Monday, February 6, 2017

From Sasikala to BJP – everyone is taking TN people for a ride.

Entire Tamilnadu is seething with anger at the moment. Even the opposition leader Stalin who must be feeling elated at the developments in the ADMK, looked genuine and disturbed  when he said that Sasikala’s elevation is anti-people and that people did not vote for her but only for Jayalalithaa. The sad part of discourse among Tamils is they have started trolling him that DMK voters voted for Karunanidhi and not for him, without realising that there is a point in what he has said and in what they are saying as a retort to him.

As far as ADMK is concerned, a vote for any candidate of that party and a victory for him / her is actually a vote / victory for Jayalalithaa. In the recent Assembly elections, both Jayalalithaa and Karunanidhi made a statement that the voters must think that they are voting for them only (Jayalalithaa / Karunanidhi) when they are casting their vote for the candidate of their constituency.  The difference as it is applicable now is that Sasikala was nowhere near the electoral scene whereas Stalin contested the elections. So when a DMK voter cast his vote he knew pretty well that Stalin is in the reckoning to claim the legacy of his father, whereas no one knew that the vote they cast for ADMK would one day bring Sasikala into CM”s chair! That is where we the people who have been given the right to choose our leader feel cheated when Sasikala made her bid to the throne with all the MLAs conniving with her.

Drohis with Mega Drohi.


As such what the MLAs have done is nothing short of back-stabbing Jayalalithaa who had given them the identity as the MLA. If only we had known or got the slightest inkling that Sasikala is going to usurp the throne, many of us would not have voted for the candidate standing under ADMK banner.

Why we didn’t have an inkling of that? It’s because one of the main planks on which Jayalalithaa sought our votes was that we must not bring in the rule by one family – meaning that of Karunanidhi. Secondly Jayalalithaa gave an appearance that Sasikala would remain what she is – a maid taking care of her personal needs and that all the other members of Sasikala’s family would be banished for ever – which was true until Jayalalithaa was alive.

That she was no more than a maid taking care of Jayalalithaa was reiterated by Sasikala herself in her first ever speech we heard where she said that she spent her life asking Jayalalithaa what she would have for eating and when she would leave for the Secretariat. It looks obvious that Sasikala was not an intellectual friend or a friend with whom Jayalalithaa could share her thoughts. That sharing might have happened in the past, but once she was driven out of her house (and taken back later),  Jayalalithaa must have grown cautious in what she could share with her. But a monster is a monster and how well one may have succeeded in bottling it up, its tendency is to break open and come out to wreck the havoc. That has happened now.

With the entire group of ADMK MLAs having revealed their true colours and cheated not only Jayalalithaa but also the people who voted for them, it further remains a shocking truth that no sane voice is being heard from the powers that be at the centre

On the day Jayalalithaa’s body remained in state, the entire State was crying like an orphan. The sight of Mannarkudi Mafia around her body sent shock waves among the people. But the tall leader on whose arrival people screamed to let out their sorrow, gave a consoling touch to Sasikala and acknowledged Natarajan’s presence. Though most of us were shocked at that sight, we had none other than ourselves to console that it was after all a gesture at a sad moment.

Why this gesture?

But are we right in our guess or are we being taken for a ride by selfish power mongers whom we thought are saviours of our nation?

The ‘Porki’ fame Subramanian Swamy seemed to endorse Sasikala’s elevation when he tweeted that if Sasikala becomes CM she must control the porkis. Does he not feel enraged at such an elevation of Sasikala - he as one who worked hard for removing Jayalalithaa? Or is Sasikala  a plant by him as she was supposed to have been introduced to Jayalalithaa by his friend Chandraleka? Swamy’s silence on Sasikala speaks volumes of his endorsement of her for the post.

What this man is doing with Natarajan?

For Venkaiah Naidu, Sasikala’s selection by MLAs is still an ‘internal matter’.  It is an internal matter of ADMK when she was elected as General Secretary. But once she is set to take up Chief-minister-ship, it is no longer internal matter. As that impacts the entire state, that cannot be ignored as an internal matter or something within permitted law. If the law permits such an elevation of a person, then such law is flawed.

But behind these hands-off impression created by the BJP, what looks obvious is that the BJP is working with an agenda in TN particularly with reference to ADMK. As Sasikala’s elevation is fraught with a possibility of ADMK breaking down sooner than never, the BJP is waiting for that moment or wanting that to happen. This could bring in DMK in to power, and BJP does not seem to be averse to it. Perhaps the acquittal of Maran brothers was part of a grand plan. The plan may be to destroy one party (ADMK) now and if possible the other (DMK) later.  

But would that all end up with giving BJP an edge in TN? Should we undergo a travesty of Dharma now so that someday a party that mouths expletives on Dharma would come to rule us?

Isn’t Dharma something that must be upheld at all times?

Thursday, January 12, 2017

Rainfall 2017 - Level 4 (Daily Garbottam)

Previous articles:-
Rainfall 2017 – Level 3 (Margazhi / Solar Garbottam).

The observation of Garbottam must be done everyday for four months until lunar month of Phalguni is over. For Chennai the observation must continue till the end of June. The idea is that the Garbottam sighted on a day would result in rainfall / becomes the cause for rainfall or lack of it on the 195th day. The 195th day is not calculated in numbers but on the basis of the thithi and Paksha of the day. 

One must note the thithi and paksha of the day of observation. Eg: Observation is on Dwitheeya in the dark half of Margshira. Its resultant rainfall will be on Dwitheeya on the bright half of Jyeshta. That is 6 and a half month from the month of observation. For easy understanding of Tamil people who follow solar calendar, note the Tamil month on the day of observation; note the paksha - waxing or waning moon; note the thithi at the time of Garbottam of the day from the calendar or Panchanga. 

Example: Margazhi, waxing phase, Ekadashi thithi. Suppose there is Garbottam for half and hour and more note it down. The corresponding 195th day is Vaikashi  (6th month) waning phase, ekadashi thithi. 

If noticed in a thithi in the Bright half of moon, the result will take place on the same thithi on the dark half of moon 6 months later.

If noticed in the morning, the resultant rain will be in the evening on that day. If at noon, the rains will be at midnight. 

If winds or clouds are noticed in a direction, the resultant rain will be in the opposite direction on that day. Keeping this in mind one must record not only the features but also the direction and time of the day.

Now the features to be observed:-

Note:- Applicable on day to day basis. The prediction is for the corresponding day later, on the 195th day..

1.      Winds:-
Gentle and agreeable wind = Good rainfall
Cool breeze from North and Northeast = good rainfall.
Heavy winds = rain clouds would gather but be shattered
Dust storm = No rains

2.      Rain
In Margashira, there will be no rains. If it rains heavily, rainfall on the corresponding day would be affected. A gentle rain or drizzle would give good rainfall on the corresponding day after 6 and a half months.

3.      Lightening
Lightening = good rainfall
Rainbow in the morning or evening = good rainfall

4.      Roar of thunder
Low, rumbling roar of thunder = good rainfall
Heavy sounding thunder = rain clouds would shatter away.

5.      Clouds
Sky overcast with huge, bright, dense clouds = good rainfall
Needle shaped clouds or sword shaped clouds = good rainfall
Blood red clouds = good rainfall.

Inference:-

If one any day in the months from  Margashira to Phalguni, all the above 5 factors are present, the quantity of the subsequent rainfall will be 1 Drona. (Drona is equal to 200 phalas. Quantification in today's terms is not known. Perhaps the rainfall on those days can be recorded and cross checked with other days when similar conditions prevailed.)

Reduce the quantity by quarter for the absence of every one factor.

Three-some observation.
1.      Terrestrial
2.      Atmospheric
3.      Planetary.

(I) Terrestrial factors to be observed.
1.      Sweet chirpings of birds.
2.      Animals moving relaxedly and making pleasant sounds
3.      Kids making sweet sounds and playing
4.      Trees with sprouts
5.    Trees grow without diseases.

(II) Atmospheric factors to be observed.
1.      Clouds resembling pearl or silver colour
2.      Clouds in the shape of aquatic animal, huge and dense.
3.      These clouds scorched by bright sun light
4.      Gentle breeze (presence of 3 and 4 together would result in torrential rain on the 195th day)
5.      Sun and the Moon encircled by glossy, bright and thick halo.
6.      Sky filled with bulky clouds or smooth needle like clouds (cirrus), or in the shape of sword.
7.      Clouds appearing in red or blue tint.
8.      Pleasant twilights in morning and evening.
9.      Light rumbling thunder
10.  Rainbow in the lower horizon.
11.  Red glow in the horizon at dawn and sun set. This must be seen only in Margashira and Pushya months. (Solar months also)
12.  Clouds with halos

Month-wise observation

In Margashira (Margazhi):-  

·         red sun in the morning and evening, 
 -    sky in red colour before sunrise and after sunset.
·         clouds surrounded by halos,
·         very cold.

In Pushya (Thai) :-

  • ·         red sun in the morning and evening,
  • ·         clouds surrounded by halos,
  • ·          excessive snowfall.

In Magha I(Maasi): –

·         strong wind,
·         sun and moon must be dimmed by clouds or snowfall at sun rise and sun set,
·         fog, mist, excessive cold


In Phalguna (Panguni) :–

  • ·         rough and violent storms
  • ·       tawny colour of the sun,
  • ·         broken and imperfect halos around the sun and the moon,
  • ·         glossy clouds moving across the sky

The above ensure good 'conception of rainfall'.

In Chaitra and Vaishaka, sky marked by winds, clouds and halos ensure conception of rainfall which will fall 195th day afterwards. 

The following features in the 4 months from Margashira to Phalguni spoil conception of rainfall.
1.      Meteor showers.
2.      Thunderbolt
3.      Dust storm
4.      Appearance of city-like formation of clouds.
5.      Unnatural phenomenon in the atmosphere in colour of sky, clouds etc and at sun rise and sun set.
6.      Rainfall
7.      Sighting of comets
8.      Eclipses
9.      Spots in solar disc (sun spot maxima?)

(III) Planetary factors to be observed in the 4 month period.

Good for conception of rainfall
 - Planets appearing with clear and bright disc at night
-  Planets moving in Northern declination
- Moon and stars must appear white 

Planetary features marring conception of rainfall.

·         Eclipse (spoils rainfall later on the corresponding day)
·         Planetary war (where planets are close together in such a way one planet will be crossing another.) (spoils rainfall for several days in the corresponding period.)

{From last year's experience, these two factors worked in Margazhi Garbottam and not in Daily Garbottam. Anyway these are given to check the validity of these factors.}

Position of Moon during the above 4  month period.

When the above 3-some favourable features of conception are present in a day when Moon is crossing Purvashada, Uttarashada, Purva bhadrapada, Uttarabhadrapada and Rohini, the subsequent rainfall on the 195th day will be abundant.

When the above 3-some favourable features of conception are present in a day when Moon is crossing Arudra, Aslesha, Magha , Swati and Satabhishak, the subsequent rains will go on for many days. On the contrary, if the 3 some factors are spoiled, there will be dryness.

If Moon crosses all the above mentioned stars with 3-some factors being present and marring factors being absent in Margashira - would give rainfall for 8 days later (after 195 days).

In Pushya - for 6 days
In Magha -16 days
In Phalguni – 24 days
In Chaitra – 20 days
In Vaishaka – 3 days.

Margazhi Garbottam 2017 in a nutshell.

Previous articles:-

The just concluded Margazhi Garbottam (Level 3 of prediction) has been given in a nutshell in a table below. In all the dates except the last date, the corresponding rainfall season has adverse planetary combination. It remains to be seen how the adverse planetary combinations affect the rainfall. What is given here is applicable to Chennai.

Day
Date of Garbottam
Observation
Date of Impact
(Fortnight)
Prediction
1
28th  – 29th  Dec 2016
Wind-  Brief
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Moderate  
22nd  June to
5th July 2017
Moderate rains in the middle of the fortnight.
Between  28th and 30th June 2017.
2
29th – 30th Dec, 2016
Wind- Moderate in 2nd half.
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Good.
5th July to
19th July 2017
Good rains in the middle of the fortnight.
Between 10th – 13th July 2017

3
30th - 31st Dec 2016
Wind-  Dry
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Nil
19th July to 2nd  August 2017
Dry weather.
4
31st Dec 2016 - 1st Jan 2017
Wind- Good
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Moderate to Good
2nd August to 16th August 2017
Moderate rains in the 2nd quarter of the fortnight.
Between 5th and 8th August 2017.
5
1st - 2nd Jan 2017
Wind- Occasional hot wind.
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Less.
16th August to 30th August 2017
Dry weather.

6
2nd - 3rd Jan, 2017
Wind-Nil.
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Nil
30th August to 13th September 2017.
Dry weather.
7
3rd - 4th Jan, 2017
Wind- Occasional
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds-Good
13th September to 26th September 2017.
Good rains in the 2nd quarter of the fortnight.

Between 18th and 21st Sep 2017.
8
4th – 5th Jan, 2017
Wind- Occasional
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Moderate to Good.
27th September to 10th October 2017.
Moderate rainfall in the 2nd quarter of the fortnight.
Between 29th  Sep and 2nd October 2017
9
5th - 6th Jan, 2017
Wind- Good
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Good
11th October to 23rd October 2017.
Good rainfall in the middle of the fortnight.
Between 14th and 18th October 2017.
10
6th - 7th Jan, 2017
Wind- Good.
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Good.
24th October to 6th November 2017.
Rainfall in the 1st week of November.
11
7th - 8th Jan, 2017
Wind- Nil
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Nil

7th November to 19th November 2017.
Dry weather.
12
8th - 9th Jan, 2017
Wind- Nil
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Nil.
19th November to 2nd December 2017.
Dry conditions.
13
9th - 10th Jan, 2017
Wind- Occasional
Drizzles- Nil
Lightening- Nil
Thunder-Nil
Clouds- Good.
2nd December to 15th December 2017.
Good rains in the middle of the fortnight.
Between 6th and 10th December 2017.

Given below is the chart of major rainfall support days for the entire country in 2017. This is based on Mercury – Venus closeness. However these dates also have many adverse planetary combinations that spoil rainfall. Of the 4 periods in the chart the last one is almost free of adverse planetary combinations thereby ensuring good rainfall in that period.

1
March 7 to March 25
2
April 20 to June 21
3
August 27 to October 8
4
December 13 to January 9



The next is Level 4 which is about observing Garbottam on a daily basis and relate it to the 195th day. 

The details of how to see daily Garbottam will be posted soon.