The 12th day of Garbottam of 2015-2016
began after 5.30 PM on 9th January
2016 and ended around 6 PM on 10th January 2016.
The 195th day effect
in my place of observation will be on 20th
July 2016.
The corresponding fortnight will be from 19th November to 2nd December 2016.
It was the most disappointing day. Absolutely no
activity in the sky. It was a dry run for the whole of Pooradam
and Utthradam that started after 11 AM this day (12th day –
10th January 2016).
The foremost Garbottam days mentioned by Varahamihira
pertain to Moon in Pooradam, Utthradam
and Swati. If it is cloudy on these days, with gentle air blowing and
sun hiding behind the clouds very often, it is said a good “pregnancy” has happened.
Such features on these days bring bountiful rains in the 195th days
and in the corresponding fortnights for several days.
In the present period of Garbottam, Swati was over
on day-6 of Garbottam. Pooradam was over in the 3rd quarter of day
12. Only Utthradam remains now. So far these days did not show symptoms of ‘pregnancy’.
That means a dry NE monsoon season in my place of observation, that is,
Chennai.
The night of day 12 was still and cloudless. The day
break was too bright. Right from morning the sky continued to be cloudless on
all directions. No breeze was felt.
But by 11 AM small bunches
of clouds started appearing in South and West. And gentle wind was felt
from east, south and south east and later from west.
This is in contrast to the other days. The direction
of the wind or rainfall in the corresponding period will be opposite to the
direction of wind felt during Garbottam days. For all days until the 12th
day the direction of the wind was north or northeast. This means the direction of
wind and rainfall during the corresponding period would be in Southwest. This tallies
with the direction of the SW monsoon.
Till the 8th day of Garbottam, the wind
was felt form North and Northeast. The 8th day coincides with Navarathri. But there after the winds were much less
though cloud movement was noticed from north.
For the first time on the 12th
day, coinciding with NE Monsoon, winds and clouds were moving from south and
west.
For North east monsoon, the direction of the wind
from 11th to 13th day of Garbottam must be from South, west
and South west. Only in the last quarter of the 12th day, winds could
be felt from south east, at times from South west and west. For most part of
the day time of the 12th day, the wind was from South east. That
means the wind direction in the corresponding period
will be from North West which means winds from land area. Such winds can push away the
clouds from east and south east that usually bring rainfall to Chennai and
Tamilnadu.
The small bunches of clouds that were found only in
the southern sky and western sky in contrast to complete absence of clouds in
north and east was also a new phenomenon of this 12th day. The few lone clouds seen in the Western sky
after 11 AM is shown below. They were moving from South to North.
In the left
hand corner transparent and vague cloud formation can be seen.
The southern sky looked like this around 11 AM
The Sun was a loner in the sky.
The northern sky remained featureless throughout the
day. This happened for the first time in this Garbottam season.
The scarce cloud movement in the south and west
lasted between 11 AM and 2 PM only. After that the clouds disintegrated. The
western sky sported a long transparent cloud around 2 PM like this:
Does it look like the mouth of a frog or the beak of
a stork? Can this be categorised as an aquatic feature of Garbottam?
Over all it was a disappointing
day. The sun was hot and scorching throughout.
Even a few minutes before setting, it was bright and
yellowish. Only at the time of setting (hiding behind the haze of the horizon),
it turned red.
This was in contrast to 11th day’s sun
set.
On the 11th day it looked like as
follows:
Only when it was sinking, the sun looked red. The
sky was purple and not exactly red.
Is NE Monsoon a failure as far as Chennai is
concerned? We must wait till next November- December to know. Any way one more
day is there. By 3 PM, wind had picked up and the 13th day began
with pleasant winds from west and south west. Let us wait for the 13th
(and last) day to unfold.
The observation of the 5 factors for day-12 are as follows:
(1) Wind:- Very less.
By 3 PM gentle winds were felt. The direction was from South, east and later
from West.
Result:- Less than average feature of
Garbottam
(2) Rain:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said
period.
(3) Lightening:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said
period.
(4) Thunder:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.
(5) Clouds:- Very less
clouds seen in south and western sky for about 3 hours at the start of last
quarter of the day. Otherwise, cloudless
on all sides. No glow around the clouds.
Result:- Poor feature of Garbottam.
3-some features:-
(1) Terrestrial :- Behaviour
of birds satisfactory.
(2) Atmospheric :- Of
the 12 features noted in my blog on Garbottam,
nothing significant was noticed. (1) Gentle breeze for very less time. (2) Very
few small bunches of clouds spotted for 3 hours only.
(3) Planetary:- (1)
Stars appeared insignificant and pale. (2) Except Jupiter all the other planets
were in Southern declinations. Planets in northern declinations are desirable.
(3) Sun was reddish for a few minutes before sunset.
Interpretation:-
195th day impact:- Not
much rains can be expected though there may be isolated drains in some pockets
at the night of 20th July 2016.
The impact on the corresponding fortnight (19thNovember to 2nd December 2016) in
my place of observation:- There may be isolated rains in Chennai in the 2nd half
of the fortnight.
NE Monsoon:- The
planetary combinations for heavy rains start from 16th November
2016. This combination had Mars, Saturn and Sun in alternating signs. When moon
moves in 5th, 7th and 9th signs from them and
when such signs happen to be Cancer, Pisces, Taurus and Libra it had rained heavily
in the past. It happened at the time of rains in Chennai
from mid- November to first week of December 2015.
It happened 6 out of 9 times in Santa Cruz (Mumbai) between 1975 and 1990 resulting in more than 20 cm rainfall in 24 hours. Such a combination was present in 4 out 8 times in the same period when more than 20 cm rainfall was recorded in a single day in Colaba, Mumbai.
The corresponding fortnight starts with this combination and moon in cancer. Somewhere in the east coast of India, heavy rain must be lashing the shores. Chennai is not in the line of those rains. At the end of the 12th day, the Garbottam indicates this.
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