Wednesday, February 3, 2016

Garbottam chart of January 2016 – Impact on July – August 2016

Garbottam is seen in two ways. One pertains to a larger period of six and a half months of the Monsoon period starting from June to December. This is done on the dates that Sun is transiting Poorvashada star in the month of Margazhi. This year this period lasted for 13 days between the evening of 29th December 2015 and the evening of 11th January 2016. Daily observation for this period can be read here. A consolidated chart on the observation of this period will be posted separately.

The second type of observation of Garbottam pertains to daily observation starting from Margazhi to Vaikasi. The rainfall occurrence can be predicted on the 195th day from the day of observation. For the first time I have started the observation on a daily basis. I am noting them down in a diary on the corresponding impact date. This can give a better understating of the Garbottam principles. 

The observation pertains to my place of observation which is in a suburb of South Chennai. Since I started the observation from 29th December 2015, the corresponding dates start from July 2016 only. In the absence of observation in the previous period, it is not possible to predict for the dates in June 2016.

The results may go wrong or right. If it goes wrong, I consider it as lacunae in understating the principles of Garbottam told in Brihad Samhita and Prasna Marga, the two sources which are my guiding lights. Moreover it is also told in these texts (particularly Brihad samhita) that a good Garbottam may fail to give good rains on the 195th day, if the planetary positions on that day are not supportive of rainfall. In that case it would not rain on that 195th day. But it would rain in the next Garbottam supported-day, as a shower of hail or thunderstorm. (Brihad Samhita 21-33). Therefore the rainfall yoga combinations of planets on the impact dates must be checked while predicting the rainfall on the 195th day.

The Sapta Nadi Chakra of planets – star combination must be checked for rainfall on the impact day (195th day). It is given below. More planets on no-rain Nadi would reduce the impact of a good Garbottam.

1
Vayu Nadi
Kri, Vishaka,  Anusha, Bharani

Saturn
Windy,
No rains
2
Vayu Nadi
Ro, Swati, Jyesh, Aswini

Sun
Windy, Rains
3
Dahana Nadi
Mri, Chith, Moola, Revathy
Mars

Heat,
Dry weather
4
Sowmya Nadi
Aru,  Hastha, P-shada, U-Bhadra

Mercury
Windy,
Less rains
5
Nirjala Nadi
Punar, U.Phal, U-shada, P-Bhadra
Venus
Cloudy,
But no rains
6
Jala Nadi
Pushya, P.Phal, Abhijit, Shatabhishak
Jupiter
Plentiful
rainfall
7
Amirtha Nadi
Aslesha, Magha, Sravana, Dhanishta

Moon

Excessive
rainfall



































Hail or thunderstorm or storms are indicated if Moon and Sun joins malefics such as Saturn, Mars and Rahu in the Garbottam observation day. So they must also be incorporated in the prediction model.

The conjunction of planets (Graha Yuddha) on the Garbottam observation day does not produce rainfall even if there is good Garbottam on the observation date and good planetary combination on the impact date. These must be also incorporated in the model.

Experimentally I am including the specific stars (transited by Moon on a day) on observation dates that are supposed to give abundant rainfall if there is good Garbottam on those stars.

These stars are
Purvashada (Pooradam),
Uttarashada (Uttradam),
Purva Bhadrapada (Purattadhi),
Uttarabhadrapada (Uttrattadhi) and
 Rohini.
Good Garbottam on these dates will give abundant rainfall on the corresponding 195th day.

When Moon is crossing Arudra, Aslesha (Ayilyam), Magha , Swati and Satabhishak (sadayam), the subsequent rains will go on for many days for specific Garbottam months. If good Garbottam is observed in any of these stars
In Margazhi – rainfall for 8 days starting from the corresponding 195th day.
In Thai - for 6 days
In Maasi -16 days
In Panguni – 24 days
In Chittrai– 20 days
In Vaiskasi – 3 days.

This can be checked in the observation done on day to day basis.

The day-to-day Garbottam observed in the month of January 2016 is given below. The 5 features of Garbottam are given in 3 columns (columns 2,3 & 4). Minimum 2 features namely Cloud and wind factors must be present for moderate Garbottam. They are clubbed together in column 2.

When clouds are abundant in the sky and hide the sun and bring out coolness and darkness that ensures very good rainfall. Based on that, the nature of rainfall is given in one column 6.

Drizzle is given in a separate column as it multiplies rainfall on impact day. Thunder (low, rumbling) and lightening are clubbed in one column. So far this was not observed in my place of observation. This feature will gain momentum in the months of Panguni and Chithrai.

The time period of rainfall (column 7) is included on an experimental basis as it depends on the time of Garbottam observed on the thithi of the observation date. I have noted down the start and end of the thithi for observation and impact dates in my dairy. As they are very detailed, I have given a general outlook in the chart while I will be doing a detailed observation in my diary in terms of hours.
I intend to produce monthly charts like this till Vaikasi when the Garbottam observation period ends.

Vaikasi corresponds to Karthigai rains. That marks the end of North east monsoon. For places other than east India and Tamilnadu, observation up to Panguni is enough. That marks the end of South West monsoon.

The entire chart pertains to my place of observation Chennai. However based on the intensity of Garbottam features in my place I foresee widespread impact throughout Chennai on specific dates. They are given at the last column and in the Inference section that follows that chart.  

This year I will be checking this chart for the impact on the whole of Chennai to know how far the Garbottam in my place of observation is applicable to entire Chennai.

The entire chart originally prepared was for January 2016. But due to problems in uploading that chart, I have split into two, the first one for Margazhi (Jan 1 to 14th) and the second one for Thai (Jan 15th to 31st). Click the charts to see the details. 

For Margazhi in the first half of Janaury.



For the month of Thai in the 2nd half of January.



Inference:-

1. Precipitation is indicated from 10th July to 5th August 2016. From 10th to 18th July Moon joins malefic planets. Indicative of rains from storms or rains associated with thunder.

2. Rain on July 18th is shattered by Graha Yuddha (planetary conjunction) on the observation date.

3. For the entire period of 31 days in July and August shown above (January Garbottam), the planetary combinations are conducive for rainfall.

4. In Sapta Nadi Chakra, no planet is in obstructive star. Jupiter will be  in Purva phalguni (Pooram) in Jala Nadi indicating plentiful rains. Planetary positions are helpful on impact dates.

5. January 13th had Satabhishak. Since the month is Margazhi, a good Garbottam must give rainfall for 8 days starting from the 195th day, i.e., from July 23 to July 30. The table shows that Garbottam had continued for the next 8 days to facilitate rainfall. Only July 28th is an exception.


January 13th, 3 PM at Satabhishak.

6. The next such day is Arudra in Thai month (January 22nd) . There was good Garbottam with an additional feature of a drizzle. This must give rainfall for 6 days starting from the 195th day, i.e., from August 1st to August 6th. The table shows that Garbottam on the corresponding dates were present.


January 22nd, after noon at Arudra

7. These two periods – 23rd July to 30th July and 1st August to 6th August – can give rainfall in my place of observation only if the climate is conducive for the whole of Chennai. Therefore I take this as an indication of wet days for entire Chennai on these dates.

8. Good Garbottam on Uttra Bhadrapada and Rohini (January 15th and 20th) shows that the rainfall will be heavy and widespread on 25th and 30th July 2016. A few hours before or after these dates can be added as the corresponding thithi varied.


January 15th, 4-30 PM at Uttra Bhadrapada




January 20th, 10-30 AM at Rohini.

9. The day to day observation of January Garbottam vindicates the earlier observation of 13-day Garbottam which showed the 2nd Day of Garbottam to give rainfall between 5th July and 19th July and  3rd day Garbottam to fetch rainfall between 19th July to 2nd August. 

The above charts of daily observation further confirms the results of the 2nd and 3rd day of Garbottam when Sun was transiting Purvashada in Margazhi. 

The 2nd day of Garbottam observation was 
"30% rainfall of the season expected in my place of observation for the period between 5th July and 19th July."

The 3rd day of Garbottam observation was
"The period between 19th July and 2nd August would see wet days with occasional rainfall here and there in my place of observation."

The above charts give a fine-tuned version of the 2 fortnights for these 2 days of Garbottam which must be cross checked at the time of impact dates. 

So far the daily charts coinciding with fortnightly indications by the 2nd and 3rd days of Garbottam show that they do tally and that there is substance in this type of rainfall astrology.