Day -3 of Garbottam started with moderate atmospheric
features after 5 PM on 31st December 2015. As night progressed, the
sky became clear and stars looked pale and cool. Some cloud formation must be
there on Garbottam days (nights). It was absent on the first part of 3rd
day. The stars looked as expected on Garbottam days.
I waited for Moon rise to see how the moon looked.
There was another curious feature with Moon of 31st December. Moon
was conjunct with Jupiter on 31st December at 11 PM. It was a beautiful
sight to see Jupiter too close to Moon. Both of them looked whitish and not
very bright. There was no halo around Moon.
Usually when a planet crossed another planet within
1 degree, such a condition is known as planetary war. Planetary war during
Garbottam days mars rainfall later in the corresponding period. But Moon in
such a condition is not an issue, in my opinion. We have to keep this in mind
when we check the rainfall on the corresponding day.
The 195th day for the 3rd day
of Garbottam is 10th July 2016.
The corresponding fortnight for 3rd day
of Garbottam is from 19th July to 2nd August 2016.
The observation of the 5 factors for day-3 are as follows:
(1) Wind:- Cool breeze was
felt in the morning. Gentle wind continued through the day. The wind direction
was North and Northeast
Result:- This is a good factor for rainfall as far as
wind factor is concerned. The cool breeze in the morning shows scattered rain
or drizzles at night on 10th July 2016 and in the period between 19th
July and 2nd August 2016. The direction of the rains will be from
South and South west.
(2) Rain:- Nil.
Result:- This is good for Garbottam period.
(3) Lightening:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said
period.
(4) Thunder:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.
(5) Clouds:- This
factor was wonderful on day 3. Right
from the morning, the sky was overcast. From the cloudless day in my place of
observation on the 1st day, to an overcast sky on the 3rd
day, it was a remarkable change in the development of Garbottam. Clouds were
very much less and scattered on the night. But by the morning there were clouds
everywhere and they looked pearl- white which is a feature for good Garbottam.
Some clouds featured a halo by reflecting sunlight. Aquatic shaped clouds were
largely absent as the clouds were like blankets over my place. Even by 10 AM,
12 Noon and 1 PM, the overcast sky reduced the sunlight.
Result:- This factor is satisfactory. Though the sky
was not dark, it was dull due to clouds everywhere until 2 PM. This feature indicates
rains here and there right from the time Sun enters Poosam star in the month of
Aadi, that is from 19th July to 2nd August.
3-some features:-
(1) Terrestrial :- Behaviour
of birds very satisfactory. Due to pleasant weather caused by clouds and cool
breeze, I could see and hear birds in cheerful and relaxed mood.
(2) Atmospheric :- Of
the 12 features noted in my blog onGarbottam,
(1) gentle breeze was there in the morning. It continued for most part of the
day (2) Sun not visible as it was behind clouds for most part. But I could
guess that it had a bright halo and there was halo around clouds too. (3) No aquatic clouds were seen. The sky was overcast
(4) Wind direction was from the North and North east. (5) Mildly reddish sky at
sunset. From these, I deduce the atmospheric features were above average.
(3) Planetary:- (1)
Planets and stars appeared whitish and as
faint discs. (2) Sun was red at sun set. (3) Except Jupiter all the other
planets were in Southern declinations. Planets in northern declinations are
desirable for good rainfall.
Interpretation:-
Of the 5 factors, 2 (wind and clouds) were very
good. Terrestrial and atmospheric features were good while movement of planets
in southern declination is not desirable.
These factors are reasonably good for Garbottam. By
the 195th day concept, it was deduced that 9th July 2015
would receive moderate rainfall. It would continue on 10th July also, going by
the 3rd day of Garbottam. Rainfall will be more on 10th July and at night time (as the Garbottam features were seen at day time now)
The period between 19th July and 2nd August would see wet days with occasional rainfall here and there in my place of
observation.
At that time, (between 19th July and 2nd
August 2016) the planetary positions are
very good for a good monsoon. They are
(1) Mercury – Venus closeness is there.
(2) Sun, Mercury and Venus are conjunct in the same sign.
(3) Sun, Mercury,
Venus, Saturn and Mars in watery signs.
(4) On the starting day of this corresponding
period when Sun enters Poosam star, Moon will be in Uttradam, a watery star
which is good for rainfall.
All these indicate that SW
Monsoon would have picked up well at places where it is due.
