The 2nd day of the Garbottam of 2015-16
(Manmatha year) started at around 5 PM of 30th December 2015 and
ended at 5 PM (approximately) on 31st December 2015.
It will have an impact on the rainfall from 5th July 2016 to 19th July 2016.
On the basis of 195 days gap, the 2nd day of Garbottam will have a bearing on rainfall on 9th July from any place of observation. The rationale is this. This 2nd day of Garbottam happens on Panchami of the waning period of Margazhi. It will have an impact on the day of Panchami in the waxing period of Aani. That date is 9th July 2016.
It will have an impact on the rainfall from 5th July 2016 to 19th July 2016.
On the basis of 195 days gap, the 2nd day of Garbottam will have a bearing on rainfall on 9th July from any place of observation. The rationale is this. This 2nd day of Garbottam happens on Panchami of the waning period of Margazhi. It will have an impact on the day of Panchami in the waxing period of Aani. That date is 9th July 2016.
Compared to day 1 of Garbottam in my place of
observation, the 2nd day was a little better. On the 1st
day, clouds were almost absent, but soon after the 2nd day started,
long streaks of clouds could be noticed at night. I didn’t stay awake to watch
the night time conditions, but farmers of olden days used to watch the night
time conditions too.
But by day break on 31st December,
bunches of sponge like clouds could be seen moving from the Northern direction.
I could even spot swan like clouds and a crocodile like clouds with mouth wide
open.
One can make out the figure from the shape of the
clouds. Sometimes clouds would appear like castles. Sometimes clouds appear
like birds and animals. Sometimes clouds appear like aquatic animals. During
Garbottam days, clouds appearing like aquatic animals are one of the good signs
for rainfall in the corresponding period later.
There is nothing unscientific or ridiculous about
the shapes of clouds. The shapes of clouds indicate the kind of wind movement
from different directions and their interaction. For aquatic animal shapes, say
for swans, the huge body with a head and a long beak can be formed by a
specific pattern of wind movement at that layer of atmosphere. For crocodile
formation which is identifiable by the long open mouth and a long body, similar
kind of cross wind patterns are to be there to distinguish between body and
head and mouth or beak.
In the case of castle formations, such crossing wind
patterns are largely absent. The wind currents chisel the outer shapes of the
clouds. For animals and bird, the crossing wind patterns are different. If we
watch the shapes of clouds in different seasons and figure out the shapes, we
will be able to appreciate the invisible movement of winds in causing such
shapes.
During Garbottam days, the clouds forming shapes of
aquatic animals are ideal for the kind of the wind patterns that must be there
to have an impact on good rainfall at a later date.
On the 2nd day of Garbottam (31st
Dec), I was excited to see a huge swan shaped cloud moving swiftly from north
to south at around 8 AM. Fish like formations were also seen but they quickly changed
shapes. At around noon, I noticed swan shaped clouds with distinct beak and
neck. There were stork like formations too which were half bodied. By 4 PM, I
noticed many tortoise shaped clouds. Though I could not watch the sky
continuously, I was checking every now and then.
Right from morning till the end of day -2, the
region around the horizon all around was covered with clouds. A completely
overcast sky is a good sign of pregnancy of rainfall. But the sky was not
overcast, though it was so only for about 30 degrees above the horizon on all
sides. At other places, bunches of clouds, some of them in aquatic animal
shapes were seen moving from the North which is a good sign.
Apart from the clouds, the mild breeze in the
morning and evening (sea breeze?) and red sun at sun set were the features
noticed on the 2nd day of Garbottam.
The observation of the 5 factors for day-2 are as
follows:
Result:- A moderate factor of 20% strength for
rainfall from 5th July to 19th July in my place of
observation. However the cool breeze in the morning shows scattered rain or
drizzles at night in that period.
(2) Rain:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period. I read that some parts of South Tamilnadu experienced
rains today (2nd day of Garbottam). Rains are not good signs of
rainfall later in the corresponding period in the rainy season. Drizzles are
ideal for good pregnancy of rainfall.
(3) Lightening:-
Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said
period.
(4) Thunder:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.
(5) Clouds:- Long clouds noticed at night. Day time clouds were
whitish and at times tinged with halo. Aquatic shaped clouds noticed at time
during the day. Sky not completely overcast.
Result:- This factor is satisfactory but not
completely ideal.
3-some features:-
(1) Terrestrial :-
Behaviour of birds and cows satisfactory.
(2) Atmospheric :-
Of the 12 features noted in my blog onGarbottam,
(1) gentle breeze was there in the morning. (2) Sun was encircled with bright
halo, but could not watch the moon. (3) Aquatic shaped clouds were seen, more
around noon. (4) Wind direction was from the North. (5) Mildly reddish sky at
sunset. From these, I deduce the atmospheric features were little above average.
(3) Planetary:-
(1) Planets and stars appeared as whitish and faint discs. (2) Sun was red at
sun set. (3) Except Jupiter all the other planets were in Southern
declinations. Planets in northern declinations are desirable.
Interpretation:-
Only the cloud and atmospheric
condition was present at an average level. This was noticed at day time
and around noon. It must be observed whether this gives
moderate rainfall on 9th July in my place of observation at night
time.
For the Garbottam strength, the overall scenario has 2 out of 5
features (wind and cloud) in good
condition. This must give 30% rainfall
of the season expected in my place of observation for the period between 5th
July and 19th July.
Now coming to the planetary position at
that time in July 2016, they
are pretty good.
Those features (ativrishti yoga) are listed below:
(1) On 7th July, the closeness of Mercury
and Venus (Budha- Shukra saameepyam) starts.
(2) Until then Sun, Mercury and Venus are together
in Gemini with Venus in front of the other two. Mercury crosses Sun by the 7th
of July. Usually under this circumstance it will rain in the rainy season.
(3) Both Mercury and Venus were combust until then.
(4) Venus re-emerges from combustion by 7th
July, but it re-emerges in Punarpoosam which reduces
the rainfall.
(5) Both Mercury and Venus are in the West.
(6) On 9th July which is the 195th
corresponding day for today (2nd day for Garbottam), Venus – Mercury
closeness continues with Venus in the front and in watery sign and both of them
in the same Navamsa. This is a good sign of rainfall.
(7) On the night of 9th July, Moon enters Uttram (Uttra
Phalguni), the watery star which adds strength to the Venus – Mercury position.
Therefore, by the principle of 195th day
rainfall, there is a likelihood of rains at night time on 9th July
in my place of observation though it would not be heavy.
However, the planetary positions being good at that
time (5th July to 19th July), the
SW monsoon would have advanced by then to its usual locations in India.
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