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This blog is posted at a time Southern India is
receiving good rains and Chennai at the verge of fear of a repeat of NEM 2015. The
SWM season was good for Chennai in particular, receiving rains from Kaalamegha.
The current year being Kaalamegha and the Meghadhipati being Mercury, sudden
formation of dark thunderclouds happened on many days during the day-time
giving some fleeting moments of sudden rains. In the NEM season, the following are
the rainfall support features.
Rainfall-support features:
1. Venus in the eastern sky
before dawn transiting the stars Magha, Purva phalguni, Uttra Phalguni, Hasta
and Chitra between September
15th and November 8th. The following was written
on Sep 1st (here)
2. Combustion of Mercury for a prolonged period
between 22nd
September and 31st October. The following was written on Sep
1st.
The next combustion dates are between 6th December and 18th
December, 2017. This period will be wet while the start and end dates
would see heavy rainfall.
3. Combustion of Venus between 6th December 2017 and
10 February 2018. Like Mercury, when Venus enters combustion, there will
be heavy rains on that date and rainfall would continue during the combustion
period. If the combustion period falls in winter season, there would fog or
snow or dip in temperature depending on the place. There are enough indications
including this feature for colder winter and snowfall in high latitudes in 2017-18.
4. Venus – Jupiter conjunction between 3rd November and 26th
November. This ensures good rainfall.
5. Mars and Saturn in alternate signs (7th
and 9th) from the moon there will be heavy rainfall. On 1st and 2nd
December, this combination occurs. Again from 16th December onwards,
Mars, Saturn and Sun are going to be in alternate signs. This feature was found
during floods in the past.
6. Sun in Vayu Nadi between 23rd October and 6th
November. This causes rainfall combined with winds.
7. Mercury- Venus closeness begins on 13th December and
lasts till 9th January 2018. This is a strong rainfall supportive
feature.
Rainfall spoiling features:
1. Mars in Dahana Nadi between 19th November and 10th
December. This would cause dry weather.
2. Saturn in front of all planets until 6th December.
Inference:
Taking the last feature first, Saturn in front of
all planets would cause dry weather. Similarly Mars in front of all planets
would cause dry weather. The near drought conditions since August 2016 till July this year could be
attributed to Mars moving in front of all the planets. This year Saturn was in
the lead but it was not a bad spoiler of rains like Mars was. Reasons could be
that Mars (fiery planet) in the front is more damaging than Saturn in the
front. Second, there were rainfall support features this year but they were almost
absent last year when Mars was in the forefront. So a combined effect seems to play
a role in bringing rainfall.
This season (NEM) Venus in the east in the 5 stars
had turned to be a first rate supporter of rainfall. Till now I was of the opinion that Mercury- Venus
closeness was a pre-condition for good rainfall. Though that works unmistakably
in giving rainfall, Venus’s transit in those 5 stars proved to be a more
effective feature for rainfall even in the absence of Venus- Mercury closeness.
This feature is anyway needed to be
watched in upcoming years, as a reversal of the direction (in
west) in the same stars would cause drought!
November 2017
In November Venus Jupiter combination is a major
contributor for rainfall (between 3rd and 26th November),
but Mars is likely to play spoilsport almost during the same time when it
transits Dahana Nadi between 19th Nov and 10th Dec.
Looking at the record of Solar / Margazhi Garbottam
observed in Dec 2016 – Jan 2017, (here),
dry weather is indicated after 8th November and revival from
December in tune with beginning of Mercury – Venus closeness. The relevant part
of the chart is shown below. The last 2 columns indicate rainfall realisation
periods.
December 2017:
December looks like a clean sweep for Mercury- Venus
closeness on the one hand while Saturn and Mars transit alternate signs could do
a supportive role. Yet another support comes from Venus entering combustion. There
is only one spoiler with Mars transiting Dahana nadi but that ends on 10th
December. Thereafter, Mercury- Venus closeness begins. So December seems to be wetter
than November.
Now the big question – will Chennai see a repeat of 2015?
Till 8th November there will be rains due
to the transit of Venus. This would
continue due to conjunction of Venus with Jupiter till 26th
November. But if Mars plays a spoilsport
in Dahana nadi (between 19th Nov and 10th Dec), there
will be a respite from rainfall. Again rainfall starts from 13th
December and continues. The gap of nearly 20 days (Mars in Dahana nadi) can go
a long way in averting a disastrous flood for Chennai even if rainfall picks up
after 13th December. So another period to test an astrological
feature (Mars in Dahana nadi) in the coming days!
However with 3 strong rainfall support features happening
in December with no spoilers around, I am afraid we may have to be well prepared
for woeful times. (1) Mercury- Venus closeness, (2) both Mercury and Venus entering
combustion and (3) importantly Saturn, Sun and Mars coming in alternating signs
are all plentiful rainfall features with the last one found to be present
during floods in the past.
Split-up details can be found in the table below:
1
|
October
31
|
Mercury
comes out of combustion.
|
Spurt
in rainfall in South West India / SW Tamilnadu.
|
2
|
November
3
|
Venus
enters next sign to join Jupiter.
Conjunction
of Venus- Jupiter begins.
|
Spurt
in rainfall in South India.
|
3
|
Till
November 8
|
Venus
in Chitra
|
Rainfall
in South India.
|
4
|
November
13, 14
|
Venus
crosses Jupiter.
|
Some meteorological event in the South
(Bay).
|
5
|
November
19
|
Mars
enters Chitra (Dahana Nadi)
|
Reduction
in rainfall in S.India.
|
6
|
November
26
|
Venus
enters next sign
|
Spurt
in rainfall in S.India.
|
7
|
December
3
|
Mercury
begins retrogression.
Saturn
and Mars in alternate signs with Moon
in trinal signs to them.
|
Some meteorological event in South
(Bay) Rainfall.
|
8
|
December
6
|
Mercury
begins combustion.
Venus
begins combustion.
|
Spurt
in rainfall as both these planets begin combustion at the same time.
Rainfall
in SW Tamilnadu, South India.
|
9
|
December
10
|
Mars
comes out of Dahana Nadi
|
Dry
weather ends.
|
10
|
December
13
|
Mercury-
Venus closeness begins
|
Some meteorological event. North part
of east coast will get rains.
|
11
|
December
15
|
Venus
crosses Mercury in forward motion.
|
Spurt
in rainfall in South India / TN.
|
12
|
December
16
|
Sun
enters next sign to join with Saturn.
Saturn,
Sun and Mars in alternate signs. Continues till season ends.
|
Heavy
rainfall period in east coast, south west Tamilnadu.
|
13
|
December
18
|
Mercury
comes out of combustion
|
Heavy
rainfall in North and SW TN/ SW India.
|
14
|
December
28, 29, 30
|
Saturn,
Sun and Mars in alternate signs with Moon in trinal signs.
|
Heavy
rainfall in SW Tamilnadu.
|
