The Garbottam observation is becoming interesting as
far as I am concerned. We had a 13 day Garbottam based on solar movement
between 29th December 2015 and 11th January 2016 and a
day-to-day observation of Garbottam. The former represents a fortnight and the
later a single day that comes after 195 days. What we interpret from the solar
Garbottam for a fortnight must match with the daily prediction as the days
progress. Today’s observation would have an impact from the evening of 15th
August till 16th August. The impact period for a fortnight for the 5th
day of Garbottam (Solar) also starts on these days in August.
The 5th
day of Garbottam had practically no positive Garbottam features but stood
out on 2 counts, (1) hot air at day time with hot winds (not gentle) blowing around
noon while the night time air was still. The clouds seemed to have vaporised
but looked to be present in the horizon all around. (2) Moon was in exact conjunction
with malefic Mars on this date (2nd and 3rd January
2016). Conjunction of moon with a malefic is supposed to give storms or thunder
showers. The ferocity of the wind will be the basic feature of this
combination.
Now we are passing through the days that correspond
to the fortnight for this 5th day Garbottam. Any fine tuning of the
5th day Garbottam can happen based on the Garbottam seen from today
onwards for a fortnight.
Such being the importance of this day, I was
thrilled to notice cloud formation since yesterday (Moola star – 05-02-2016) and
clouds crossing the sun yesterday (Moola star) in wonderful formations.
(05-02-2016 - Around Noon – in Mula)
5-02-2016 – 2 PM (Mula)
Reddish sun set on 05-02-2016 (in Poorada)
By the time Pooradam began, the climate changed
further. There were beautiful huge greyish clouds seen since dawn. But by 8 AM,
there was a pale whitish cover of cloud everywhere, not the kind of cumulous
and aquatic ones.
06-02-2016 – 8 AM – Poorada star
The cloud cover was like a sheet as the day progressed. At 10 AM the sky looked as below.
06-02-2016 – 10 AM cloud everywhere.
The Sun was a bright disc peeping through the clouds.
06-02-2016 – Noon. Solar disc seen through the cloud
clover.
As day progressed the Sun can be seen with a huge halo around it. Sun and moon with a halo is a good feature of Garbottam to happen in the month of Thai.
In the picture below, there is cloud everywhere. Sun is actually hidden behind the clouds.
06-02-2016 – 1-30 PM – Sun with a halo seen through
the cloud cover.
The sun with the clouds is a different looking one
for the first time I started observing since 29th December 2015. The
meteorological combinations making these appearances are different today.
The corresponding 195th day is 15th
and 16th August. Add to it 14th August also as the
formation had its beginning since yesterday.
These dates coinciding with the dates of the new fortnight
for the 5th day of Garbottam, begins with all the planets in front
of the Sun which is a very good Rainfall yoga. There is no marring presence of
planets in stars at that time as per Sapta
Nadi Chakra. The closeness between Venus and Mercury continues. But Mercury
will be in front of Venus giving rise to a wind factor. Rahu conjuncts with Venus
on that date (16th August). These features ensure good rainfall at
that time. That is why I wrote on the 5th Garbottam day that SW
Monsoon will proceed well at that time.
But the Garbottam in my place, though looked
different and deficient on the 5th day of Garbottam (2nd
and 3rd January 2016), seems to indicate a different climatic condition
when observed today and yesterday for
its 195th day impact on 15th and 16th of
August.
To check what is happening, why there is a sudden
surge of clouds and why the sun looks different
by radiating what we call “Oomai veyil” (ஊமை வெய்யில்) with a mild breeze, I checked the weather map of
today. It shows some quick formation of clouds moving from south west to North
east and going as far as China.
METEOSAT 7
Thermal infrared image of METEOSAT 7
taken from a geostationary orbit about 36,000 km above the equator. The images
are taken on a half-hourly basis. The temperature is interpreted by grayscale
values. Cold objects are white and hot surfaces appear black. High clouds as
thin cirrus or deep convection, for example towering thunderstorm cells, appear
bright white. Mid- or low level clouds, as well as fog and mist are 'grayish'.
So are cold land surfaces and most ocean areas. As the sun is heating the
ground, the surface will appear increasingly dark.
The 'beauty' of thermal infrared images is that they provide information on
cloud cover and the temperature of air masses even during night-time, while
visible satellite imagery is restricted to daylight hours.
However, the best method to interpret satellite images is to view visible and
infrared imagery together.
UTC = Coordinated Universal Time
12 UTC = 13 BST (British Summer Time)
Courtesy of: Eumetsat
Chennai, some parts of Tamilnadu including the
coastal areas, UP, Bihar and Nepal are on the path of this cloud surge. This
formation is the result of both hot and cold factors. This formation happening
in Pooradam (Purvashada) day known for rainfall seeding and rainfall occurring phenomena, can not be ignored.
We have to watch keenly the cloud formation in the coming
days, for, the impact days are related to the 5th day of Garbottam
when Mars and moon were in conjunction. The significantly noticeable hot air
conditions on that day with bluish grey and fused formation of clouds all around
the horizon on that day point to a stormy condition or thunder bolts or thunder showers (some wind circulation aspect will be there)
The
impact days coming just prior to Full Moon in Avani (Avani Avittam) are a traditionally
held days of rainfall. The 11th verse of Paripadal gives the
description of this day (just before Avani Avittam / Full Moon in Avani) as the
day when rainfall started as per traditional astrological rules.
But the movement of clouds today makes me perplexed
as to its direction. The movement is from SW to NE. It means the movement of
clouds or rainfall on the impact day will be from NE to SW. That means the
rainfall will be from the Bay of Bengal. I have no idea of clouds / cyclones or
currents coming from the Bay in the month of August. But today’s and yesterday’s
Garbottam is different. I am curiously waiting to see what the impact days are
going to reveal.
2 comments:
Interesting read once again Maam. You are right it is going to be very difficult to expect the rains to come from the NE during the month of August. During the Southwest Monsoon period almost all rain bearing layers of winds will be Westerly. To be honest this is an interesting experiment which may not lead to immediate results but will possibly show us some understanding on how the old texts were written and what are we supposed to watch out for.
The direction of the clouds is confusing for prediction, but its presence on the Bay (for Chennai) may mean some Depression in the Bay. When I searched for Bay Depression in the month of August, I happened to see 4 such Depressions.
(1) 1991, August 21 to 26th, Depression BOB 04, originated south west of Balasore and land fall in Orissa. The year was "Drona Megha" - associated with floods.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_North_Indian_Ocean_cyclone_season
(2) 1999, August 6th to 9th, Depression BOB 04, Same as above and entered Orissa. Year was "Kaala megha", known for rains from storms.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_North_Indian_Ocean_cyclone_season
(3) 2000, August 23 and 24th, Depression BOB 02, developed near Odisha but caused havoc in Andhra Pradesh. Year was "Drona Megha" associated with floods.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2000_North_Indian_Ocean_cyclone_season
(4) 2013, August 20-23rd, Land Depression 01, crossed West Bengal. Year was "Tamo Megha" showing good rains.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_North_Indian_Ocean_cyclone_season
None of them crossed near Chennai or TN, but could have had some impact on coastal TN to a some extent.
What we are observing for 3 days now, starting from 5th, 6th and today, the 7th is overcast sky, dark clouds hiding the sun, mild breeze ( blowing from east and NE). Yesterday, (6th) the cloud cover was different from other days. On 5th and 7th (today) clouds in aquatic forms are seen.
The corresponding 5th day Garbottam was calm and cloudless but with hot winds and bluish grey clouds fused around the horizon. Plus Mars - Moon conjunction was there - in a airy sign (Libra). These features are likely to get less rains for Chennai but more rains elsewhere from storms.
The observation dates for the impact period happening now (5th, 6th and 7th Feb) are showing some rains. One feature derived from the 5th day Garbottam is that formation of a storm or a Depression may be there somewhere away from Chennai in the Bay or rains may just be accompanied with thunder bolts. Moon's conjunction with a malefic would also mean thunder. The impact period is AvaNi when there must be thunderbolts even it does not rain more. 24th August is "AvaNi Muzhakkam" day when rolling sounds of the thunder, if heard would indicate that the upcoming rainy season will be good.
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