Saturday, January 2, 2016

Day -3 of Garbottam year 2015-16

 Day -3 of Garbottam started with moderate atmospheric features after 5 PM on 31st December 2015. As night progressed, the sky became clear and stars looked pale and cool. Some cloud formation must be there on Garbottam days (nights). It was absent on the first part of 3rd day. The stars looked as expected on Garbottam days.

I waited for Moon rise to see how the moon looked. There was another curious feature with Moon of 31st December. Moon was conjunct with Jupiter on 31st December at 11 PM. It was a beautiful sight to see Jupiter too close to Moon. Both of them looked whitish and not very bright. There was no halo around Moon.

Usually when a planet crossed another planet within 1 degree, such a condition is known as planetary war. Planetary war during Garbottam days mars rainfall later in the corresponding period. But Moon in such a condition is not an issue, in my opinion. We have to keep this in mind when we check the rainfall on the corresponding day.

The 195th day for the 3rd day of Garbottam is 10th July 2016.
The corresponding fortnight for 3rd day of Garbottam is from 19th July to 2nd August 2016.

The observation of the 5 factors for day-3  are as follows:

(1) Wind:- Cool breeze was felt in the morning. Gentle wind continued through the day. The wind direction was North and Northeast
Result:- This is a good factor for rainfall as far as wind factor is concerned. The cool breeze in the morning shows scattered rain or drizzles at night on 10th July 2016 and in the period between 19th July and 2nd August 2016. The direction of the rains will be from South and South west.

(2) Rain:- Nil.
Result:- This is good for Garbottam period.

(3) Lightening:- Nil.
Result:-  Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(4) Thunder:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(5) Clouds:- This factor was  wonderful on day 3. Right from the morning, the sky was overcast. From the cloudless day in my place of observation on the 1st day, to an overcast sky on the 3rd day, it was a remarkable change in the development of Garbottam. Clouds were very much less and scattered on the night. But by the morning there were clouds everywhere and they looked pearl- white which is a feature for good Garbottam. Some clouds featured a halo by reflecting sunlight. Aquatic shaped clouds were largely absent as the clouds were like blankets over my place. Even by 10 AM, 12 Noon and 1 PM, the overcast sky reduced the sunlight.

Result:- This factor is satisfactory. Though the sky was not dark, it was dull due to clouds everywhere until 2 PM. This feature indicates rains here and there right from the time Sun enters Poosam star in the month of Aadi, that is from 19th July to 2nd August.

3-some features:-

(1) Terrestrial :- Behaviour of birds very satisfactory. Due to pleasant weather caused by clouds and cool breeze, I could see and hear birds in cheerful and relaxed mood.

(2) Atmospheric :- Of the 12 features noted in my blog onGarbottam, (1) gentle breeze was there in the morning. It continued for most part of the day (2) Sun not visible as it was behind clouds for most part. But I could guess that it had a bright halo and there was halo around clouds too.  (3) No aquatic clouds were seen. The sky was overcast (4) Wind direction was from the North and North east. (5) Mildly reddish sky at sunset. From these, I deduce the atmospheric features were above average.

(3) Planetary:- (1) Planets and stars appeared  whitish and as faint discs. (2) Sun was red at sun set. (3) Except Jupiter all the other planets were in Southern declinations. Planets in northern declinations are desirable for good rainfall.


Of the 5 factors, 2 (wind and clouds) were very good. Terrestrial and atmospheric features were good while movement of planets in southern declination is not desirable.

These factors are reasonably good for Garbottam. By the 195th day concept, it was deduced that 9th July 2015 would receive moderate rainfall. It would continue on 10th July also, going by the 3rd day of Garbottam. Rainfall will be more on 10th July and at night time (as the Garbottam features were seen at day time now)

The period between 19th July and 2nd August would see wet days with occasional rainfall here and there in my place of observation.

At that time, (between 19th July and 2nd August 2016)  the planetary positions are very good for a good monsoon. They are 
(1) Mercury – Venus closeness is there. 
(2) Sun, Mercury and Venus are conjunct in the same sign. 
(3) Sun, Mercury, Venus, Saturn and Mars in watery signs. 
(4) On the starting day of this corresponding period when Sun enters Poosam star, Moon will be in Uttradam, a watery star which is good for rainfall. 

All these indicate that SW Monsoon would have picked up well at places where it is due.

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