yogas over weigh the negative
effect of opposition of Venus and Jupiter.
Date
|
Astrological
feature
|
Event
|
Place
|
Rainfall
spoilers
if
any
|
2nd
March
|
Mars
enters Aries thereby coming in alternate signs with Sun and Saturn.
Moon
conjuncts Mars in Aries and is in 5th sign from Saturn
|
Rainfall
|
NE
India, Brahmaputra catchment area, Kashmir.
|
Jup-
Venus opposition.
|
3rd
March
|
Moon
conjuncts Mars and is in 5th sign from Saturn
|
Same
as above
|
Same
as above
|
Same
as above.
|
4th
March
|
Venus
turns retrograde.
|
Some
rainfall trigger
|
Same
as above
+
North
west section of India
|
”
|
7th
March
|
Mercury
and Sun in deep conjunction.
+
Mercury
– Venus closeness begins.
|
Rainfall
|
West
and North west parts of India.
|
”
|
9th
and 10th March
|
Mercury
enters Pisces to join Venus.
Moon
in Amirtha Nadi (Aslesha)
|
Rainfall
trigger.
|
Spurt
in rainfall in North, NW and western parts of India
|
”
|
11th
& 12th March
|
Moon
in Leo conjunct with Rahu. Sat, Sun and Mars are in 5th, 7th
and 9th from Moon
|
Good
rainfall
|
Spurt
in rainfall in eastern sections and east and SE coast of India.
|
On
12th Mercury enters Uttra Bhadrapada which causes dry winds and
less moisture.
|
14th
March
|
Sun
enters Pisces thereby ending the yoga formed with Mars and Saturn.
|
End of rainfall period of the above
trend.
|
||
18th
March
|
Venus
and Mercury cross each other from opposite directions.
|
Dry
and
Hot
winds.
|
||
20th
March
|
Mars
enters Bharani star
|
Temperature
rises.
|
||
20th
March
|
Mercury
comes out of combustion.
|
Sudden
flash floods or hail storms.
|
North,
North west India including Pakistan.
|
Jupiter
in opposition to Sun, Mercury and Venus
|
After
20th March
|
Rise
in temperature.
|
Inference from the above table:-
Any realisation of rainfall can be between 2nd
March and 11th / 12th March aided by the powerful yoga of
Mars, Saturn and Sun in alternate signs. Regions indicated for rainfall during
this period are likely to get heavy downpour sometimes exceeding 20 cm. During
this period another important rainfall yoga (closeness of Mercury and Venus) is present while 2 spoiler yogas (mentioned in
the beginning of this article) continue throughout the month.
After 12th March, dry and hot climate is
indicated. Particularly after 20th
March, hotter conditions would increase as Mars enters Bharani in the fiery
sign. Only consolation after that comes at the time of Mercury emerging from
combustion. But its impact could be felt in far away NW India or in Pakistan.
Rainfall scenario for Chennai and
Tamilnadu.
The above chart does not show rainfall for Chennai
or Tamilnadu, though Moon in Leo (11th and 12th March)
shows eastern direction (east coast of India) and the stars it transits show South
and south eastern coast of India.
The probable dates of rainfall aided by Sun-
Mars- Sat yoga are 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 10th,
11th and 12th march. The realisation of rainfall on these
dates for Chennai and TN can be ascertained only from daily Garbottam. The following
are the daily Garbottam dates.
Expected
rainfall date
|
Thithi
|
Garbottam
date 6-1/2 months ago
|
Thithi
on those dates.
|
2nd
to 4th March 2017
|
Waxing
Chathurthi Panchami, Shashti, Saptami in Maasi.
|
21st,
22nd, 23rd and
24th August 2016.
|
Waning
Chathurthi, Panchami, Shashti and saptami in AavaNi.
|
11th
and 12th March 2017
|
Waxing
Chathurdashi and Pournami in Maasi.
|
Night
of 30th August, 31st August and day of 1st
September 2016.
|
Waning
Chathurdashi and Amavasya in AavaNi.
|
Inference from the above table is that the places in
any part of Tamilnadu that received rainfall on 21, 22, 23, 24, 30 & 31st
August and on 1st September 2016 would not receive rainfall this March
on 2, 3, 4, 10, 11 and 12th . Places that experienced drizzles and
cloudy weather on the above mentioned dates in August 2016 are likely to get
rainfall on the corresponding dates this March.
The reality check is that many parts Chennai and TN
did receive rainfall in the said dates in August. Those places would not
receive rainfall now. Where there was no cloudy / Garbottam weather at that
time, there also no rains this March.
My place in Chennai received rainfall only from 25th
August 2016. (My earlier article here)
There was no Garbottam in the dates prior to that. On 31st August
and 1st September 2016, some parts of Chennai received rainfall. The
corresponding dates are 10th, 11th and 12th indicating east and
south east part of India. There is a likelihood of rains in those parts at that
time. It must be noted that planery combinations indicate east coast or south
India (TN) around these dates.
UPDATE
added on 13th March 2017:-
This is a reality check of the prediction of
rainfall for March 2017.
As expected when Mars entered Aries to form a
rainfall yoga with Sun and Saturn in alternate signs and when Moon joined such
Mars on 2nd
March, NE India and Kashmir received rainfall as indicated by
astrological pointers.
According to IMD report,
Arunachal Pradesh received fairly wide spread
rainfall while Uttrakhand and Kashmir received widespread rainfall on 2nd
March. Widespread rains continued in Arunachal Pradesh in E / NE India on 3rd
March and it continued in the next few days too.
The next date as per astrological indicators is 4th March when
Venus started retrogression and moved towards Mercury. Generally the date of start
of retrogression of Venus or Mercury was seen to have triggered a fresh bout of
rainfall. The sign where the retrogression happens is North (Pisces) and the
star (Revathy star) in which Venus was regressing indicated North Eastern parts
of India.
As per IMD report,
NE India continued to receive isolated rainfall
while Arunachal Pradesh received fairly widespread rainfall on 4th
and 5th.
In the article above, I mentioned NW section of
India for this date, based on the reasoning that Sun (which is involved in the
rainfall yoga) was in Satabhishak star which indicates NW section. But the fact
that NW India did not receive rainfall on this date and the succeeding dates
show that we need not take Sun into consideration. The rainfall trigger is
obviously related to Venus retrograding. The learning therefore is that only
those directions indicated by the planet in activity would get benefited by
rainfall.
The next important date is 7th March when the gap between
Mercury and Venus started getting reduced, though the distance was fairly high
at 25 degrees. On this date Mercury and Sun were in deep conjunction. Since
this conjunction happens in Aquarius indicating west, I expected rainfall in
western parts of India. But the reality picture was that eastern parts of India
also received isolated rainfall.
As per IMD report,
Coastal Andhra, Rayalaseema and interior Karnataka
received isolated rainfall on 7th March. During all these dates, Tamilnadu
also received isolated to scattered rainfall. This pattern of rainfall shows
that east and west cover both the segments of Peninsular India.
One prominent feature that I can relate to eastern
section is the presence of Saturn (that
forms the rainfall yoga with Mars and
Sun) in a sign (Sagittarius) that indicates east. Saturn was in the star Moola
which indicates west. On 7th Saturn was in the 7th house
from Moon. On that date and the next 2 dates Sun also was in connection with
Moon by trinal position. The direction of the sun was west. Thus both western
and eastern part of India received rainfall on 7th and the next few
dates when Moon was in Gemini.
The next dates were 9th and 10th when Mercury
entered Pisces to join with Venus. The direction is North and it did rain in
parts of India in and around Delhi and north of Delhi. But during this time,
interior TN also enjoyed some good spells. The rationale can be drawn from Moon’s
position in Aslesha which indicates SE
direction.
From Aslesha through Moon’s transit in Leo also indicates
SE India which means Tamilnadu. Till 12th
it did rain in eastern and south east sections of Tamilnadu. I must have
refrained from using the word coastal region and just written eastern part. From last year’s observation, we can say that
when there are indications for formation of a system in the Bay we can expect
rains in coastal regions when the direction indicated is east and south east.
But the final outcome depends on local Garbottam.
From now on, the rainfall yogas get affected. With Sun entering Pisces on 14th
March to come in opposition to Jupiter, the days would be dry. Added to this is
the transit of Mercury in Uttra Bhadrapada which shows dry days ahead. On 18th
Venus crosses Mercury backwards. Since there is a crossing of these two with
Mercury moving in front of Venus, dry winds (andhi) can be expected in North India
on that day and after that date.
I have given one more date for rainfall – that is on
20th March when Mercury comes out of combustion. Let us see how far this is successful despite odds
against it. The only supportive feature on 20th March is that Mercury
and Venus are still closer on that date at a distance of 5 degrees.
12 comments:
So no rains for chennai & surroundings?
May be from 10th to 12th. Only then planetary & star depositors favour east coast and south east coast. Previous garbottam was also present. But for 2nd to 4th, many places in and around Chennai did not seem to have had garbottam. If you have rainfall / weather data on those days in August 2016, we can say for sure.
On 12th Mercury enters Uttra Bhadrapada which causes dry winds and less moisture.
Your above forecast was spot on maam..yesterday was the Highest temperature recorded in this year so far for chennai.Today also another hot day..Waiting for your forecast for April/May month..Pre monsoon cyclone if any..
But in march month,Predicting rains is difficult..You have done it perfectly..
Thanks Mr Sriram.
I have added an update on reality check at the end of the above article. Please read it. I will post the rainfall check at the beginning of every month.
Hello Jayasree mam,
Again your predictions are quite close to reality and of course it is a process of continuous learning. Just have one query. For Hevilambi year from April 2017, we will have Mercury as ruler and Venus as Minister and Sun as megadhipathi. Sun was megadhipathi is 2014 Jaya year when Moon was both the ruler and minister and it rained quite well in Chennai. For 2017, Mercury and venus being closely associated for good rains, would we stand a good chance?
Thanks Mr Narayan for your compliments.
On your query, I don't agree with you on the planets for ruler etc for Hevilambi year (2017-18). Mars is the ruler and Jupiter is the Minister for Hevilambi. Mercury and not Sun is the Meghadhipathi of Hevilambi. Please check part 1 of my article https://jayasreesaranathan.blogspot.in/2016/12/rainfall-2017-level-1panchanga-based.html
Generally moon, Venus and Jupiter as Meghadhipathi and minister would give good rains. But Meghadhipathi description comes with more deliberations which I have explained in the link given above. And there are planetary yogas playing a crucial role in rainfall prospects. Please check Part 2 of my article for that:- https://jayasreesaranathan.blogspot.in/2016/12/rainfall-2017-level-2-planetary.html
Mercury- Venus closeness is important to give rains. Presently that closeness is happening which had triggered rainfall. This closeness also triggers snowfall in the US. The late and sudden and unusual sub zero temperatures presently experienced in the US now as spring season has started was indicated by me in one of the previous articles. This can be attributed to Mercury-Venus closeness only. However this period ends soon on 25th March.
My series on rainfall prediction based on research shows that inspite of this closeness, rainfall may not materialise if there are planetary combinations that spoil rainfall and if there is no local garbottam to support rainfall in a place. As far as Chennai is concerned I am doing the day-to-day observation which I will writing in the months relevant to the realisation of rainfall. Presently cloudy days were experienced in Chennai. This corresponds to the 3rd week of September indicating rainfall to Chennai at that time.
This corresponds to 7th day of Solar / Margazhi garbottam which showed that there would be rains between 18th and 21st Sep. Check out that article here: https://jayasreesaranathan.blogspot.in/2017/01/margazhi-garbottam-2017-in-nutshell.html
Thus we find a corroboratory weather patterns at every stage.
Chennai and TN would experience very late rainfall at the end of NEM season - that is in December. Perhaps the meaning of "Hevilambi" explains this. Vilamba means delay, decline. He in HeVilambi gives a vocative stress to the nature of Vilamba. This could mean an exasperating wait for the rains or delay of the rains till the end of the season. When the rains start, the season would be over.
Maam..how do yu predict hailstorms?..Any specific yoga?
Dear Mr Sriram. On 3 conditions hail storms occur. 1. If on the day of garbottam Sun or moon joins a malefic, the rainfall on the corresponding rainfall realisation day there will be hail storm or thunder shower or cyclone. The implication is that there would be an element of destruction in the rainfall. Depending on the season of rainfall it is judged whether it is hailstorm or just thunder showers or cyclone. In the case of cyclone there would be a trigger factor (in addition to rainfall yogas) in the form of some conjunction or crossing of a planet or entering a rasi involving Venus and mercury. At times they conjunct with or cross rahu or ketu also to give such destructive rainfall.
2. If the expected rainfall from a garbottam fails on the realisation day due to adverse planetary combinations, the failed rainfall would be realised on the next date supported by garbottam. That rainfall would be violent and destructive either in the form of hailstorm or thunder shower. Last year a couple or so of thunder showers in August were of this type. Since it is August it was not a hailstorm but a thunder shower. 3. When mercury is forward to Venus or when Sun is inbetween Venus and mercury with mercury in forward position during pre monsoon period a supportive garbottam would give hailstorm to a place.
Thank yu maam..On march 20th,chances for rainfall in north india only or southern india too?
@ Mr Sriram,
Mercury comes out of combustion in Revathy star. Revathy signifies North and NE direction. The sign happens to be Pisces which signifies North. In all probability North stands a greater chance and to some extent NE and NW. Going by past notings, north signifies Delhi, north of Delhi and the latitudes on and above Delhi. Let us see whether it occurs like that this time. Last year when Mercury came out of combustion between April 4th and 6th, it rained in Kashmir, Pakisthan and in Delhi too causing flash floods. But at that time this happened in Aswini star. Check my article then:- https://jayasreesaranathan.blogspot.in/2016/05/rainfall-check-1-role-of-mercury-venus.html
This time the coming out of combustion happens in Revathy, to the west of Aswini. Therefore I had written in the above article, NW also - it could be the regions west of the regions that received rainfall last year.
Basically till 25th March, the rainfall yoga formed by Mercury - Venus closeness is potent.
Yes.Again good rains are forecasted in north india..In places like srinagar,manali,jammu n kashmir..
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