BBC news and NASA are doing rounds fueling the fear of
Chennaiites that their nightmare is not yet over. Let me also give my piece of
mind with whatever astrology I know – and I assure you, readers, that I won’t
terrify you. The confidence I got from the current planetary situation made me
write this blog that is aimed at reducing the fear in the minds of Chennaiites.
Readers may recall my previous blog Calamitous
rains in Chennai - சென்னையில் ஊழி. in which I gave a link to one
of my articles on Rainfall astrology. That
link contains an important article on the nature of rainfall every year and
also the ativrishti and anavrishti
rainfall yogas on the combination of planets that make plentiful rains or
deficient rains.
The current year of Manmatha varusham is
Varuna Megha year that is conducive for plentiful
rains from the seas. Among the Nava nayakas, Moon is
the Meghathipathi thereby lending support to Varuna megha. These
combinations must ensure good rains for India. But they didn’t, during the
south west monsoon. This makes it mandatory for us to look at each and every
planet involved in ativrishti and anavrishti yogas and their movement day by day
( like how meteorologists do on a daily basis) to assess when it will rain and
how much it will rain.
The most common approach to this
assessment by our ancients is to check the Budha-
Shukra sameepyam. This year at the
time of breaking of the monsoon in June, these two planets (Mercury and Venus)
were farther apart, with other planets particularly the hot planets like Sun
and Mars coming in between them. But Venus joined Jupiter in Kataka (watery sign) for
nearly a month in June with no planet in between (Check ativrishti yoga) . This
ensured good rains from South west monsoon. (we have to see whether these combination
occur in the rainy season, while checking these planets. Only where there is a rainy season, these combinations will give rains.)
Then the closeness
between Mercury and Venus started from 24th July to 16th
August. Mercury went past the Sun to be closer to Venus while Venus
continued to be close to Jupiter. But this combination (latter one) happened in
the fiery sign of Leo. This restricted the rains.
The next period of closeness started on October 4th
and ended on November 17th. This period is applicable only to
North east monsoon that will bring rains to
Tamilnadu. This period was pretty wet.
The next closeness
comes in between January 15th to March 24th.
Where it is rainy season (in any part of the globe) it will rain plentiful
then. Otherwise this closeness causes severe winter conditions. By this we can say that
winter (2015-16) will be severe in northern latitudes.
In this scenario where
does the heaviest rains of the century that lashed Chennai in the last week of
November and the first week of December fit in?
This is a crucial lesson for us to look
for other less popular ativrishti yogas.
One of the ativrishti yogas I have
listed down in my
article on rainfall prediction is that “Sun, Mars
and Saturn must be transiting alternate signs. When moon is transiting at 150
or 180 or 270 degrees from them there will be heavy rains for 2 days before and
after those degrees.”
On November 17th Budha – Shukra Sameepyam ended, but by then Sun entered Scorpio
to join with Saturn (Karthigai month). From 17th November onwards, the above combination of
ativrishti was satisfied with Sun and Saturn in one sign (Scorpio) and Mars in
an alternate sign (Virgo) from them. When Moon transits in 5th, 7th
and 9th signs from them, it will result in plentiful rains. (the
signs are translated from the degrees mentioned in the ativrishti yoga).
On 21st November, Moon
entered Pisces which is the 5th sign (150 degrees) from Sun – Saturn
combination and 7th sign (180 degrees) from Mars in the alternate
sign of Virgo. Throughout the duration of Moon’s stay in Pisces ( 21st,
22nd and 23rd mid day) it must have rained plentifully.
(I don’t have the records of the rainy days at that time. Interested ones can cross
check). Moon as Meghathipathi must be more vigorous in giving rains.
Then when Moon was transiting Taurus, it
was on the 7th sign (180 degrees) from Sun- Saturn combination and 9th
sign from Mars (270 degrees). Moon entered Taurus on 25th November and
continued to be there till 27th evening. It must have rained well
then also.
Then when Moon
entered Kataka (cancer sign) it was on the 9th sign (270
degrees) from Sun- Saturn combination. Cancer being its own Rasi and a watery
sign, Moon can be expected to give more rains during its stay in cancer. Moon entered Cancer on 29th
November and continued to be there past midnight December 1st when
Chennai reached its saturation point and exploded into floods. The Century’s highest rainfall occurred during this time. As
per the ativrishti yoga of this type, it will also rain for 2 days before and
after these degrees.
The already wet conditions
aided by Budha- Shukra sameepyam from October to mid November coupled with this
rare combination of ativrishti in the period immediately succeeding the
sameepyam resulted in reservoirs of Chennai exceeding their limits thereby
causing unprecedented floods. The haphazard growth of habitation in water ways and
connecting routes which roughly account for nearly 40% of the population of
Chennai wrecked havoc on the lives of those people.
Now will the rains continue to lash in
the coming days?
When we look at the combination of this particular
ativrishti yoga, it will rain until this combination lasts in alternate signs.
The early bird to move out is the Sun which will leave Saturn in Scorpio on 16th December.
So by all means we can expect rains until then.
However there is a rider in the form of Moon (in that
ativrishti yoga). Moon must be in 5th, 7th and 9th
signs from one of them. The earliest can be when Moon
is in Capricorn which occurs on December 14th. On that day and 2 days after that, Moon will
be in the 5th sign from Mars while Sun and Saturn would continue to
be in Scorpio. By 16th Sun leaves Saturn and therefore the rains, if they materialize on 14th will lose
power after 16th Dec.
But before that 2 things must also be
taken into account.
One is that Mercury
has just left Scorpio yesterday (6th December) and goes ahead of all
these planets. Mercury
ahead of these planets will blow away the rain clouds by winds as per
anavrishti yoga. Therefore there are chances that the rain clouds that
are threatening us in Chennai and Tamilnadu in general may be blown away in the
coming days, starting from yesterday.
The second point we must bear in mind in
another common ativrishti yoga involving Moon. As per that (refer my article on
ativrishti yoga) “ If it rains when the moon is
within 8 to 15 degrees from the sun after conjunction (New Moon) or opposition
(Full moon), then it will rain for a month till moon reaches the same position
again. (In other words if it rains starting form the last 15 ghatis of Pratipat
/ Pradhamai / first thithi until the first 15 ghatis of Dwitheeya / 2ndthithi,
there will be rains for the 2 pakshas or the full lunar month.)”
It rained on the day on pratipat and
Dwitheeya after the recent Full moon (Karthigai Deepam). Therefore the whole
month until Moon reaches the same degrees, it must rain. Per this, it must rain till next Full Moon
(December 24th).
We have to see how this will be
offset by forward moving Mercury and Sun leaving Saturn on 16th
December.
As such, I don’t foresee severe rains
like what we saw on December 1st when Moon was in Kataka, the 9th
sign from Sun- Saturn. But any further rainfall would lead the city’s
reservoirs into spate. However the main ativrishti
yoaga (of Sun, Saturn and Mars in
alternate signs) becoming weak by 16th December, I expect a weak rainfall after that.
I have observed forward moving Mercury
to usher in dry winds in the past. I believe that such a tendency would continue
now also. But the current ativrishti
yoga (involving Sun, Saturn and Mars) being rare in the rainy season, we must
watch how this gets restricted by Mercury.
The current scenario gives us another insight that Saturn in signs of rainy season with Sun
joining it must be watched.
Next year also in the month of Karthigai,
Sun joins Saturn in Scorpio while Mars will be in the alternate sign of
Capricorn. Venus will be forward to Mercury (ativirshiti) then. While Moon
moves in 5th, 7th and 9th houses from Scorpio
and Capricorn, there will be plentiful rains. Particularly on November 18th, 19th
and 20th of 2016, when Moon will be in Kataka rasi, which is 7th
and 9th from these signs, heavy rains can be expected. Next
year being Neela Megha, there will be isolated
heavy rains at that time. The current ativrishti yoga gives leads like
this.
For the time being, I expect the forward
moving Mercury and Moon in unfavorable degrees to reduce the impact of the anticipated
heavy rainfall over this week end.
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