Friday, April 25, 2008

When will solar system end? - Inputs from science and astrology.

An interesting article from

on what will happen to earth and solar system in due course.

I am tempted to relate the available information from science

to what Hindu Thought says about this.

As we know Hinduism offers vast information how creation, sustenance and dissolution

and even about parallel universes and aliens,

let me bring out the salient features as and when required.

The prediction by the scientific community at their current level of understanding is that

the solar system will come to an end in 5 billion years' time.

This is true as per Hindu Thought.

This period marks the end of one Kalpa / a day of Brahma.

(details can be read by browsing this blog for my previous posts on yugas).

Another information given by scientists is that

the end of solar system may be hastened by a probable collision of earth
with mercury which will be deviating from its orbit.

Here Hinduism gives a much detailed report.

According to it, manvanthras change every 30 crore years.

Each manvanthra will have a specific set of humans with specific capabilities and features.

As such the present manvanthra has completed

only less than half of this total period of 30 crores of years.

After this 30 crore year mark,

the change happens due to the disturbance in the solar system,

with an unseen binary of the sun (Chaya), making a pass-by.

The scientists do agree theoretically of a possibility of a binary to our sun.

It is better they work on locating this binary which is likely to be a dark companion.

At present they believe that Barnard's star will come close to the sun,

much closer than Proxima Centauri (Thrishanku in Hindu parlance),

in about 10,000 years.

But the catastrophe is predicted after 18 crores of years from now onwards according to sastras.

But Branard's close shave with the solar system coincides

with the end of the current yuga cycle at human scales,

which marks the completion of one round of precession of the sun around the zodiac.

(refer my previous posts on yuga).

This will happen around 12,738 AD.

As per Hindu Thought,

there will be inactivity or low key activity

for the next 10,000 years after that (after 12,738 AD).

Human activity will spring up again after that (25,ooo AD)
and people will be thinking that life started only then

and start talking about stone age from that time onwards:-)

Coming to the article in New scientist,

the end to the present system of solar family will come after 5 billion years.

But according to Hindu Thought,

even before a planet like Mercury or Mars hits earth,

earth will lose life due to extreme conditions of heat followed by extreme rise in oceans.

When the solar system ends, earth will once again go under water!

In the new alignment, there will be absolutely no scope for human activity

for the next 15 billion years (night kalpa of Brahma)

Thereafter, creation will spring as anew and solar system will be born

at some part of this Universe.

Because this Universe will continue to be bulging in space for another

10 to the power of 17 times solar years.

For immediate consumption for those interested ones in science,

here are some clues about planets.

Contrary to what many scientists think that a Mars-sized object bashed into Earth
in the early solar system,
throwing out debris that eventually formed the Moon,
moon was not formed in that way according Hindu Thought.

If scientists analyze, they will find that
Moon will be unique and will not share any features of Mars and earth,
thereby proving that it was not formed by the supposed collision that scientists hypothesize.
On the contrary moon was alien to the solar system and was captured by the earth.

But Mars was formed from earth as a result of some external collision.
Scientists can work towards looking at this possibility.

Likewise, mercury was an after-born.

It was formed by the collision of Jupiter and moon.

There is a probability that moon lost considerable parts of itself to mercury.

Another information from sastras is that

Jupiter too was alien to the solar system.

it was once part of the star Pushya or Poosam
which is at present at the outer arm of our galaxy.

Jupiter is a break-away from that star

and was captured by the Sun.


(Related article :-


How will life on Earth end?
The answer, of course, is unknown,
but two new studies suggest a collision with Mercury or Mars
could doom life long before the Sun swells into a red giant and bakes the planet to a crisp
in about 5 billion years.

The studies suggest that the solar system's planets will continue to orbit the Sun stably
for at least 40 million years.
But after that, they show there is a small but not insignificant chance
that things could go terribly awry.

On human timescales,
the solar system seems to move as regularly as clockwork.
But Isaac Newton realised three centuries ago
that the gravitational tugs the planets exert on each other can potentially nudge them
out of their orbits over time.

Predicting what will happen is extremely challenging
because so many bodies are involved.
Even small errors in the observed positions of the planets today can translate
into huge uncertainties in projections of the future.
Because of this, astronomers can only say for sure that the solar system will remain stable
for the next 40 million years.

Although no one can say for sure what will happen beyond that,
new calculations are now providing a rough guide to the more distant future.
These suggest that there is a 1 to 2% chance that Mercury's orbit will get seriously
out of whack within the next 5 billion years.

This would tend to destabilize the whole inner solar system
and could lead to a catastrophic collision between Earth and either Mercury or Mars,
wiping out any life still present at that time.

In the case of a smash-up with Mars, for example,
"all life gets extinguished immediately, and Earth glows
at the temperature of a red giant star for about 1000 years",
says Gregory Laughlin, a co-author of one of the studies at the University of California
in Santa Cruz, US.

Highly eccentric

Jacques Laskar of the Observatoire de Paris in France authored the other study.
He ran 1001 computer simulations of the solar system over time,
each with slightly different starting conditions for the planets based on
the range of uncertainties in the observations.

In 1 to 2% of the cases,
Mercury's orbit became very elongated over time
due to gravitational tugs by Jupiter.
In these cases, its orbit reached an "eccentricity" of 0.6 or more
(an eccentricity of 0 means the orbit is a perfect circle,
while 1 is the maximum possible elongation).

Putting Mercury into such an elongated orbit increases the interactions between Mercury,
Venus, Mars and Earth. Previous simulations by Laskar have suggested
this can throw the whole solar system into disarray,
a scenario confirmed in simulations by Laughlin and Konstantin Batygin, also of UCSC.

'All bets are off'

"Once Mercury's eccentricity gets up above about 0.6,
then it's getting close to crossing Venus's orbit,"
Laughlin told New Scientist.
"Once you get orbit crossings, you sort of transition from the orderly
yet chaotic configuration that the solar system is in currently
to a much more violently chaotic situation.
Then all bets are off – a lot of bad things can happen."

Mercury and Mars tend to get thrown around the most when the solar system destabilises,
because at 6 and 11% of Earth's mass,
respectively, they are relatively easy to move. It is harder to budge Venus,
on the other hand, because it has 82% of Earth's mass.

In one of Batygin and Laughlin's simulations,
Mercury was thrown into the Sun 1.3 billion years from now.
In another, Mars was flung out of the solar system after 820 million years,
then 40 million years later Mercury and Venus collided.

Lava ocean

These were the disasters that happened to occur in the limited number of simulations
that Batygin and Laughlin carried out.
But Laughlin says there are many other ways for the solar system to unravel.
"You open yourself up to a huge number of possible disasters that can occur,"
he told New Scientist.
"In each case, the gory details are completely different."

Direst for Earth is the possibility of a collision with a wayward Mercury or Mars.
A fair bit is known about what Mars could do to Earth.
Many scientists think a Mars-sized object bashed into Earth
in the early solar system,
throwing out debris that eventually formed the Moon.

Earth was heated to thousands of degrees by the impact,
with an ocean of lava covering its surface.
A future replay of that event would be disastrous, Laughlin says.
But there is a 98 to 99% chance that the solar system will still be running
like clockwork 5 billion years from now.
Says Laughlin: "The glass is 98% full or 2% empty."

Journal references: Laskar, Icarus (in press); Batygin & Laughlin, Astrophysical Journal (in press)

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