Day – 6 of Garbottam year 2015-16, Swati day.

 The 6^th day of Garbottam of 2015-2016 began after 5 PM on 3^rd January 2016 and ended after 5 PM on 4^th January 2016.

The 195^th day effect in my place of observation will be from 10PM in the night of 13^th July to midnight of 14^th July 2016.

The corresponding fortnight will be from 30^th August to 13^th September 2016.

This year there occurs a peculiar correlation between this 6^th day and its impact day after 195 days. Both today and the impact day will have the Moon transiting Swati star.

Moon in Swati must be watched for weather conditions. Normally when Moon is passing through Swati and the subsequent three stars (Vishaka, Anusha and Jyeshta), it will be windy and there may even be dust storms. During Garbottam days, Moon passing these 4 days must be windy for good rainfall to occur in the rainy season.

From 4^th January to 8^th January 2016, Moon will be in these 4 stars. There must be good winds during these days (till 8^th January) to ensure good rainfall.

This year the 195^th impact day for the 6^th day of Garbottam also happens to have Moon in Swati. This occurs in Aani month or Ashada month in lunar calendar. The rule of windiness for Moon in Swati changes only for Ashada Swati. Let it be windy on all the Swati days in a year. But it must be companied by drizzle on Ashada Swati day!

If it rains on any Swati day, there will be deficit rainfall. But it must drizzle on Ashada Swati  (Swati in Aani month).  Ashada Swati is responsible for the formation of what is called Swati Mutthu (Swati pearl) which is rare and precious. On the day of Ashada Swati, the raindrop blown by wind and dust will be captured by oysters and becomes pearl. The 195^th impact day for 6^th day of Garbottam (3^rd to 4^th January 2016) is Ashada Swati. Therefore the Garbottam of this day must be conducive for drizzle accompanied by winds on the night of 13^th and on the 14^th of July 2016.

In the corresponding fortnight also, there occurs an important date for observation. The corresponding fortnight occurs in the month of AavaNi. When Moon is transiting Moola star in AavaNi the sky must be overcast such that the sun light must be obstructed strongly. This will be mentioned in the Panchangam as “AavaNi Moolam”. On AavaNi Moolam day, the day must be dark with dense clouds hiding the sun all through the day. This date is 11^th September 2016.

So these two days, 13-14^th July (Ashada Swati) and 11^th September (AavaNi Moolam) must be watched for these specific features for good rainfall later that date. 

The 6^th day of Garbottam trend is not all that encouraging for AavaNi Moolam though Ashada Swati may manifest to a lesser degree. The Swati day of 6^th day of Garbottam was not windy. The wind was gentle and rare. Only between 10 AM and 1 PM, some windiness was felt. At that time only, clouds were seen in the sky. Otherwise the clouds were thinly seen near the horizon and scorched by the sun.

Some clouds were looking like aquatic forms but they quickly dissipated. At sunset, the sky was mildly reddish and the sun was hiding behind the clouds at sunset. From the colour of the clouds, it appeared that sun was mildly reddish.

The observation of the 5 factors for day- 6 are as follows:

(1) Wind:- Mild breeze at twilights. Some winds from 10 AM to 1 PM. Otherwise still air only.

Result:- This is less than average factor for rainfall. Being a Swati day, winds must have been more stronger.

(2) Rain:- Nil.

Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(3) Lightening:- Nil.

Result:-  Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(4) Thunder:- Nil.

Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(5) Clouds:- Cloudless for most part. Some aquatic animal shaped clouds were sighted around noon. Thin clouds were there in the horizon. By evening twilight long streaks of clouds were seen in the direction of sunset.

3-some features:-

(1) Terrestrial :- Behaviour of birds was normal.

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(2) Atmospheric :- Of the 12 features noted in my blog on Garbottam, (1) only thin clouds, some of them looking like crocodiles were sighted around noon. (2) Clouds were scorched by bright sunlight. (3) very faint red glow at sunset. (4) very mild breeze at twilights.

(3) Planetary:- (1) Stars appeared as pale discs. (2) Except Jupiter all the other planets were in Southern declinations. Planets in northern declinations are desirable for good rainfall. (3) Moon had crossed Mars and was in Swati.   

Interpretation:-

(1) By the 195^th day impact, there will be less than average effect on Ashada Swati on 13^th night and 14^th July 2016. Few droplets of rain may be felt around midnight of 13^th July.

(2) The corresponding period between 30^th August and 13^th September is likely to be dry in my place of observation though it  may drizzle here and there.

(3) The corresponding fortnight from 30^th August and 13^th September 2016 has a rare combination of Venus, Mercury and Jupiter in Virgo, a common sign. On 30^th August Mercury turns retrograde and crosses Jupiter on 1^st September. Venus is ahead of them by 4 degrees only. Such a close conjunction between these three planets in Uttra Phalguni (lorded by Sun) and Mercury turning retro in its own sign and Sun in its own sign shows some play of heat, wind and rainfall.

At that time Mars will be in Jyeshta after having overtaken Saturn in transit. Mars in Jyehsta is not good for rains. Moreover Mars is associated with violent play of nature. We have to see how the very good rainfall indicators on the one hand and violent Mars on the other are going to interact. However the overall picture shows some good rainfall in the places where SW monsoon is due but also shows a change in the character of the rainfall.

Related articles:

Garbottam begins at 5 PM on 29th December 2015.

Day -1 of Garbottam and Arudra Pravesham.

Day - 2 of Garbottam, year 2015-16.

Day -3 of Garbottam year 2015-16

Day – 4 of Garbottam year 2015-16 is disappointing!

Day – 5 of Garbottam year 2015-16 - disappointing for Chennai but good for SW Monsoon.

Day – 5 of Garbottam year 2015-16 - disappointing for Chennai but good for SW Monsoon.

The 5^th day of Garbottam started a little after 5 PM on 2^nd January 2016 and ended after 5 PM on 3^rd January 2016.

The 195^th day effect in my place of observation will be on 12^th July 2016.

The corresponding fortnight is from 16th August to 30^th August 2016.

The 5^th day of Garbottam looked like a continuation of the 4^th day with very less symptoms of ‘pregnancy’ of clouds or rainfall. The air very still and day was quite hot. No clouds were seen anywhere in the sky right from the morning. The night also was cloudless as stars were clearly visible. Around noon there was hot breeze.

For a good Garbottam at least one feature must be there : there must be clouds, winds or some ‘activity’ in the atmosphere either as a drizzle or a rumbling thunder or a lightening or glossy clouds or a reddish sun rise or sunset. The only feature noticed was cool nights and no snowfall or mist.

For the month of Margazhi chillness must be there. It indicates normal rains next year. If snowfall or mists are noticed, the rainfall season will be deficient. Snowfall and mist are reserved for Thai month. On the 5^th day of Garbottam, one feature that was observed was cooler night. Let us see how far this helps in rainfall on 12^th July or in the 2^nd half of August.

Today’s Garbottam is important on one account as its corresponding fortnight falls in the early part of the month of Aavani when a phenomenon called “AavaNi muzhakkam” (ஆவணி முழக்கம்) must happen for good rainfall later. This is applicable to Tamilnadu. One can find this mentioned in Tamil Panchangam.  This happens on the 6^th day of AavaNi. The calendar date is 22^nd August 2016. On that day thunderbolts must be heard. Rainfall is not expected on this day, but the roar of thunderbolts must be heard. That roar is signified as Muzhakkam of AavaNi. It indicates good rainfall in the rest of the season.

Going by today’s (5^th day) Garbottam, rains are not expected in the 2^nd half of August (16^th to 30 August 2016). But it is enough thunderbolts are heard. The hot wind at noon and coolness at night are the features that were present on this day. It must be seen if they have an impact on thunder- cloud formation on that fortnight. The rationale of Garbottam is that it indicates opposites.  

The observation of the 5 factors for day- 5 are as follows:

(1) Wind:- Not gentle but hot winds around noon. The night time air was still.

Result:- This is not a good factor for rainfall.

(2) Rain:- Nil.

Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(3) Lightening:- Nil.

Result:-  Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(4) Thunder:- Nil.

Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(5) Clouds:- Cloudless. Horizon looked dim as if clouds were there. But as day was coming to an end, it appeared that there were no clouds near the horizon.  

3-some features:-

(1) Terrestrial :- Behaviour of birds satisfactory but appeared restricted due to hot and dry conditions.

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(2) Atmospheric :- Of the 12 features noted in my blog onGarbottam, nothing could be made out. Clouds scorched by the sun are a feature of Garbottam. At times it appeared that clouds were vaporised by sunlight. Region around the horizon looked deceptive. The weather on the corresponding period would give some clarity on what this appearance was in reality.

(3) Planetary:- (1) Stars appeared  whitish and as faint discs. (2) Except Jupiter all the other planets were in Southern declinations. Planets in northern declinations are desirable for good rainfall. (3) Conjunction of Moon with Mars in Chitra star on this day can be termed as malefic.  

Interpretation:-

(1) The period between  16^th August and 30^th  August 2016 is going to be dry in my place of observation. Two factors (1) the hot air at day and coolness at night and (2) conjunction of Moon with malefic Mars in the windy sign are likely to cause strong winds and thunderbolts and rain clouds getting shattered by winds.

(2) The 195^th day, namely 12^th July 2016 is likely to be dry in my place of observation.

(3) But the SW Monsoon would be doing well as August 16^th 2016 marks a special combination of planets. On that day Sun enters Leo, 4 planets (Venus, Rahu, Mercury and Jupiter) will be within 30 degrees of the Sun. In fact all the planets will be behind the sun. This line-up even started as early as the 1^st week of July 2016. If all the planets are behind the Sun or in front of the Sun, and if this happens in the rainy season, there will be plentiful rains and floods caused by heavy rains.

SW Monsoon of 2010 started on 30^th June when all the planets came behind the Sun.

The monsoon season of 2011 also started with all planets in front of the Sun. 2011 was a year of floods.

In 2016, all planets are going to be behind the Sun right from the first week of July when an additional feature of good rains namely Budha- Shukra sameepyam is also going to happen.

A feature of the floods of 2011 (and also of Chennai Nov- Dec 2015) is that the ground was already saturated due to rains. The Budha – Shukra closeness for some time saturates the ground with good rains. When the additional feature of rain fall yoga (all planets behind or in front of the Sun) occurs, it triggers floods. In Chennai floods, it was yet another feature which I will discuss through 9^th to 13^th days of Garbottam.

One more important feature is the conjunction of Mercury or Venus with Rahu or Ketu. Mercury was conjunct with Ketu (opposite to Rahu) on 30^th June 2010 putting an end to the hiatus caused by cyclone Laila. SW Monsoon was revived on that day.

Earlier in that year (2010) conjunction of Venus and Ketu on 31^st May 2010 coincided with the start of SW Monsoon.

2011 was a year of floods during SW Monsoon season. When floods were ravaging Orissa and Bihar, Venus and Ketu were in conjunction.

For the current Garbottam- impact period, the close line up of planets behind the Sun from 16^th August 2016 coincides with the conjunction of Venus and Rahu in the fixed sign Leo. The line-up behind the Sun that started from July 7^th is going to last till September 12^th 2016. A repeat of 2010 and 2011 rains (and floods) can be expected in the regions where SW monsoon is due.

Any period of hiatus in the first half of August will be ended by 16^th August when Venus conjuncts with Rahu. (Because this conjunction indicates a trigger factor).

It must be seen whether the pattern of 2010 and 2011 is repeated in 2016 for the period between July and September 12^th.

Related articles:

Garbottam begins at 5 PM on 29th December 2015.

Day -1 of Garbottam and Arudra Pravesham.

Day - 2 of Garbottam, year 2015-16.

Day -3 of Garbottam year 2015-16

Day – 4 of Garbottam year 2015-16 is disappointing!