Saturday, January 2, 2016

Day – 4 of Garbottam year 2015-16 is disappointing!


Day 4 of Garbottam started on the evening of 1st January and ended after 5 PM on 2nd January.  
The 195th day impact for my place of observation will be on 11th July 2016
The fortnight long impact will be from 2nd August to 16th August 2016.

This day was very disappointing and in contrast to the previous day (3rd day of Garbottam). All 5 factors were on the negative side at night and at day time too. The 3rd day was overcast but the 4th day was cloudless for most part. Only after 10 AM, clouds started appearing but the desired aquatic shapes or dense shapes were shattered by winds.

For good Garbottam or pregnancy of clouds, the sky must be overcast or sprinkled with clouds and the wind must be gentle. But what started as gentle wind in the morning, turned a little stronger as day progressed.

In addition to these factors, there must be some moisture in the air or drizzles to make Garbottam successful. The air was dry on this 4th day.

This shows that following the fortnight when Sun enters Poosam on 19th July 2016, the next fortnight when the Sun enters Ayilyam on 2nd August will be dry and windy in my place of observation.
But this need not be a disruptive feature as the month is Aadi known for winds.

The previous period having Aadi-k-kuRi on 29th July must be watched and the Full Moon of 19th July which is likely to be wet could ensure good NE monsoon. Moreover only from the 9th day of Garbottam, the sightings will become crucial for the successful NE Monsoon.

The observation of the 5 factors for day-4  are as follows:

(1) Wind:- Not gentle but stronger. It was still at night time.
Result:- This is not a good factor for rainfall.

(2) Rain:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(3) Lightening:- Nil.
Result:-  Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(4) Thunder:- Nil.
Result:- Does not indicate rains in the said period.

(5) Clouds:- Cloudless for most part. After 10 AM, the clouds were shattered by winds. No aquatic shaped clouds.

3-some features:-

(1) Terrestrial :- Behaviour of birds satisfactory.

(2) Atmospheric :- Of the 12 features noted in my blog onGarbottam, (1) only morning twilight was pleasant. No other features were sighted. At sunset, the sky was not red as it was in the previous days. The Sun also was not red at sun set.

(3) Planetary:- (1) Stars appeared  whitish and as faint discs. (2) Except Jupiter all the other planets were in Southern declinations. Planets in northern declinations are desirable for good rainfall.

Interpretation:-

The period between 2nd August and 16th August 2016 is going to be dry and windy in my place of observation.

The 195th day, namely 11th July 2016 is likely to be dry in my place of observation.

But the SW Monsoon would be doing well where it is due at the time of first half of August.

The planetary combinations are good for the progress of the SW Monsoon in that fortnight.

They are
(1) Closeness of Mercury and Venus continues.

(2) Of them Mercury occupies the same Navamsa in the first few days of the fortnight and is joined with Moon in the watery sign (Cancer)

(3) Mercury and Venus are setting in the western sky with the line-up from east to west as Mercury, Venus and the Sun.

(4) Mercury and Venus in the western sky and in a fixed sign (Leo)

These rainfall causing yogas are present in the corresponding period in support of SW monsoon.



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3rd day of Garbottam shows positive features for rainfall in 2nd half of July 2016.


This year the 3rd day of Garbottam ended at around 5 PM yesterday (1st January 2016). This has an impact on rainfall from 19th July to 2nd August 2016

In this period, 2 important dates are going occur this year which are crucial for determining the rainfall. One can find mention of these 2 days in Panchangam.  

They are

(1) “Aadi-k-kuRi”  (ஆடிக் குறி):- 

There are 4 indicators of this of which any one or none could occur in the month of Aadi in a year. In 2016 season, one Aadi-k-kuRi is going to occur. If Rohini is the star of the day on Dasami (10th thithi) or Ekadashi (11th thithi) in the waning period of the Moon (தேய்பிறை), one must observe the cloud formation. If they sky is cloudy or overcast, there will be good rains in the rest of the season of rainfall. This conjunction of Rohini and waning Dasami and Ekadasi is going to occur on 29th July 2016 from the sunrise of 29th July till the sunrise next day. We have to watch the cloud formation on that day to know about the rainfall in the period later.

As this period (29th July 2016) comes within the fortnight-long impact period of the 3rd day of Garbottam which shows more than average rains, we can expect good cloud formation on that day.


 (2) “Pari vesham” of Moon (பரி வேடம்). 

This is the halo around moon. On the day of Full Moon of Aadi, one must observe for the halo around the Moon. At the start of the impact period of 3rd day of Garbottam, that is, on 19th July 2016, there is going to be Full Moon. One must observe the Full Moon for the whole night on that day.  
If there is halo (Parivesham) around the Moon in the first 4 hours of after Moon rise, there would be good rains in the month of Aippasi (NE monsoon period).




If the halo is seen in the second 4 hours of Moon at night, there will be good rains in the month of Karthigai (NE Monsoon).

In the third  4 hours if the halo is seen, there will be rains in the month of Margazhi.

In 2016, Full Moon will be there for the first 8 hours of night. After that Prathamai comes. Therefore the rains, if they materialise can be there only upto Karthigai, if Parisvesham is noticed.


Moreover if it rains on the first thithi after a Full moon or New Moon, it will rain till the time Moon comes to the same position (one month). This year rains were there in coastal Tamilnadu in November- December, as it rained on the 1st thithi (Prathamai) after 25th November (Karthigai Deepam) .

19th  July of 2016 being a Full Moon day in the month of Aadi, cloud formation is needed on that day  for good rainfall later. Suppose could formation happens on that day and it rains in the next day, there will be rains for one full month after that. (From 20th July to 18th August). Thus 20th July also must be watched for good rains thereafter.

This kind of rules in astrology shows that successive or periodical updates must be done for rainfall prediction.


Nutshell:-

On the basis of 3rd day of Garbottam which had good wind and cloud conditions, there is a good probability that the impact period having 19th July (Full Moon of Aadi) and 29th July (conjunction of waning Dasami and Rohini or Aadi-k-kuRi) is showing positive features for good North East Monsoon for Tamilnadu in 2016.


PS:- I will again post these and other dates of importance just before the date of observation.



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