Wednesday, June 8, 2016

Rainfall check- 3 (Late arrival of monsoon due to malefics in opposition)

New Update entered on 25th  June 2016 at the end of the article

Read Rainfall check - part 1  and Rainfall check - part 2

The South west Monsoon (SWM) had made a delayed arrival and at last the IMD had issued a statement of arrival of SWM on / around 9th June 2016. Though independent weather watchers like Skymet kept saying that the SWM had arrived on time by the end of May itself, IMD did not consider the rainfall at those times as part of Monsoon activity but only as a localised reaction to heat conditions / convection. This is in tune with the astrological features that we have been following for 6 months now.

Before going into the details, let me repeat the basic astrological / planetary features.

·         Closeness of Mercury and Venus is essential for plentiful rainfall.

·         Conjunction of Mercury, Venus and Sun in a sign bring plentiful rainfall during monsoon season.

·         Venus in front of Mercury and Sun causes abundant rainfall.

·         Mercury in front of Venus and Sun causes storms

·         Whenever these conditions prevail in May / June, arrival of SWM is on time and in good measures. Particularly on the dates that one of them (among the above mentioned 3 planets) overtakes another, there will be a trigger and the date of arrival of SWM can be deduced from that.

·         If Rahu or Ketu also joins them and one of these planets joins and crosses Rahu or Ketu, the trigger to / onset of monsoon happens. This year Rahu and Ketu do not join them but shortly Rahu is going to be overtaken by Jupiter in the month of June 2016 itself. We will see that detail later.

·         On the dates that Venus or Mercury moves to the next sign, there will be a trigger to onset / good rains.

·         When Mercury or Venus starts or ends combustion there will be copious rains. When Mercury begins or ends combustion during the pre-monsoon period, there will be thunderstorms or hail storms. During the time of onset, this will mark the date of onset of monsoon.
This year, the first pre-monsoon showers took place between 4th and 6th April 2016 when Mercury ended combustion.(Read Rainfall check part 1)

This year when Venus overtook Mercury, cyclone Roanu was formed. When Venus went past Mercury and entered the next sign, Taurus, cyclone Roanu made landfall and gave copious rains. (Read Rainfall check part 2)

By then Venus and Sun in Taurus had come into direct opposition to malefics, namely Saturn and Mars in Scorpio. By 21st May, the rainfall scenario vanished when this opposition started.
The following is reproduced from Part 2 of Rainfall check.

Checking the observation made in the 2nd part of Rainfall check:

(1) Landslides did happen in Srilanka at the time cyclone Roanu struck that country. (Read here).
 Landslides happened on 17th - 18th May when Moon entered Libra and within the earthquake period of Trayodashi (13th day of the lunar phase. Earthquakes and landslides generally take place, between the 12th day and the 6th day of the moon’s phase in conjunction or opposition to the Sun when Mars and Saturn are positioned in or aspecting Aries or Taurus). As the impacted sign was Taurus, which signifies Southern direction, we deduce that Srilanka in the south suffered the landslides.

(2) On 7th June, that is the day this article is being written, Venus is overtaking Sun in Taurus (fixed sign) which will trigger rainfall. At this juncture it comes to be known from the IMD that SWM is going to set in.

The IMD expects the onset by 9th June though it expects it to be moderate initially.
Looking at the astrological features,

By 7th June, Venus crosses the Sun but both continue to be hover around each other for the next 2 days. On the night of 9th June, Venus is in deep conjunction with the Sun at 25 degrees while Moon also will be at 25 degrees in its own sign of Cancer which is a watery sign. Mercury enters Taurus on the very same and is in exact opposition to Mars.

In this combination there are 6 factors favouring spurt in rainfall / onset of monsoon.

(1) Venus in deep conjunction with Sun and overtaking it.

(2) Venus in front of Sun and Mercury in the same sign.

(3) Mercury entering a sign.

(4) Saturn and Mars in a watery sign while Mercury and Venus join a fixed sign (Taurus is a fixed sign). This feature thwarts the effect of anavrishti yoga by malefics in opposition.

(5) Under the above combinations, Moon in transit in watery sign of Cancer and in the same degree as Venus.

(6) Mercury, Venus and Jupiter, the 3 planets crucial for rainfall are in northern declination.

Though the closeness of Mercury and Venus had ended by 7th June, the above 6 features are robust enough to ensure that monsoon arrives with good rainfall.

On 13th June Venus enters Gemini while Mars moves away from opposing sign and enters Libra in retrogression. Therefore by 13th June Monsoon must have set in very well in the sub continent.

Intervening period of opposition by malefics.

Before going to the subsequent dates of importance, there are 2 things to discuss based on the conditions that prevailed in the period between 21st May when cyclone Roanu subsided and 7th June when Venus crossed Sun.

(1) In this intervening period most parts of India once again reeled under heat wave / hot temperatures.

(2) In contrast heavy rains occurred in European countries such as France and Germany causing rare and severe flood havoc.

Same planetary conditions were there for these two different climatic features.
Earlier I wrote the following in the Part 2 of rainfall check

As stated above, on the dates of 22nd, 23rd and 24th  when Mars came into direct opposition to Venus, heat conditions prevailed in India in general and in Chennai / Tamilnadu in particular.

On the other days in this intervening period (between 21st May and 7th June), thunder showers occurred in some parts. In Chennai and Tamilnadu in particular, the thunder shower formation was noticed but it was dissipated on most occasions. During the same period, Kerala also witnessed thundershowers often and this was considered as pre-monsoon showers and not monsoon showers by the IMD. These showers were attributed to local heat convection factors and were not related to Monsoon causes. This is vital information on the impact of opposing malefic planets.

Sun was ahead during this period with Venus behind. Though Mercury and Venus were within the degrees of closeness, the opposition by malefics, thwarted cloud formation and rainfall.

Imagine the earth with 2 sets of planets 180 apart positioned on either side of the globe. On one side Venus- Mercury combination induces rain-cloud formation in the atmosphere of earth.

This is being disturbed by the influence of Mars and Saturn exactly from the other side of the globe.
Moreover the 2 fiery planets namely, Sun and Mars are in direct opposition generating heat related features.

These 2 conditions (Mercury – Venus closeness and Sun – Mars opposition) led to sporadic formation of thunder clouds mostly in South India. The location as South is deduced from the sign Taurus which signifies south. In this period the long range SWM features could not cobble up together to help in the onset of SWM.

Only by 7th June, this combination got disturbed. On this date Venus crossed Sun and Mercury crossed over to the next sign (Taurus) – both features capable of stable rainfall.

Historic rains in France and Germany.

Under the same combinations, which thwarted rainfall in South India, heavy rains lashed West European countries such as France and Germany. Particularly by 2nd June, heavy rains caused floods from Paris to Bavaria.  

Inundated streets in Simbach am Inn, southern Germany, on Thursday.

The report says, “Meteorologists attribute the recent deluge to a dip in the jet stream that has trapped low-pressure air over much of France and Germany, where the air is then warmed by the sun. This occurrence often leads to heat waves, and to thunderstorms as the hot air rises.”

So what we witnessed in the occasional thunder showers in Kerala and parts of Tamilnadu during the same period has also been identified as the cause of the floods in Europe.

But why such phenomenal floods in Europe alone?

Looking at the planetary combinations on the  2nd June and just before that, there is a learning.

There was a close run between Venus and Sun at that time within 1 degree with other  while the heat wave conditions remained the same at that time. But these two were coming in direct opposition to Saturn in Jyeshta. Jyeshta signifies Saka and Western Mleccha countries according the “Division of the Globe” by Varahamihira (Brihad Samhita 14- 21).

One of the Ativrishti yoga says that when Saturn, Mars or Rahu are in watery signs, the presence of Venus and Mercury in a fixed sign brings plentiful rainfall. This rule on signs is fulfilled here. And Saturn signifying Mleccha countries to the west of Bharat, coming in exact opposition to Venus and Sun caused heat-induced heavy rainfall in those countries.

In India too, there was rainfall in Kerala at that time, but caused by local heat related factors. This is a great learning from the present situation as we may not see the same combination for the next 30 years. In the year 2045, the same combination arises but it  could impact North west India and North west and west part of Peninsular India at that time, and not Europe.

Rainfall scenario in June  

As explained above, there are 6 strong features present on 9th June favouring the arrival of SWM.
The next date is 13th June when Venus enters Gemini. There will be a trigger / spurt in rainfall on this date particularly favouring western part of India, the reason being Gemini signifies western direction.
On 21st June Sun enters Arudra which decides the nature of rainfall for the coming season. It was already written by me on December 25th 2015, how this Arudra Pravesha will impact the rainfall. 

Moon will be in Purvashada at that time, indicating good rainfall for the entire season.

Even before that time, from 18th onwards, Jupiter is nearing Rahu within 1 degree. As both these are slow moving planets, this deep conjunction goes on till 30th June when Jupiter will be 1 degree forward to Rahu. This indicates a spurt in rainfall. This cross-over happens in Purva Phalguni.

Purva Phalguni signifies, (as per Varahamihira) “South eastern division consisting of the countries of Kosala, Kalinga, Vanga, Upavanga, Jatharanga, SUlika, Vidarbas, Andhra, Cedi, Urdhvakantha” and countries in the Vindhya region and Kishkindha.

On 25th June, Mercury enters combustion with Sun at a distance of 14 degrees. There will be a spurt in rain fall on / around that date. Mercury will be in Mrigashirisha which signifies Central India including the regions where river saraswathi once flowed.

Thereafter from 7th July to 12th September, the closeness of Mercury and Venus once again begins. SWM will be in full swing during that time even with a scope for causing floods in North India.  

(Will continue to monitor and post updates for July).

UPDATE on 20th June 2016.

The SWM which was slow until now is picking up from 18th onwards. The planetary combination indicated above on Jupiter coming within 1 degree of Rahu coincides with this. From 18th onwards many parts of Tamilnadu started receiving sporadic rainfall. Many parts of Central and North India are likely to receive rainfall in the coming days as per IMD report reproduced below.

The places mentioned in this bulletin tally with the places mentioned in our analysis of Jupiter in Purva Phalguni

From the above article those places are:-
Even before that time, from 18th onwards, Jupiter is nearing Rahu within 1 degree. As both these are slow moving planets, this deep conjunction goes on till 30th June when Jupiter will be 1 degree forward to Rahu. This indicates a spurt in rainfall. This cross-over happens in Purva Phalguni.

Purva Phalguni signifies, (as per Varahamihira) “South eastern division consisting of the countries of Kosala, Kalinga, Vanga, Upavanga, Jatharanga, SUlika, Vidarbas, Andhra, Cedi, Urdhvakantha” and countries in the Vindhya region and Kishkindha.

The SWM has made its entry today into Maharashtra / Mumbai as per IMD Mumbai.

The report:-

Onset of monsoons declared over Mumbai

Richa Pinto| TNN | Jun 20, 2016, 11.24 AM IST

Mumbai: Bringing in some cheer for Mumbaikars the IMD Mumbai on Monday declared the onset of south west monsoons 2016 for the city.

Officials from the weather bureau have said that the monsoon line now passes through remaining parts of central Arabian Sea, Dahanu, malegaon, jabalpur and has covered remaing parts of Vidarbha and marathwada and most parts of madhya maharashtra.

The rainfall recorded in the last 24 hours (8.30am-8.30am) by IMD Colaba observatory has been 41.6 mm and by the Santa Cruz observatory 33.4 mm.

The departure so far in case of Colaba is -231.4 mm and in case of Santacruz is -187.7 mm. The normal date for onset of monsoons over Mumbai is June 10. Meanwhile the IMD has forecast that intermittent rain/ thunder showers is likely to occur in city and suburbs in the coming 24 hours.

(End of report)

The renewed SWM rainfall thus coincides with Jupiter crossing Rahu. This period lasts till 30th June.

We must also note that the current period of absence of closeness between Mercury and Venus has resulted in tardy rainfall.

This will change once closeness begins on 7th July.

In the coming days we have to watch 25th June for a spurt in rainfall. This will benefit Central India and the regions where Saraswathy once flowed (NW India).

UPDATE on 25-06-2016.

Mercury entered combustion around 3 AM on the early hours of 25th June. The combustion starts when Mercury is at a distance of 14 degrees from the Sun. At the time of entry or exit from combustion there will be heavy rains. In this season the first rains occurred between 4th and 6th April when Mercury ended combustion. The details were written in Part 1 of the Rainfall check. A similar phenomenon happening now must ensure a spurt in rainfall.

The details of this combustion tied up with rainfall was written in the article above. And the sudden spurt did happen benefiting western parts of Vindhyas / central India where Mumbai is located.

Already the current season is witnessing deep conjunction of Jupiter and Rahu which will result in rainfall between 19th to 30th June (written above). At the time Mercury began combustion at 3 AM on the morning of 25th June, Jupiter and Rahu were in exact degrees. This would and did result in heavy rains. in many parts of western part of Central India. 

Jupiter - Rahu conjunction will benefit Kishkindha (Western Karnataka) and Vindhays. 

(From IMD tweet posted at 5 PM on 25th June 2016)
Click the pic to see details 

Presently Jupiter is in transiting Purva Phalguni star (Pooram). This combination (Jupiter in Purva phalguni) causes plentiful rainfall as per Sapta Nadi chakra. To see this chakra check this article of mine in this link.  

Times are getting fruitful for rainfall with 4 features as of today.

(1) Jupiter in deep conjunction with Rahu and within 1 degree from Rahu till 30th June.

(2) Jupiter in Purva Phalguni ensuring plentiful rainfall. This is known as Jala nadi. Jupiter will be in Purva Phalguni till 24th July.

(3) Mercury begins combustion on 25th June and continues to move near Sun. 
The combustion  ends on July 18th which falls within the Jala nadi period of Jupiter.

(4) It is within this period the closeness between Mercury and Venus begins on 7th July which will bring very good rainfall. This period will last till 12th September. 

So all these features overlapping in the same period will ensure very good rains from SW monsoon. There are more planetary combinations happening in this period which I will write in Part 4 of this series.

Meanwhile Chennai is also experiencing cloudy weather for the 2nd full day with no rains. This is a very good Garbottam feature for rains at 6 and a half months later. This means there will be rains till the end of December in Chennai with a spurt in rainfall after Christmas. A detailed analysis of this will be posted soon.

But as of now, I am happy that traditional knowledge of rainfall astrology is indeed proving its worth.  

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